COLORADO SENATE ELECTION 2014 – Cory Gardner (R) – Incumbent Mark Udall (D) … (Update: Race Called for Republican Cory Gardner, +4)

+4  FOR THE GOP FOR CONTROL OF THE US SENATE …

FOX News has called the Senate race in Colorado for Republican Cory Gardner!!! WOW, the incumbent Senator Mark Udall has lost to his GOP challenger Gardner, making it a now net gain of 4 seats for the Republicans.Fox

News projects that Republican Rep. Cory Gardner will oust first-term Democratic Sen. Mark Udall in Colorado, one of the most closely watched contests in this election cycle.

This is a significant victory for Republicans, as it turns another Senate seat from blue to red, bringing their net gain for the night to four pickups.

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VIRGINIA SENATE ELECTION 2014: Ed Gillespie (R) – Incumbent Mark Warner (D) .. Too Close to Call

FOX NEWS IS REPORTING THAT THE VIRGINIA SENATE ELECTION IS TOO CLOSE TO CALL.

WOW … Going into tonight election, Democrat incumbent Mark Warner had a 10 point lead in the polls over Republican challenger Ed Gillespie. And a couple of weeks ago Warner was up by 20. Now on election night the race is too close to call. If this is a sign of things to come for Democrats, Obama and his minions are going to have a long, long nihgt. No one had Virginia even remotely in play.

Democrat Michelle Nunn Fading in Georgia Senate Race, So Is the Democrat Chances of Control of US Senate … David Perdue Takes Poll Lead

GEORGIA, WAKE THE HELL UP, THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER’S DEMOCRAT PARTY AND MICHELLE NUNN IS HARDLY HER FATHER SAM NUNN …

There was a point in time in the George Senate race for the retiring Republican Saxby Chambliss, that Democrat challenger Michelle Nunn had a chance of pulling off the upset and shift what has been a red state to a blue Senate seat. How much of that though was because of a liberal media pushing Michelle Nunn as the daughter of former Georgia Senator Sam Nun? Georgia, do you really want to be the state that continues to empower Harry Reid and President Barack Obama? Sorry, but Michelle is not Sam Nunn.

However, the early favorably polling for Michelle Nunn seems to be subsiding as Republican David Perdue has taken the lead in the polls. According to the most recent RCP polls, Perdue is up by 2.2%.

Just remember Georgia, a vote for Michelle Nunn, is a vote for Democrat Senate Majority Leader and President Barack Obama.

For a brief time in mid-October, some Democrats believed Michelle Nunn, the party’s Senate candidate in Georgia, could be the firewall that prevents a Republican takeover of the Senate. If Nunn could win the seat opened by retiring GOP Sen. Saxby Chambliss, then Republicans would need to pick up seven, not six, seats to take control.

In half-a-dozen polls taken over a two-week period in the middle of October, Nunn led Republican opponent David Perdue in five, while the candidates tied in one. Democratic optimism surged. “National Democrats have just decided to pour $1 million into this race in Georgia, a sign of how important a victory here would be to their effort to beat the odds and hold on to control of the Senate,” the Wall Street Journal reported Oct. 17. More pro-Nunn money came after that, with a barrage of ads focusing mostly on accusations the businessman Perdue outsourced thousands of Georgia jobs.

Now, things have changed. Perdue has recovered from the attacks — he indisputably helped create thousands of jobs in his career — and in the last six polls, taken since Oct. 16, Perdue has led in five, while one was a tie. In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Perdue is up by 2.2 percentage points. In the newest poll, a NBC News-Marist survey released Sunday, Perdue leads by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.

Republicans Take a Big Lead in Colorado Early Voting … Will Cory Gardner (R) Defeat Incumbent Sen. Udall

COLORADO ROCKY MOUNTAIN HIGH FOR THE GOP IN EARLY VOTING …

More good news for the GOP in Colorado as early reports have 104,000 more Republicans than Democrats had cast their ballots as the state conducts its first major mail-in election. I guess Democrat voter are too busy getting stoned. Republican Cory Gardner is leading incumbent Democrat Senator Mark Udall in the RCP polling by 3.8%. Also amazingly, Republican challenger Bob Beauprez is tied with incumbent Democrat Gov. John Hickenlooper.

Republicans are taking a big lead in early voting in Colorado.

A report from the Secretary of State on Friday showed that 104,000 more Republicans than Democrats had cast their ballots as the state conducts its first major mail-in election.

Voters can also drop off ballots at polling stations and register through Election Day.

Republicans usually lead in early returns in Colorado but rarely by such hefty margins. Democrats and some observers expect that lead to shrink by Election Day.

Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Senate Control Hinges on Iowa … Des Moines, Iowa Poll Says Republican Joni Ernst Up by 7 Over Bruce Braley

DINGY HARRY SAYS IF REPUBLICAN JONI ERNST WINS IOWA, DEMOCRATS WILL SQUEAL LIKE A CASTRATED PIG …

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says that if Republican challenger Joni Ernst wins the Iowa Senate race against Bruce Baily, I mean Braley,  then the Democratic can kiss the US Senate majority goodbye. Truth be told, that is not entirely true as Iowa was never initially considered a Senate seat that was in play for the GOP to win a net 6 seats to gain control of the Senate. However, an Ernst win in the “Hawkeye” state probably means that the GOP will win more than a net six seats. However, that being said and if that is what Harry Reid really believes, then Reid could not have been too happy with the final Des Moines Register Iowa poll before Tuesday’s election that shows that Ernst with a 7 point advantage, 51% to 44% over Braley. Did Ernst really just break the critical majority threshold and put this race away, or is this poll an outlier as the Braley camp is praying. However, even Democrats fear that Iowa is slipping away.

Joni Ernst for US Senate

If Joni Ernst beats Rep. Bruce Braley in Iowa on Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said he expects to kiss the Democratic majority goodbye.

The Nevada Democrat said if Braley wins in Iowa, Democrats will do “just fine.” And if they lose? Say hello to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Reid said in a conference call Saturday with the Progressive Change Campaign Committee.

“Joni Ernst would mean — coming to the United States Senate — that Mitch McConnell would be leader of the United States Senate, who agrees with her on everything.

Retired Command Sgt. Major, Chris Fox, was one of the 150 Iowa soldiers Joni Ernst led into Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003. Hear what Chris has to say about Joni in this latest ad.

Des Moines Register Iowa poll:

• Although a small plurality of likely voters thinks Braley has more depth on the issues, they like Ernst better than Braley on several character descriptions. They think she better reflects Iowa values, she cares more about people like them, and she’s more of a regular, down-to-earth person.

• Voters find Ernst, who has led Iowa troops in war, to be a reassuring presence on security issues, the poll shows. In the wake of news developments on the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, increasing aggressiveness of Russia and the rise of the Islamic State in the Middle East, more likely voters see Ernst as better equipped than Braley to show leadership and judgment, by at least 9 points on each issue.

• Independent voters are going Ernst’s way, 51 percent to 39 percent.

• The negativity in the race has hurt Braley more than Ernst. Forty-four percent say he has been more negative in campaign ads, compared with 32 percent for Ernst.

• Among several potential mistakes the two candidates have made, the one that stands out is Braley’s seemingly condescending remark about Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley. In March, GOP operatives released caught-on-tape remarks Braley made at a private fundraiser in Texas that seemed to question the qualifications of “a farmer from Iowa without a law degree” to become the next chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee.

From RCP comes the graphic below that shows the US Senate races in play that show the many possibilities how the GOP pick up a net 6 seats to take control of Senate. Keep in mind that the Open Democrat seats in South Dakota and West Virginia are likely GOP and the Open Democrat seat in Montana is considered Safe GOP.  Thus, the Republicans only need a net pickup of 3 seats from the ones below.

Please IOWA … retire Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader!!!

UPDATE I: In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber.

In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican majority come next Congress. New polls out this weekend suggest that Republicans may not just win the six seats they need for control, but quite possibly eight seats — Republicans now have a 41.4 percent chance of doing just that.

Why? Let’s look at the map.

As for Iowa, Nate already spoke about the importance of the Des Moines Register poll that came out Saturday night, which showed Republican Joni Ernst up 51 to 44 percent over Democrat Bruce Braley. Even if that poll is too optimistic for Ernst, she has been ahead in the vast majority of public polls taken in October. FiveThirtyEight gives her a 71 percent chance to win.

But can Republicans hold on to Georgia and Kentucky? The answer, increasingly, looks to be yes.

UPDATE II: Democrats trotted out Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton to stop Joni Ernst … and she Widened her poll Lead.

The big political news today is that the last pre-election Iowa poll conducted on behalf of the Des Moines Register shows Ernst opening up a 7-point lead over Braley among likely voters. Jennifer Jacobs reports on the poll results here and adds 10 interesting takeaways from the poll here. The poll’s margin of error is 3.7 percent. Ernst’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error, but the movement seems to be significant and in her direction.

You have to wonder if the late movement doesn’t signify such movement in other similar races around the country. In October the Democrats pulled out all the stops for Braley. They kept Barack Obama away from the state. They threw Michelle Obama out to prop up Braley, not once (hey, give it up for her good friend “Bruce Bailey”), but twice. They threw out Hillary Clinton.

They even threw out the Big Dog himself. They brought in Bill Clinton to argue on Braley’s behalf that we would “grow together” with Bruce.