Republican mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by a 41% to 37% margin for the Illinois US Senate seat according to the most recent Rasmussen poll. This is much in line with a recent PPP poll that showed that Kirk was also leading to take the US Senate seat formerly held by Barack Obama.
Republican Congressman Mark Kirk claims 41% support for the second month in a row in Illinois’s U.S. Senate race, while his Democratic opponent, State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, has lost ground.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Giannoulias earning 37% of the vote, down seven points from 44% a month ago. Eight percent (8%) prefer another candidate, and 13% are undecided.
The polling trend seems to be in the direction of Republican Mark Kirk. What a blow this would be to Barack Obama and the Democrats to lose Obama’s old Senate seat. The Illinois Senate seat is part of the Republican Perfect Storm needed to take back the US Senate in 2010. The Senate Triple Crown for Republicans includes, Illinois (Obama’s former seat), Deleware (VP Biden’s former seat) and Nevada (the present seat of Senate Majority leader Harry Reid).
For now we will place the Illinois Senate seat in leaning Republican and a pick up for 2010.