Early Republican Presidential Contender Poll for 2012 … Mike Huckabee & Sarah Palin Top the List


Present-elect Barack Obama has not even taken the oath of office and there is a 2012 Republican contender Presidential list of candidates. According to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey , former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Alaska governor Sarah Palin head the list. So much for those in the media that said that Sarah Palin was a drag of the McCain/Palin ticket. Although it is far to soon to begin covering 2012, it is always interesting to see who is out there and what the public perception is.


Sarah Palin

Huckabee tops the list. Thirty-four percent of Republicans and independent voters who lean towards the GOP say they are very likely to support the former Arkansas governor if he were to become their party’s nominee in 2012. Huckabee surprised many by winning this year’s Republican caucuses in Iowa and seven other contests before ending his run in March.

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, John McCain’s running mate in this year’s election, draws nearly as much support: 32 percent of those polled said they would get behind a Palin nomination. And with the survey’s sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 points, Palin and Huckabee are statistically tied.

The survey is an early measure of possible support, not a horse race snapshot.


Mike Huckubee

“It might come as a surprise to some that Palin does better than Huckabee among GOP men but that Huckabee beats Palin among Republican women,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Palin’s strength is also concentrated among older Republicans, but Huckabee may have a slight edge among conservative Republicans.”

Among voters who consider themselves born again or evangelical, Huckabee draws more support than Palin, with a 9 point edge. Meanwhile, Palin holds a 7-point advantage among non-born again or evangelical voters.

Hot Air asks some rather interesting exit questions in comparing Huckabee and Palin’s appeal in regards to a poll that has been done far too soon for any relevance.

Below are the poll results:

  • Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas Gov- 34%
  • Sarah Palin, Alaska Gov & former 2008 VP candidate- 32%
  • Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Gov - 28%
  • Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House- 27%
  • Rudy Giuliani, former NYC Mayor- 23%
  • Bobby Jindal, Louisiana Gov - 19%
  • Charlie Christ, Florida Gov - 7% 

Since it is Christmas time and even though we are looking four years ahead, who would be on your Presidential wish list? There is a long time between now and 2012 and if this poll had been taken in 2004 for the 2008 election, no one would have had Sarah Palin anywhere in the conversation. Who do you like?

Who will be the unknown that comes out of now where for 2012? Could Jeb Bush, the former popular Governor of Florida be looking to run for the US Florida Senate and much further aspirations? Didn’t some one just win the Presidency with only 4 years of Senate experience minus campaigning? Barack Obama did not even have close to the executive experience of Jeb Bush as Governor in such a diverse state like Florida.

But the former governor has remained popular in Florida even as his brother’s approval ratings declined.

A Quinnipiac University poll taken December 2006 during Jeb Bush’s final month in office found 57 percent of Florida voters thought Bush was a great or good governor. Only 10 percent said he was a bad governor. That poll also showed 59 percent of voters disapproved of the job President Bush was doing, compared with 38 percent who approved.

“Florida voters have always been able to distinguish between Jeb Bush and George Bush.

Posted December 6, 2008 by
Barack Obama, Politics, Polls | 21 comments

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  • Mike Huckabee Suspends His 2016 Campaign for the Republican Nomination and Calls it Quits
  • Mason-Dixon Poll: Mitt Romney & Mike Huckabee Lead Obama in Florida

  • Comments

    21 Responses to “Early Republican Presidential Contender Poll for 2012 … Mike Huckabee & Sarah Palin Top the List”

    1. Don on December 6th, 2008 10:10 am

      People who “lean Republican” probably do not get their news from CNN.

    2. caesu on December 6th, 2008 11:17 am

      it’s a good thing that Palin is high up on that list.
      as long as she is around the GOP will not be able to win an election.

    3. Kay Zee Es on December 6th, 2008 12:04 pm

      caesu pontificates…
      “as long as she is around the GOP will not be able to win an election.”

      Should Pres elect Obama stumble and fall(fail to bring the nation back on its feet), The Rep ticket of Sarah Palin-Jeb Bush will be there to pick up the pieces and take over.

      New motto could be…”Yes, they can!” Sound vaguely familiar?

    4. Just Bearly on December 6th, 2008 1:49 pm

      Mike seems like a pretty cool guy on the FOX TV show I have seen him host. I think he was more of an unknown face two years ago, but could gain momentum if people come to see him as a regular guy sort of politician.

      I am not sure the country will ever fully embrace having a female president, although Hillary could still be running in 8 years.

      The Republicans also have an answer to Obama… some American born guy with India heritage, who is a republican politician(governor?) from La. who I read about….

      The republicans really need a platform with some fresh ideas and new faces to challenge a Washington that is probably not going to stop (taxing) and spending like crazy, or stop invading our privacy anytime soon.

      I am also wondering at what point we will have government owned automakers, government contract auto workers…. Hugo Chavez our socialist best friend…. .

    5. michelle on December 6th, 2008 3:05 pm

      I’m certainly glad to hear this. I’m behind Palin 100%. I like Huckabee, so that’s good too.

    6. michelle on December 6th, 2008 3:06 pm

      #2 We shall see. Don’t hold your breath.

    7. Kay Zee Es on December 6th, 2008 5:47 pm

      Didn’t know where else to put this and didn’t know if Scared Monkeys was going to have an article, but…

      let’s remember Pearl Harbor and the brave men and women who gave their lives for our country and freedom.

      Thank you and have a good night.

    8. Scared Monkeys on December 6th, 2008 7:38 pm


      We always celebrate the memory of Pearl Harbor Day.

      December 7 is a date that will live in infamy.

      We will have a post on it tomorrow … Dec 7, 2008.

    9. rightknight on December 7th, 2008 1:35 am

      Christian philosophy (not the Christian religion per se) is
      the foundation of our successful culture. Seems both
      of these folks are supporters of our Constitution which
      has proven itself rather well over the years.

    10. Susy Q on December 7th, 2008 9:20 am

      My Uncle Bill was on a sub based at Pearl and he was on his way to Australia when it happened. Thankfully he had sent his wife and daughter to San Diego as he had a feeling there would be an attack…he must not have been the only one as the carriers were all on the move, too. It is amazing to see film of the horrendous destuction and then learn how many did survive to carry the fight back. I have a friend who was born and raised in Kaneohe (on the windward side of Oahu) she was in her backyard playing with her dog when the Jap planes flew in to bomb Pearl on the other side of the Pali mountain range. She still gets emotional all these years later when she talks about it…. God Bless the USA and all our brave men and women who serve in our Armed Forces.

    11. katablog.com on December 7th, 2008 9:22 am

      I also would support Palin. Her freshness and frankness is what I like best about her. I don’t think it’s going to take 8 years either. I think 4 years of the Obama administration will wake up America. But since the birth certificate issue seems to be gaining a little speed, maybe we won’t even have to endure 4 years.

    12. nurturer on December 7th, 2008 10:27 am

      #2 – It’s that kind of underestimation that we need. Tell your friends.

    13. txchic on December 7th, 2008 3:28 pm

      #2… lmbo! as i see it obama has 4 years to make good on all the promises he’s made. so far i haven’t seen any of that “change” in his agenda he’s put forth. in fact i’ve seen nothing but empty speeches.

      after 4 years of dems competing to be the teachers pet, the country will be begging to have a republican back in the white house regardless of who it is.

      there are a few up & coming conservatives who could take the next race by surprise. it will blindside the dems.

    14. Scared Monkeys on December 7th, 2008 3:54 pm

      Obama has an interesting premise to be successful and be a two term President.

      In order for Obama to help fix America and be considered a successful President, he must not do one thing that was a campaign promise.

      In other words, he must be a Republican like he has been in stating that he will not increase taxes.

      If Obama had campaigned on any of the things that he has stated he will do after he became President-elect Obama, he would never have been elected.

      So many people ignorantly voted for Obama because they thought they would get theirs. That was never going to happen.

      In 2012 does the LEFT have the same vigor with Obama knowing that he fulfilled no promises to them in 4 years?

    15. Paul Breiveld on December 8th, 2008 9:53 am

      I think the USA deserves Sarah Palin.

    16. super dave on December 8th, 2008 12:47 pm

      why would the U.S. not be ready for a female president ? we all know that hillary will be making all the decisions for the white house for the next four years.
      and if you believe some of the biblical scholars, she will take over the presidency by 2011.

    17. Cladistine on December 8th, 2008 10:48 pm

      Where is Ron Paul on this List???

    18. meemee on December 9th, 2008 4:13 pm

      please make Palin go away. her fifteen minutes are long gone. I would never vote for a freak like her.

    19. Michelle on December 9th, 2008 6:26 pm

      #18 and that is your right but she isn’t going anywhere

      I can’t wait for her to run in 2012.

    20. Dolf on December 12th, 2008 9:26 am

      don’t think Jeb Bush is going to make it.

      G.W. made sure of that

    21. Dan on January 22nd, 2009 11:14 am

      To everyone who is dying for a true conservative leader to emerge in this country and Bring America Back, I have a few questions for you:
      Who sacrificed his chance to win the nomination in order to help John McCain unify the party?
      Who endorsed and went to more events for conservatives than Mitt?
      Who was in Denver leading a conservative rally during the democratic convention?
      Who was the most vocal figure to defend John McCain and Sarah Palin during the toughest parts of the campaign?
      Who finally gave a voice to the conservatives who needed one to address the auto bailout?
      Conservatives are hungry for a real leader.
      One has emerged, and it’s time we Rally to Romney!

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