Hmm … Republicans Hold Lead in Colorado Early Voting Entering Election Day

INTERESTING, THIS BODES WELL FOR DONALD TRUMP … COULD HE REALLY FLIP COLORADO?

As reported at The Denver Post, Republicans took the lead in early voting in Colorado at the end of the day Friday and held the advantage through the weekend. According to the data released Monday, registered Republicans cast 652,380 ballots compared to 645,020 registered Democrats, a 7,360 vote GOP advantage. Now of course not all Republicans and Democrats are going to vote along party affiliation; however, this is an interesting number seeing that the Democrats have always had a greater get out the vote campaign. This does show voter enthusiasm. As stated at the Washington Examiner, the polls indicated that Colorado was a blue leaning state, but could Colorado, that went to Obama twice, be flipped to the GOP?

Trump needs to flip blue states red in order to gain 270 electoral votes. Is Colorado one of those possible states?

Colorado2

Republicans took the lead in early voting in Colorado at the end of the day Friday and held the advantage through the weekend despite robust Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts.

The latest early voting numbers released Monday morning show registered Republicans cast 652,380 ballots compared to 645,020 registered Democrats — a 7,360 vote GOP advantage. The breakdown looks like this: 35.2 percent Republican, 34.8 percent Democrat and 28.5 percent unaffiliated.

It’s worth noting that not all Republicans are voting for GOP nominee Donald Trump — just as not all Democrats are supporting party nominee Hillary Clinton. But the early voting is a potential sign of party organization and voter enthusiasm.

Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll: Donald Trump Ahead of Hillary Clinton in Iowa 46% – 39%

LOOKS LIKE TRUMP IS GOING TO FLIP BLUE STATE IOWA TO RED

According to the most recent Des Moines Register poll, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in Iowa by 7 points, 46% to 39%. This is usually an accurate and trusted poll in Iowa. In 2008 Obama won Iowa 54% – 45% and in 2012 Obama won it 52% to 46%.; however, it would seem by all indications that Donald Trump has flipped Iowa red.

Des Moines Register:

Donald Trump has surged to a 7-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton among Iowa voters, firmly establishing the Republican presidential nominee as the favorite to win the state’s six electoral votes on Tuesday.

Trump is the top choice for 46 percent of Iowans who have already cast a ballot or plan to do so on Election Day, according to the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, compared to 39 percent who say they’re for Clinton.

That makes the state Trump’s to lose, political analyst Amy Walter said.

Trump leads among several key demographic groups, including men, self-identified independents, young and middle-aged voters and those without a college degree.

Forty-one percent of independents support Trump, compared to 34 percent who back Clinton. Trump likewise leads by 5 percentage points — 43 to 38 — among voters under 35.

CNN Shows 6 Ways Donald Trump Could Win 270 Electoral Votes

ITS STILL A LONG SHOT, BUT THERE IS MUCH MORE OF A SHOT TODAY THAN THERE WAS 2 WEEKS AGO

CNN is reporting that there are several ways that Donald Trump could reach the magical number of 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Two weeks ago there was seemingly no chance that Trump could win. Then came the reports of the insane Obamacare premium increases and then came the news that the FBI was reopening the Hillary Clinton private server/email investigation as emails pertaining to the case were found on the laptop belonging to Anthony Weiner, under investigation for sexting with a minor. Then the added investigation of the Clinton Foundation. The polls are trending toward Donald Trump, however, is it too little, too late? We shall see this Tuesday.

Donald Trump thumbs up

Donald Trump’s path to 270 electoral votes remains precarious — but with some breaks, he can get there.
Trump’s campaign has made clear exactly what its targets are. It is spending $25 million on TV ads in the final week of the campaign in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Virginia, Nevada and New Hampshire.

Those ad buys are based on the assumption that Trump doesn’t need extra help to keep Arizona, Georgia, Utah, Texas or any other traditionally red state in the Republican column Trump starts with four must-wins: Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Iowa.
Those — plus making sure he doesn’t surrender other typically Republican states, and winning the one electoral vote that can come from Maine’s Second Congressional District — get Trump to 260 electoral votes. (read more)

The Key to a Donald Trump Presidential Victory Could Be New Hampsire … 3 Polls Have Him Tied or Ahead

COULD NEW HAMPSHIRE REALLY BE IN PLAY AND GO FOR DONALD TRUMP?

Just yesterday we were discussing the WBUR poll in New Hampshire that showed Trump ahead of Clinton by 1 percentage point. It turns out that 3 polls were released on Thursday in New Hampshire and all show either Donald Trump tied or ahead of Hillary Clinton. Could there really be a shift in the polls in New Hampshire this late in the game? We shall see next Thursday. If Trump has a chance of winning, he probably needs to take NH.

RCP NH Poll 110416

Republican nominee Donald Trump, who trailed Hillary Clinton by near-double digits in the state of New Hampshire last month, has suddenly mounted a comeback in the key battleground state.

Three polls in the Granite State released Thursday showed Trump at least tied with Clinton, the Democratic nominee, in the state. In one survey, he gained a 1-point advantage, and in another, he was up 5 points.

It was a pointed shift from just more than a week ago, when Clinton led by an average of 8 points in the RealClearPolitics polling average of the state. The swing comes amid signs that a turbulent week for the Clinton campaign — including the news of the FBI’s reactivated investigation into her private email server — has taken a toll on the Democratic nominee’s poll numbers.

A Boston Globe/Suffolk University poll that showed the race deadlocked at 42-42, for example, found that 49% of New Hampshire voters said the revelations made them less likely to support Clinton, while 45% said they wouldn’t affect their votes.

“Both Trump and Clinton seek to win 48% of the New Hampshire vote, which should be good enough to win the state,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

WBUR Poll: Donald Trump Edges Ahead Of Clinton 40% – 39% in New Hampshire

COULD NEW HAMPSHIRE REALLY GO TO DONALD TRUMP? HEY NH … LIVE FREE OR DIE!!!

According to the most recent WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire, Republican Donald Trump now leads Democrat Hillary Clinton by one pont, 40% to 39% with Gary Johnson at 10% and Jill Stein at 3%. With less than a week to go before election day, Trump has the momentum and states where Hillary and Democrats thought was in the already won category are now trending toward Trump. In reviewing the RCP average polling that shows Clinton in the lad in NH, many of these polls were taken before the FBI announced that they were reopening the private server/email case and the recent news of the Clinton Foundation FBI investigation.

As one who used to live in the Granite state, I can’t imagine a state with a motto, “Live Free or Die” could ever vote for Hillary. Donald Trump needs to pick off blue states to get to 270 Electoral Votes needed to win the 2016 presidential election.

Poll_NH 103116

 A new WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire finds that Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton are now in a dead heat with just five days to go before Election Day.

The survey also finds Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte leading her Democratic challenger, Gov. Maggie Hassan, by 6 points in one of the key races that could determine which party will control the U.S. Senate.

The poll is consistent with a number of surveys across the country that suggest the presidential race has tightened considerably.

In the last WBUR poll — just three weeks ago — Clinton led Trump by 3 percentage points in New Hampshire. This new poll (topline, crosstabs) now shows Trump in front, with a razor thin 1-point lead, well within the 4.4 percentage point margin of error.

Among the most striking findings of the poll is how much voters continue to dislike both candidates.  Only 37 percent of respondents have a favorable view of Trump, which is up slightly from three weeks ago. While just 36 percent have a favorable view of Clinton, which is down a bit.

So for the first time, Clinton is viewed slightly less favorably than Trump.

“When we started this campaign, Trump was the most disliked candidate ever to be nominated by a major party, and Hillary Clinton was the second most disliked,” Koczela said. “So this voter distaste for the candidates is not a new dynamic, but it has not improved at all.”

Donald Trump will wrap up his presidential bid where it all began: New Hampshire.

Donald Trump will wrap up his presidential bid where it all began: New Hampshire. The GOP nominee will host his final rally before Election Day in Manchester, where he held his first official campaign event and where he claimed his first primary state victory.

But Trump’s decision to end in the Granite State may be more than nostalgia and symbolism. Polls are tightening in New Hampshire and show Trump within striking distance of Hillary Clinton, whose lead there has been cut in half over the last week in the RealClearPolitics polling average.

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