Mitt Romney Now Leads Obama in ABC-WAPO Tracking Poll 50% to 47%

Don’t look now but Mitt Romney just hit the 50% mark in another poll.

According to the most recent ABC-WAPO poll, Romney now leads Obama 50% to 47%.  Likely voters now pick Romney over Obama in trust to handle the economy by 52% to 43%. All this even with a poll sampling of +4 D.

Full poll results can be found HERE.

Mitt Romney has seized further advantage on economic issues at the core of the 2012 campaign, taking him to 50 percent support among likely voters vs. 47 percent for Barack Obama – Romney’s highest vote-preference result of the contest to date.

The difference between the two candidates is within the margin of sampling error in the latest ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll, and their individual support levels have not significantly changed. But the momentum on underlying issues and attributes is Romney’s.

For those pundits who said debates do not matter could never have been more wrong. According to poll results, Romney has a huge lead with Independents and were heavily swayed by Romney’s debate performance.

Most strikingly, Romney’s advanced to 57 percent support among independents. They’re a changeable group, less rooted in partisan predispositions, so their eventual preferences – and their turnout – are uncertain. But they’re key to Romney’s current fortunes; he’s improved among independents by 9 points in the past week.

The debates are one apparent reason. By a broad 47-10 percent, independents say the debates left them with a better rather than a worse impression of Romney. In the same group, by contrast, just 17 percent say their impression of Obama improved – and 26 percent say it got worse.

Romney also has broken the 50% barrier in the Rasmussen and Gallup polls as well.

WAPO-ABC Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney 49%, Barack Obama 48%

Slip, Sliding Away …

Don’t look now but Mitt Romney just took the lead over Barack Obama in the WAPO-ABC presidential tracking poll 49% to 48%. More importantly, when individuals were asked about the economy,  the most important issue of the day, 50% of likely voters say they trust Mitt Romney with the economy, while 45% sided with the president.

The new Washington Post-ABC News national tracking poll has 49 percent of likely voters supporting Republican Mitt Romney, and 48 percent President Obama, a seesawing result that shows the continued narrowness of the contest.

The change from yesterday’s Post-ABC tracking poll, which showed the race 49 to 48 percent the other way, is statistically insignificant, and the numbers do not include any public reaction to the third and final presidential debate Monday night. Almost all of Monday’s interviews were conducted before the debate started.

Does Obama read the polling data? He most certainly does. As reported at the WAPO, Barack Obama sent an email to supports,“I don’t want to lose this election.” Get used to the notion Barack, come November 6, We the People will be adding you to the unemployment list.

Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll, Romney Within One … and Romney 52% to Obama’s 46% in 7 Swing States

The WAPO-ABC News Tracking poll has Mitt Romney within one point at at 49% to 48%.  However, once again one has to question the poll sampling. This polls used a D34/R29/I33 or a +5D sampling. However, with all the suspect sampling, in the seven states designated as “toss-ups” by The Washington Post plus Ohio, it’s Romney 52% to Obama’s 46%.

But Romney now rivals Obama when it comes to dealing with international affairs and terrorism, leveling the playing field heading into Monday’s debate on foreign policy. Romney also runs about evenly with the president as voters’ pick who is the better commander-in-chief.

International affairs generally, and handling terrorism specifically, were once Obama strong points against the former Massachusetts governor, but voters now divide about evenly between the two. At the end of September, Obama held an 11 percentage point lead over Romney as the one voters trusted on terrorism — and killing Osama bin Laden is a mainstay on the Obama campaign trail. But now, 47 percent side with Obama on the issue, 46 percent with Romney.

Barack Obama Tanking in Gallup Poll, Romney 52% – Obama 45%

Drip, drip, drip …

WOW, the 7 day rolling average Gallup poll has Mitt Romney up by 7 points over President Barack Obama, 52% to 45%. The gap is widening and with a good debate this coming Monday, Romney could finish Obama off once and for all and break the election wide open.

It would appear that Obama just showing up and doing better than the first debate, which was not hard to do, has not affected the polling. Romney is starting to separate himself.

Hot Air reminds us also that Rasmussen now has Romney up by 2% over Obama in their tracking poll. It appears that their individuals polled were not impressed by Obama’s debate performance either.

Interestingly, Romney’s 49% is solid with or without leaners.  Without leaners, Obama only gets to 46%. Among those “certain” to vote, Romney leads 46/44.  Republicans now have an eight-point advantage on enthusiasm, 83/75, with independents nearly as enthused as Democrats at 72%.

Romney is starting to see a lot of polls in his favor as seen at Real Clear Politics. This is interesting, ABC News touts the Romney lead in the Gallup poll and in the process references their own recent poll that where an ABC/WAPO poll had Obama ahead of Romney 49% to 46%. Funny they should bring this up because in order to give Obama a three point lead over Romney, the hacks at ABC/WAPO had to provide a +9D sampling.  Yea, that is believable. In Obama’s once in a life time election in 2008 Democrats  had a +7 turnout. So ABC/WAPO thinks that Democrats are going to turn out even more? Not likely.

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

             Democrat   Republican   Independent
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33

President Barack Obama’s Popularity Wanes, Especially Among Woman, Now Negative 46-50%.

RUT-ROH BARACK … Women are turning on Obama.

President Barack Obama goes into the Democrat National Convention on a polling low as his popularity wanes. Only 47%  of registered voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll see Obama favorably overall, down 7% from April. The most startling data is the fact that Obama has lost all of his popularity among woman and is now underwater with them. So much for Romney’s gender gap. So much for Obama and the Democrats claiming that the GOP is waging a war on women. Looks like it has backfired.

Full poll results HERE.

Barack Obama approaches his nomination for a second term with the lowest pre-convention personal popularity of an incumbent president in ABC News/Washington Post polls since the 1980s. He’s also at his lowest of the year among registered voters, with trouble among women.

Just 47 percent of registered voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll see Obama favorably overall, down 7 percentage points from his recent peak in April, while 49 percent rate him unfavorably. He’s numerically underwater in this group for the first time since February.

The decline has occurred entirely among women registered voters – from 57-39 percent favorable-unfavorable in April to a numerically negative 46-50 percent now. That’s Obama’s lowest score among women voters – a focus of recent political positioning – in ABC/Post polls since he took office.

As stated at Blue Crab Boulevard, isn’t it fitting that Obama is now underwater, so many Americans mortgages are under water and the Dems at the DNC is at this moment showing a tribute to Ted Kennedy. Someone else who left someone underwater. OUCH!!!

 

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