Don’t Look Now But Real Clear Politics Has the Presidential General Election a Tie Between Romney & Obama at 46.8% A Piece

So the people in the know claim that Mitt Romney got no bounce from the Republican National Convention, eh? Don’t look now but according to Real Clear Politics that averages numerous polls, the Presidential election between Romney and Obama is a dead even tie at 46.8%. Although the polling of “likely voters” comes from Rasmussen where Romney is up +3% over Obama.

It is just hard to imagine that an incumbent president with such a poor economics record, with unemployment over 8% and job growth sliding the wrong direction and at anemic levels. All the excuses can be made by Obama, former President Clinton and all, but the fact of the matter is that Barack Obama promised he would fix the economy in 3-4 years otherwise it would be a one term proposition. In other words Obama claimed, read mu lips, I will fix the economy. If such proclamations can be held against past Presidents, its good for this goose as well.

An incumbent President under 50% is hardly the place to be just a couple of months before the election.

Mitt Romney Leads Barack Obama in a CBS/NY Times Poll 46% – 43% … Yes, that is Correct in a CBS/NY Times Poll

WOW, Mitt Romney even leads President Barack Obama in a CBS/NY Times poll, 46% to 43%.

Yes, you read that correctly. Barack Obama finds himself behind the presumptive GOP Presidential candidate Romney by 3%. The trending for Obama is becoming troublesome for the “first Gay President”. In February 2012 Obama lead Romney 48%-42%, in March 2012 Obama lead 47%-44%, in April 2012 Obama and Romney were tied at 46% and presently Romney leads by 3%. That is a 9% swing since February. Did we mention that this was a CBS/NY Times poll?

Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a slight edge over President Obama in the race for the White House in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll.

According to the survey, conducted May 11-13, 46 percent of registered voters say they would vote for Romney, while 43 percent say they would opt for Mr. Obama. Romney’s slight advantage remains within the poll’s margin of error, which is plus or minus four percentage points.

Last month, a CBS News/New York Times poll showed Mr. Obama and Romney locked in a dead heat, with both earning 46 percent support among registered voters. Polls conducted in February and March showed Mr. Obama with an advantage over Romney, while a January poll showed Romney edging out Mr. Obama 47 percent to 45 percent. Another January poll showed the two tied.

As stated at NRO, Obama’s gay marriage decision to go “gay for pay” appears to have hurt him significantly in the polls.More than not individuals are now less likely to vote for Obama because of his position on gay marriage.

Overall, the CBS/NYT poll found that 25 percent of voters are less likely to back Obama because of his new position on gay marriage, while 16 percent are more likely. Twelve percent of Democrats, 23 percent of independents, and 43 percent of Republicans are less likely to support him.

Full Poll Results.

Even though RCP still has the average polling with Obama up by 1.4% over Romney, if one only looks at the most recent polling after 5/7/2012, Romney is trending up and in the lead by 2.0%.

UPDATE I: Hot Air has the polling sample that was used for this poll. WOW … The weighted sample of registered voters: 36D/30R/34I, which is right in line with most national polls.

Hours Before the 2012 Ohio Republican Primary Ohio GOP Primary: Santorum 32%, Romney 31%, Gingrich 13%, Paul 13%

Big momentum shift in Ohio ahead of Super Tuesday and today’s primaries … Let the voting begin.

GOP primary presidential hopeful Mitt Romney seems to have all the momentum on his side in Ohio just 24 hours before Super Tuesday and the Ohio primary. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, Santorum leads in Ohio by one point of Romney, 32% to 31%, a virtual tie.

Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are tied in Ohio with the Super Tuesday primary vote just 24 hours away. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Ohio shows Santorum earning 32% support to Romney’s 31%. The survey was taken Sunday night. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Texas Congressman Ron Paul run far behind, each with 13% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer another candidate, and six percent (6%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

However, according the the Real Clear Politics average of polling in Ohio … MITT ROMNEY IS NOW AHEAD BY 1.2%.

An Ohio victory by Mitt Romney could set him up for the dominoes in place for taking the GOP presidential nomination.

GOP Presidential Primary: Arizona Governor Jan Brewer Endorses Mitt Romney

This morning on NBC’s “Meet the Press” Arizona Governor Jan Brewer endorsed Mitt Romney ahead on next week’s Arizona primary. Currently, Romney leads in the RCP average polling in Arizona by 10.7%. Arizona hosts its primary, along with Michigan, this coming Tuesday.

Brewer said she viewed Romney as the most electable candidate to challenge President Obama this fall, and that she made her conclusion after meeting with the candidates and after a debate this week in Arizona.

“I have decided that I am going to publicly endorse Mitt Romney. I think he’s the man that can carry the day,” Brewer said. “I think Mitt is by far the person who can go in and win.”

Republican Florida Primary: Consensus Polls Show Mitt Romney Up Big in Florida Over Newt Gingrich

It appears that the Republican Florida primary may be called when the polls close …

The Florida primary is a two man race and according to most all polls, Mitt Romney has a lead over Newt Gingrich. Check out the numerous polls HERE that have Romney well ahead in the Sunshine state. At RCP average polling, Romney is up by double digits over Gingrich by 11.3%. Looks like it may be over thin FLA.

Mitt Romney up big in latest Marist/NBC poll. With just days to go before the all important Florida primary that may determine who shall win the GOP Presidential nomination, Romney up by 15% over Gingrich.

PPP has Romney up as well and the trend is strong movement away from Newt Gingrich and toward Mitt Romney.

According to a Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll released late Saturday night, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leads former GOP Speaker Newt Gingrich by 11 points. However, even more noticeable is that the poll shows that Romney is also leads President Barack Obama in a hypothetical match up 48% to 44%.

Gingrich is badly trailing Romney by 11 percentage points, garnering just 31 percent of likely Republican voters heading into Tuesday’s presidential primary, according to a Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll released late Saturday night.
President Barack Obama should be wary as well. Romney beats Obama by a 48-44 percent spread — a lead inside the error-margin, however — in a theoretical general-election matchup, the poll shows.

In the Republican primary, Romney’s lead looks insurmountable. It cuts across geographic, ethnic and gender lines. And the poll indicates Romney’s attack on Gingrich as a Freddie Mac insider is a hit with GOP voters.

As stated by Hugh Hewitt, Gingrich got some help from Sarah Palin and Herman Cain, but it has come too late because Newt built his candidacy on a promise built on a premise, both of which have been shattered this past week. Gingrich is supposed to be able to hammer Obama in a debate; however, Newt hardly accomplished that this past week against Romney. That is one thing that Newt will not be afforded if he ever did win the GOP nomination. There is no way a stumbling Obama with no teleprompter would ever agree to more than 2 or 3 debates.

The promise was that he could thrash President Obama in the debates and the premise is that there would be many debates just like the one in which he successfully jammed John King.

Of course Newt’s two bad debates this week (with Thursday’s being especially lousy) blew up the foundation for Newt’s campaign, and while the Speaker and his die-hard supporters want to blame various factors –the crowd, Romney’s claims etc– the average Florida voter got two previews of coming attractions and are judging the Speaker according to what they saw not by what he says they should have seen.

All the complaining in the world regarding the MSM because when running against President Obama, the One will have the liberal state run media in his back pocket looking to put their guy in office for 4 more years.