Reversal of Fortune … Newt Gingrich Takes Lead in Florida Primary Polls
Newt Gingrich on a roll …
What a difference a South Carolina primary makes … Prior to the primary, the RCP average of polling was Romney 40.5%, Gingrich 22.0%, Santorum 15.0& and Paul 9.0%, or a +18.5% lead by Romney.
Flash-forward to present day and the RCP average polling is Gingrich 37.7%, Romney 30.3%, Santorum 11.7 % and Paul 10.3%. The Newtster now finds himself at +7.4% or a near 26% turnaround. No wonder Romney and his surrogates are in full attack against Gingrich and felt the need for Romney to finally release his tax returns.
According to PPP’s first poll following the SC Primary, Newt is up by 5%.
PPP’s first post-South Carolina poll in Florida finds Newt Gingrich with a small lead. He’s at 38% to 33% for Mitt Romney, 13% for Rick Santorum, and 10% for Ron Paul.
Gingrich has gained 12 points since a PPP poll conducted in Florida a week ago. Romney has dropped 8 points. Paul and Santorum have pretty much remained in place. Their favorability numbers show similar trendlines. Gingrich’s has increased 8 points from +15 (51/36) to +23 (57/34). Meanwhile Romney’s has declined 13 points from +44 (68/24) to +31 (61/30).
At Rasmussen, Gingrich leads by Romney by 9 points, 41% to 32%. WOW, just two weeks ago Mitt Romney had a 22% lead. Just a few days ago pundits were saying, if Romney wins SC, does that mean its all over and he has wrapped up the GOP nomination. Now, we learn that Santorum really won Iowa, Newt wins handily in SC and Gingrich prior to the first debate in the Sunshine state is up big in Florida. One now has to ask the question, if Newt Gingrich wins big in FLA, is the race over?
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Republican Primary Voters, taken Sunday evening, finds Gingrich earning 41% of the vote with Romney in second at 32%. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum runs third with 11%, while Texas Congressman Ron Paul attracts support from eight percent (8%). Nine percent (9%) remain undecided.(To see survey question wording, click here).
Posted January 24, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polls, PPP, Presidential Contenders, Presidential Election, Primaries, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics | 3 comments |
Post Iowa Caucus … Mitt Romney Up Big in New New Hampshire Polls with 20 Point Lead, Santorum Sees Modest Bounce
With just a few days to go before New Hampshire primary, Romney with commanding lead.
Following the Iowa Caucus 8 vote narrow victory by Mitt Romney over Rick Santorum, the former Massachusetts Governor appears to be up big in the polls for the New Hampshire primary. According to three polls, Mitt Romney has a commanding lead in the Granite state of NH. Romney is in the lead in New Hampshire; however, it appears that Santorum has received a modest bounce as well. It is impossible to imagine that Mitt Romney will not win NH; however, the real question is whether the second place candidate will be Santorum or Paul and if that individual will get more than 20% of the vote.
A Suffolk University poll for Boston-based WHDH-TV shows Mitt Romney up big with an overwhelming 40%, in second is Ron Paul with 17% and Rick Santorum has surged into third with 11%.
An NBC/Marist poll, Romney receives 42% of likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, followed by Ron Paul with 22, and Rick Santorum at 13%. Although Romney has a commanding lead in NH and it is pretty much a forgone conclusion that the race will be called much quicker primary night in New Hampshire, than that of the Iowa Cuacus, the poll shows that Santorum has made considerable gains from 2% to 13% in a month.
More than a month ago – in an NBC-Marist poll conducted Nov. 28-30 – Romney stood at 39 percent, Gingrich at 24 percent, Paul at 16 percent, Huntsman at 9 percent, Perry at 3 percent and Santorum at 2 percent.
The University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll conducted for WMUR-TV also shows Romney up big in New Hampshire prior to next weeks primary and Santorum with an increase. The poll shows Romney leading the way with 43% of the vote, Paul in second with 18%, Santorum in third up from 4% to 11%, and Gingrich and Huntsman trailing the pack.
More polling data and analysis at the Franklin Center for Government and Public Integrity. Also, the most recent Rasmussen poll shows a major shake up in the GOP race, Santorum up big; however, Romney up as well.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in New Hampshire finds Romney earning 42% support. Texas Congressman Ron Paul is a distant second with 18% of the vote, followed by former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, hot off his photo finish with Romney in the Iowa caucuses, at 13%.
According to the Real Clear Politics average polling, Romney up by 21% in the Granite state.
Posted January 7, 2012 by Scared Monkeys Marist, Mitt Romney, Politics, Polls, Presidential Contenders, Primaries, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics, Republican, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul | one comment |
GOP Presidential Hopeful Newt Gingrich on a Poll Roll … Leads Romney in FLA Big & National Poll: Gingrich 45% Obama 43%
Call him the come back kid … Newt Gingrich is on a political poll roll and the momentum is on his side …
It was not too long ago that Newt Gingrich found himself floundering in the polls, low on campaign donations as his GOP presidential primary candidacy was on life support. That was then and this is now. The Newtster is now on a roll, has the wind in his sails and has skyrocketed to the top of the GOP primary polls.
According to a recent Rasmussen poll, Gingrich has closed the gap in New Hampshire to front running Mitt Romney. Newt is now in second place in the Granite state and trails by only 10%. A close second place finish in NH would be an huge win for Gingrich as a slap in the face to former neighboring state Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
Gingrich leads in Iowa: Gingrich 32%, Romney 19%, Cain 13%. Also Gingrich is up big in Florida and ahead in South Carolina.
In a hypothetical match up between Newt and Barack Obama, for the first time, Gringrich leads Obama 45% to 43%. It was not that long ago that Newt trailed Obama by double digits.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Gingrich attracting 45% of the vote while President Obama earns support from 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Last week, Gingrich trailed the president by six. Two weeks ago, he was down by twelve.
The question remains whether Newt Gingrich is the newest flavor of the month and the latest to take the mantle of the not-Romney candidate or will he have the staying power to challenge Mitt Romney and win the GOP nomination?
Posted December 1, 2011 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polls, Presidential Contenders, Presidential Election, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics, Republican | no comments |