Gallup Poll: Mitt Romney Leads Barack Obama 51% to 46%

Don’t Look now but the Gallup poll is starting to break wide open for Romney …

GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney extends lead of Barack Obama in the latest Gallup poll, 51% to 46%. I guess we can expect another tongue-lashing of Gallup by Team Obama for unfair poll sampling because The One now seems to see his once lead, slip, sliding away.

Gallup: Mitt Romney 50% – Barack Obama 46% Among Likely Voters

Wow, the Gallup poll is breaking for Romney. The most recent Gallup poll has Romney up over Obama 50% to 46% among “likely” voters. With one more good debate by Mitt Romney this evening or a poor or average showing by Obama, this race could be over tonight. Romney needs to properly explain the obligatory 47% question you know is coming tonight and needs to say the following with regards to Benghazi, and the terror attacks, A President delegates authority, a President does not delegate responsibility.

The Gallup poll is completely damning for Obama. With every single voting demographic, Obama is down from 2008, some down big.

More specifically, here are the key changes in Obama’s support by group since 2008:

• Degreed voters backing off Obama: In 2008, Obama led McCain among postgraduate educated voters by a 30-point margin, while he ran roughly even with McCain among those with lower levels of education. Today, Obama’s postgraduate advantage has been cut to 14 points and he trails Romney among college graduates (those with four-year degrees only) by 22 points. His support from high school graduates and those with some college is also down slightly, providing no counterbalance to his major losses among the college educated.

•  Southern losses: The South gave Obama the least support of any region in 2008, but still split their vote evenly for Obama vs. McCain. Today, Southerners favor Romney by a 22-point margin, the largest shift of any region. Voters in the East are also less supportive, while preferences in the West and Midwest are little changed.

•  Young voters stick with him: Young voters were an important part of Obama’s 2008 coalition, and in 2012 they continue to support him overwhelmingly, at roughly the same level as four years ago. The difficulty for Obama is that he currently has less support among each older age group, particularly those aged 30 to 49 years.

•  White support dwindles: Obama lost the white vote in 2008 by 12 percentage points, but that was more than offset by a 72-point lead among nonwhites. Today, Obama has a more daunting 22-point deficit among whites, while his margin over Romney among nonwhites is essentially unchanged.

•  Men move away: In 2008, Gallup found a 14-point swing in gender preferences for president, with women favoring Obama by a 14-point margin and men tied in their preferences for Obama vs. McCain. Today, there is a 20-point gender gap. Women’s support for Obama shrank to six percentage points, while men favor Romney by 14 points.

 

Romney Up 4% in USA TODAY/Gallup Poll … Obama Has Gender Problem with Men and Woman in Swing States

And the polling troubles for President Barack Obama keep on coming.

Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama by 4 points, 50% to 46%, among “likely” voters in the swings states in a recently released USA Today/Gallup poll. The swing states consist of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Who is to thank for Romney’s surge … WOMAN!  Don’t look now, but Obama has a gender problem with both men and woman. Romney has pulled within one of Obama with woman and Romney leads Obama by 8% with men.

Mitt Romney leads President Obama by four percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank.

As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds female voters much more engaged in the election and increasingly concerned about the deficit and debt issues that favor Romney. The Republican nominee has pulled within one point of the president among women who are likely voters, 48%-49%, and leads by 8 points among men.

[...]

“In every poll, we’ve seen a major surge among women in favorability for Romney” since his strong performance in the first debate, veteran Democratic pollster Celinda Lake says. “Women went into the debate actively disliking Romney, and they came out thinking he might understand their lives and might be able to get something done for them.”

Barack Obama already had a gender gap with men, that has not changed. However, if Obama is going to poll even with Romney with woman, this could be a landslide election. Is it really come as a surprise? Romney came across as completely likable during the first debate and not Satan as Obama attack ads had displayed. Then came Biden’s obnoxious and over the top antics during the VP debate that reminded every woman of the worst date or their ex-spouse.

Now, the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Romney leading Obama 50%-46% among likely voters in the swing states. Men who are likely voters back him 52%-44%. The states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

What is the Obama campaign’s reaction to the poll, to question the absurd poll sampling of course. Awe, whats the matter with the whiners from the Obama campaign, do they not approve of a poll that does not have a +9 to +11 D sampling?    Wait a minute, didn’t they just recently  criticize the Romney camp for feeling the need to talk about the public polls, because they don’t?

Romney Takes Lead in Gallup Poll Over Obama 49% to 47% Among Likely Voters

More good news for Mitt Romney from the Gallup poll. Romney is up by 2% over Obama, 49% to 47% among likely voters. It is just one of many polls that have seen Obama seize the lead in a national poll or battle ground state poll since the Presidential debate. The polling trend is obviously on the side of Mitt Romney. Sister Toldja has the reason reason why Romney has surged into the lead … 67 million people got to see the real Mitt Romney, while they also got to see that Obama really is an “empty chair” without his protective media.

Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama’s favor.

As is almost always the case in recent elections, likely voters at this point are more likely to support the Republican candidate than are all registered voters. Gallup’s estimate of the vote choices of likely voters shows that Romney gains three percentage points among likely voters compared with the total registered voter pool, and Obama loses two points.

At this point, Romney voters are somewhat more likely to respond that they will definitely vote, that they have thought a lot about the election, and that they are more familiar with where people in their local area vote. These attitudes indicate that Romney at this juncture will benefit from higher turnout on Election Day among his supporters than will Obama. These patterns could change closer to Election Day as more voters become engaged or if Republicans’ or Democrats’ enthusiasm for voting is altered by campaign events.

Hot Air reminds us that Romney is now out in the lead too in the RCP poll of polls.

Gallup Poll Has Election a Tie Between Romney and Obama, Was +5 for Obama Predebate

Who says that debates do not change the polls? Those pundits who made such comments before the Romney-Obama ‘Duel in Denver’ debate are eating their words today. The Gallup poll has the race dead even at 47% a piece.

Gallup now has it a tie between Romney and Obama, following the debate. Prior to the debate, the Gallup poll had Obama ahead by a +5. How bad was it for Obama in the debate? Not only did Republicans and Independents overwhelmingly believe that Romney mopped the floor with Obama, but a majority of Democrats thought Romney won as well. OUCH!