Daily Commentary – Wednesday, November 9th, 2016 – Since I Record Early, I Don’t Know Who Won the Election

• I hope that whoever you voted for won and if not, you will accept the outcome.

Daily Commentary – Wednesday, November 9th, 2016 | Download

Donald Trump Wins Presidency in Stunning & Overwhelming upset Victory over Hillary Clinton

ONCE AGAIN THE MSM, THE POLLS AND THE PUNDITS WERE WRONG …

Donald J. Trump has won and has been elected the 45th president of the United States. In what can only be called a stunning victory as Trump soundly defeated Hillary Clinton and not only ran the table of must win battleground states, but also turned blue states red.

Donald Trump was elected the nation’s 45th president in the stunning culmination of a campaign that defied expectations and conventions at every turn and galvanized legions of aggrieved Americans in a loud repudiation of the status quo.

Hillary Clinton’s quest to make history as the first female president was thwarted by the Republican nominee’s breathtaking performance at the polls. He was carried to victory by voters fed up with the political system and mistrustful of Clinton, a former first lady, senator and secretary of state.

Trump, a 70-year-old celebrity businessman who had never before run for office, is poised to become the oldest president ever elected to a first term.

After running a divisive campaign, Trump sounded a magnanimous note of reconciliation as he claimed victory shortly before 3 a.m. Wednesday.

 UPDATE I: Donald Trump Is Elected President in Stunning Repudiation of the Establishment.

Donald John Trump was elected the 45th president of the United States on Tuesday in a stunning culmination of an explosive, populist and polarizing campaign that took relentless aim at the institutions and long-held ideals of American democracy.

The surprise outcome, defying late polls that showed Hillary Clinton with a modest but persistent edge, threatened convulsions throughout the country and the world, where skeptics had watched with alarm as Mr. Trump’s unvarnished overtures to disillusioned voters took hold.

The triumph for Mr. Trump, 70, a real estate developer-turned-reality television star with no government experience, was a powerful rejection of the establishment forces that had assembled against him, from the world of business to government, and the consensus they had forged on everything from trade to immigration.

ELECTION DAY 2016 … With Many Polls & Pundits Saying Otherwise … Trump Does have a Plausible Path to 270 and Victory or What If a Tie?

TRUMP HAS A PATH TO VICTORY … CAN HE GET THERE TODAY, ELECTION DAY 2016 …

Even though many of the poll as seen at RCP have Hillary Clinton ahead in the national polls. The averaging of polls have Clinton ahead by 3.2%. However, national polls mean little to nothing, its about the states and enthusiasm.  Donald Trump does have a pathway to victory and its not that far-fetched. I am not going to lie, will it be easy, no. Is he the underdog right now, the answer is yes and maybe. Many polls are within the margin of error, which means they could go either way. One thing is for certain in a political season where there have been no certainties … no political pundits have been correct on Trump yet, why should they be now?

Here is the current RCP Map of the electoral college of states between Clinton and Trump with 203 for Clinton/Kaine, Toss Ups 171 and Trump/Pence with 164. 270 is the magical number. The toss up states are as follows”: Florida (29), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), New Hampshire (4), Maine CD2 (1), Maine (2), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Georgia (16), Colorado (9), Nevada (6), New Mexico (5), Arizona (11) and Iowa (6).

Now check this out and see if this is not a plausible possibility of what could happen today? According to may of the average of polls, this is highly possible. If this happens, the race is 269 – 269, a tie!!! It is possible the election could be a tie and its not that far out of the realm of possibility.

We will put the following states in the Trump camp: Florida (29), Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15),  Georgia (16), Nevada (6), Arizona (11) and Iowa (6).

The following states go to Clinton: Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), Colorado (9), Maine CD2 (1), Maine (2), New Mexico (5), Virginia (13),

What happens if it is a tie, what is the Tiebreaker? In the event that neither candidate gets the majority of the vote, the House of Representatives would decide the president, Congress is still bound by the electoral vote.

According to Article II, Section 1, Clause 3 of the U.S. Constitution, “[t]he Person having the greatest Number of Votes shall be the President, if such Number be a Majority of the whole Number of Electors appointed; and if there be more than one who have such Majority, and have an equal Number of Votes, then the House of Representatives shall immediately chose by Ballot one of them for President; and if no Person have a Majority, then from the five highest on the List the said House shall in like Manner chose the President.”

So basically this means the following, if Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican candidate Donald Trump each have 269 electoral votes, then the current House of Representatives must choose one of them. Because Republicans hold a majority in “current” Congress, Donald Trump would very likely be chosen. If neither candidate gets a majority of votes, then third-party candidates come into play, if they can earn electoral votes. The 12th Amendment subsequently limited Congress to choosing among the top three candidates.

But if we move the map by just one state race where in Maine CD2 (1) swings to Donald Trump, he wins 270 to 268. The point that I am trying to make is, its possible. Is there a pathway to victory for Trump, of course there is. Is there would for Hillary, yes there is as well and it is much easier. In a year in which the Chicago Cubs finally won a World Series and ended a 108-year wait, anything is possible. We will know early on as to how the races are going in New Hampshire, Maine, Georgia and Pennsylvania as to what the election day trend is, will America put up with another 4 years of Obama and a corrupt candidate like Hillary Clinton, or will Donald Trump shock the world?

Daily Commentary – Tuesday, November 8, 2016 – OK, So Today is Election Day!

• In some countries, voting is mandatory. Although not mandatory in the USA, it is very important to vote!

Daily Commentary – Tuesday, November 8, 2016  | Download

Hmm … Republicans Hold Lead in Colorado Early Voting Entering Election Day

INTERESTING, THIS BODES WELL FOR DONALD TRUMP … COULD HE REALLY FLIP COLORADO?

As reported at The Denver Post, Republicans took the lead in early voting in Colorado at the end of the day Friday and held the advantage through the weekend. According to the data released Monday, registered Republicans cast 652,380 ballots compared to 645,020 registered Democrats, a 7,360 vote GOP advantage. Now of course not all Republicans and Democrats are going to vote along party affiliation; however, this is an interesting number seeing that the Democrats have always had a greater get out the vote campaign. This does show voter enthusiasm. As stated at the Washington Examiner, the polls indicated that Colorado was a blue leaning state, but could Colorado, that went to Obama twice, be flipped to the GOP?

Trump needs to flip blue states red in order to gain 270 electoral votes. Is Colorado one of those possible states?

Republicans took the lead in early voting in Colorado at the end of the day Friday and held the advantage through the weekend despite robust Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts.

The latest early voting numbers released Monday morning show registered Republicans cast 652,380 ballots compared to 645,020 registered Democrats — a 7,360 vote GOP advantage. The breakdown looks like this: 35.2 percent Republican, 34.8 percent Democrat and 28.5 percent unaffiliated.

It’s worth noting that not all Republicans are voting for GOP nominee Donald Trump — just as not all Democrats are supporting party nominee Hillary Clinton. But the early voting is a potential sign of party organization and voter enthusiasm.