Polls Show Dead Heat in 2018 Menendez-Hugin New Jersey Senate Race

BLUE WAVE? DEMOCRATS ARE IN DEAD HEAT RACE IN NEW JERSEY …

As reported at the Politico, Democratic incumbent Sen. Bob Menendez is in a dead heat with Republican challenger Bob Hugin. Menendez leads 45 percent to Hugin’s 43 percent. That seems almost too unbelievable to be true. However, many polls at RCP show the race really is tight and within the margin of error. The MSM is focusing on states like Texas and Tennessee where they think/hope/wish Democrats will pick up red state senate seats. However, they might want to take a look at states that the Dems thought were safe. A Bob Hugin victory would be the shock of the 2018 midterm elections.

Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez is in a dead heat with Republican challenger Bob Hugin, according to a Stockton University poll released Monday, as the public’s negative view of the senator’s recent corruption trial weighs down his support.

The poll of 531 likely voters shows Menendez with 45 percent support to Hugin’s 43 percent — a difference well within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Menendez, who survived a six-week corruption trial late last year when the jury deadlocked, would normally skate to reelection given President Donald Trump’s deep unpopularity in New Jersey and the state’s normal Democratic tilt. New Jersey has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 1972.

But Hugin, a recently retired pharmaceutical executive with a vast personal fortune, has poured millions of dollars from his own pocket into the race. He spent much of the summer running TV ads attacking Menendez over his ethics record, and the Senate Ethics Committee’s severe admonishment of him.

Roughly 59 percent of voters say the corruption charges against Menendez are an “extremely important” or “significant” factor in their vote, according to the poll. But 51 percent say the same about the way Hugin profited off his company’s cancer drug.

Menendez is viewed favorably by just 30 percent of voters and unfavorably by 54 percent. Hugin, by contrast, is viewed favorably by 34 percent and unfavorably by 21 percent, but a plurality — 43 percent — aren’t familiar with him.

President Donald Trump Holds ‘MAGA’ Rally in Johnson City, Tennessee (VIDEO)

PRESIDENT TRUMP ROCKED IT LAST NIGHT IN TENNESSEE …

Last night President Donald Trump held a rally at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson, Tennessee for GOP Senate candidate Marsha Blackburn and others. It was massive, powerful and simply awesome.  Trump has the ability to fire up Republican supporters like no one since Ronald Regan. Trump touted the strong economy and warned everyone in his speech that a Democrat take over in November would erase all that has been accomplished since he was elected.

The Know News:

 President Donald Trump took the stage to cheers at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee, shortly after 7 p.m. Monday for a rally in support of U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn’s Senate campaign.

Trump began by talking about the turnaround in the economy and finally “putting America first.”

He touted the replacement of the “job-killing disaster known as NAFTA with a brand-new U.S./Mexico/Canada trade agreement and we’re calling it USMCA. No more NAFTA.”

Calling it “fair, modern and balanced,” he said it’s the largest trade deal the United States has ever negotiated and will produce jobs so companies will stop leaving.

He talked about the importance of the election, and referred to the Democrats as obstructionists and enablers of the fake news media.

He said the Democrats “campaign on resistance. They’ll take everything, including your Second Amendment, away.”

He said a Democrat takeover of Congress will plunge the country into chaos, the stock market will drop, taxes will rise and crime will flow into the nation through open borders.

He blamed the Democrats for trying to destroy Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.

“They are indeed the party of crime,” he said at one point, referring to “Democratic-supported immigration policies.”

President Trump to Hold Rally at Freedom Hall in Johnson City, TN Last Night … Check Out the Lines Waiting to Get In (VIDEO)

DON’T LOOK NOW DEMOCRATS, BUT THESE TRUMP LINES ARE LONGER THAN 2016 …

Yesterday President Donald J. Trump help a rally at Freedom Hall in Johnson City, TN for Marsha Blackburn, Bill Lee and other Republicans candidates. The lines waiting to get in were incredible.  Check out the video below. For anyone who thinks the President’s base is not energized is not paying attention to his rallies. Honestly, they look like they did in 2016, maybe even bigger. Ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, Trump is firing up the base and the Democrats have now made the election a referendum election on judge Kavanaugh.

INCREDIBLE! Longest Lines We’ve EVER SEEN at a Trump Rally in Johnson City, TN 10/1/18

Another Skewed CNN Poll Shows 10 Point Democrat Midterm Advantage Over Republicans of Likely Voters

FAKE NEWS, FAKE POLLS …

A recent CNN poll shows that Democrats have a 10 point lead over Republicans in a generic ballot test, 52% of likely voters to 42%. But wait a minute, has the liberal MSM leaned nothing from the 2016 elections and all of the bogus polling? However, what should we expect from CNN Fake News? Let’s take a look at the methodology of the poll. So in a poll where CNN states that Democrats have a 10% point lead, they sampled 34% Democrats and only 25% Republicans. Really CNN? Then there was a so-called 40% Independent.

Democrats maintain a wide lead over Republicans in the race for control of the House of Representatives, a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS finds, including a 10-point lead among those most likely to turn out this November.

In a generic ballot test, 52% of likely voters back the Democratic candidate for House of Representatives in their district while 42% back the Republican. Among all registered voters, Democrats hold a 12-point margin over the GOP, suggesting preferences have not shifted much since an August CNN Poll, which did not include an assessment of likely voters.

The questionable sampling methodology:

MORE ON METHODOLOGY

A total of 1,003 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 34% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party.

Didn’t CNN already dump their former polling firm ORC after the 2016 elections because of the BS polling and data? No one trusts fake news and fake polling. It does not appear that much has changed.

Most of the headlines about CNN’s new public-opinion poll this week focused on President Donald Trump’s 38 percent approval rating. But there was also this: After a 2016 election in which most of the data underestimated Trump’s chances, CNN has a new pollster.

The new poll was conducted by SSRS, a major survey-research company, instead of CNN’s old partner, ORC International. CNN confirmed this week that its partnership with ORC, which included co-branding of the poll, has ended after more than a decade.

The switch comes at a perilous moment for both the media and the polling industry. Attacked by the president as “fake news” for results he disagrees with, pollsters and the news organizations they work with inspire little confidence from the public. A Marist-McClatchy poll — yes, a poll about polling — back in March found that only 7 percent of Americans have a great deal of trust in polls, and just 29 percent said they have a good amount of trust in polls.

Businessman Bill Lee Wins Tennessee Republican Governor Primary Going Away

GET USED TO HEARING THE NAME, BILL LEE …

Tonight business man Bill Lee won the Tennessee Republican Governor primary by nearly 100,000 votes. Lee garnered 37% of the vote in a crowded primary defeating the likes of Randy Boyd, Diane Black and Beth Harwell. Bill Lee ran his campaign the right way and won the election the same. He never went negative, even though some of his opponents did so in a disgraceful manner. Hmm, a business man pulling off a Cinderella type upset in a political election, sound familiar? It should. The Volunteer State voted Donald Trump in as president in 2016, look for the folks in Tennessee to do the same in 2018 for Bill Lee in the governors race. He is a great businessman, a man of deep religious faith and conviction, and a good man.

In arguably the biggest Cinderella story in Tennessee Republican politics in decades, Williamson County businessman Bill Lee on Thursday secured the GOP nomination for governor.

Lee bested a formidable field of opponents that included U.S. Rep. Diane Black, Knoxville entrepreneur Randy Boyd and House Speaker Beth Harwell.

Republican Bill Lee and Democrat Karl Dean to face off in the Tennessee governor race this November. Democrat Karl Dean has a tough row to hoe as the votes just don’t seem to be there to win a general election against Lee.

Tennessee has decided. Businessman Bill Lee and former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean will face off in the race for Tennessee’s next governor.

Lee topped U.S. Rep. Diane Black, ex-state economic development commissioner Randy Boyd and state House Speaker Beth Harwell in a race that cost more than $45 million. Much of that money came from the candidates themselves.

The candidates painted themselves as the most devoted to President Donald Trump and his tough-on-immigration priorities. They questioned each other’s allegiance to the president and his policies.

Lee called himself the race’s only conservative outsider and focused heavily on his Christian beliefs.

He ran ads saying attacking him isn’t what a leader does and some people will say or do anything to get elected.

Lee heads his family’s mechanical contracting, facilities and home services firm.

Victory Speech

This is only the beginning for Bill Lee. You heard it hear. One day this individual will be running for president.