Romney Up 4% in USA TODAY/Gallup Poll … Obama Has Gender Problem with Men and Woman in Swing States
And the polling troubles for President Barack Obama keep on coming.
Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama by 4 points, 50% to 46%, among “likely” voters in the swings states in a recently released USA Today/Gallup poll. The swing states consist of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Who is to thank for Romney’s surge … WOMAN! Don’t look now, but Obama has a gender problem with both men and woman. Romney has pulled within one of Obama with woman and Romney leads Obama by 8% with men.
Mitt Romney leads President Obama by four percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank.
As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds female voters much more engaged in the election and increasingly concerned about the deficit and debt issues that favor Romney. The Republican nominee has pulled within one point of the president among women who are likely voters, 48%-49%, and leads by 8 points among men.
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“In every poll, we’ve seen a major surge among women in favorability for Romney” since his strong performance in the first debate, veteran Democratic pollster Celinda Lake says. “Women went into the debate actively disliking Romney, and they came out thinking he might understand their lives and might be able to get something done for them.”
Barack Obama already had a gender gap with men, that has not changed. However, if Obama is going to poll even with Romney with woman, this could be a landslide election. Is it really come as a surprise? Romney came across as completely likable during the first debate and not Satan as Obama attack ads had displayed. Then came Biden’s obnoxious and over the top antics during the VP debate that reminded every woman of the worst date or their ex-spouse.
Now, the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Romney leading Obama 50%-46% among likely voters in the swing states. Men who are likely voters back him 52%-44%. The states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
What is the Obama campaign’s reaction to the poll, to question the absurd poll sampling of course. Awe, whats the matter with the whiners from the Obama campaign, do they not approve of a poll that does not have a +9 to +11 D sampling? Wait a minute, didn’t they just recently criticize the Romney camp for feeling the need to talk about the public polls, because they don’t?
Posted October 15, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Epic Fail, Gallup, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Polls, Presidential Election | 2 comments |
Rasmussen Now Has Romney Ahead in Virginia 49% to 47%
Don’t look now but another battleground state is trending to Mitt Romney.
According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama 49% to 47% in the Commonwealth of Virginia. This is yet another example of a state that Obama won comfortably in 2008, 53% – 47%, but is now trailing in 2012.
Mitt Romney now has a two-point lead in Virginia.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 49% of the vote, while President Obama earns 47% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The RCP poll has Obama with a slim 0.4% lead over Romney. However, this is including a highly suspect NY Times/Quinnipiac poll that has Obama with an outlier +5 and no description in the poll of what the sampling was. When you dismiss this poll, Romney is actually slightly ahead in the averaging of polls.
Posted October 14, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Epic Fail, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Polls, Presidential Election, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics, Virginia | no comments |
Mitt Romney Closing the Gap in Ohio Polls as Romey Crowds are Surging
Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney is closing the gap in the polls in Ohio as we head into the second of three Presidential debates. As Mitt Romney draws closer, Romney has also seen his crowd get much larger and enthusiastic. The momentum is presently with Romney.
(Reuters) – Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is recovering ground in the critical swing state of Ohio as he rises in the polls and crowd numbers swell after his strong debate performance last week against President Barack Obama.
Despite pundits and pollsters dismissing Romney’s chances in the state in late September, the Republican is now either tied or just barely trailing Obama in Ohio ahead of the next presidential debate on Tuesday night.
At an event with thousands of Ohioans on Friday night, Romney boasted of “a growing crescendo of enthusiasm.” He has spoken to several large audiences in Ohio this week.
“(Obama’s) campaign is about smaller and smaller things, and our campaign is about bigger and bigger crowds fighting for a bright future,” he said on Saturday.
According to the RCP averaging of polling data, Obama is only ahead of Romney by 48% to 46.3%. Of course this is based on counting a suspect MNBC/WSJ/Marist poll that used a +10D Registered and +11D Likely polling sample to get a results of Obama +6.
Posted October 13, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Ohio, Polls, Presidential Election, Real Clear Politics | 4 comments |
Rasmussen: Romney Now Leads Obama in Swingstate Polling 49% to 47%
Don’t look now but there is more poor polling data for President Barack Obama. This time in the key and all important battleground states. According to the most recent Rasmussen Battle Ground tracking poll, Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama 49% to 47%. What a reversal of political fortune for Romney following his dominate debate performance over Obama.
The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
Check out the recent polling at RCP, Romney has pulled ahead in the averaging of the polls.
Posted October 10, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Debates, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Polls, Presidential Election, Rasmussen, Real Clear Politics | one comment |
Ohio US Senate Race Goes from Safe Democrat Back to a Toss Up … Brown (D) 46%, Mandel (R) 46%
Don’t look now but the Ohio US Senate race is back in play …
According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, the Ohio Senate race has been switched from a safe Democrat seat back to a toss up. The Ohio Senate race between incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown and GOP challenger Josh Mandel is now tied at 46% a piece. Rasmussen’s last poll had Brown up by +8.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 46% support. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Posted October 7, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Ohio, Polls, Rasmussen, Senate Elections | no comments |