RSSBOGUS CNN Poll has Race Tied Between Romney & Obama with a +11D Sampling
The final CNN poll has Romney and Obama tied at 49% apiece. But, is the Presidential race really tied? How exactly is a poll tied when Romney leads Independents by 22 points?
And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.
At face value, it looks like a tie and the meme that the liberal MSM wants “We the People” to believe. But, is the Presidential race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama really tied or is this just one big fabricated charade to make the election appear closer than it really is?
Good grief, after reading through the litany of data we have discovered this rather interesting tidbit from page 29 of the poll describing the methodology. If that is what one wants to call it. This poll has a +11D sampling.
Respondents who reported that they had already cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.
WHAT A JOKE … in order to have the poll be a tie, CNN had to weight the sampling as a +11D. This is unreal and should be deemed criminal.
The poll claims that neither party has any advantage in the enthusiasm gap. An equal amount of registered Democrats and Republicans have described themselves as extremely or very enthusiastic about voting. Really, I guess that would be the case with a +11D skewed poll. Sorry, but as referenced at the Gay Patriot, with Romney ahead in so many polls with Independents, how is it a tie? We have been told all election season that Independents would decide the race, yet now when they are breaking for Romney … the line has been moved in the sand to over-sample Democrats.
What might be even more comical than the sampling is the fact that Romney still beat Obama in who would handle the economy better if elected. And we wonder why RCP has the polling a tie. Sorry, but RCP is doing no one any favors by including faux polls in their averages.
Posted November 5, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, CNN Opinion Research, Faux Polls, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Polls, Presidential Election | 5 comments |
Huge Crowd of 28,000 Brave the Cold to Support Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania
MITTMENTUM IN PENNSYLVANIA …
Massive crowds showed up and braved the cold weather to see Mitt Romney campaign tonight in Pennsylvania. Carl Cameron on FOX News reported that 28,000 turned out to see Mitt Romney in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. The Gateway Pundit opines that Romney in the cold is garnering larger crowd than Obama and Clinton combined.
Many more great pics can be seen at the Lonely Conservative.
It appears that the Obama campaign is panicked by Romney’s surge into Pennsylvania as they have sent Bill Clinton to do four campaign events today. Why can’t Obama go himself? Most likely that Barack Obama is persona non grata after his clinging to guns and Bibles comment.
Posted November 5, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Pennsylvania, Presidential Election | one comment |
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) Predicted Mitt Romney will win Virginia
This morning on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” House Majority Leader Eric Cantor stated that Mitt Romney would win Virginia by a larger margin than many of the polls are predicting. Cantor went on to say that Obama has provided no answers to end the near 8% unemployment and if Americans are happy with meager job growth, high unemployment and more of the same, Barack is their man.
“… do think the point is Mitt Romney has demonstrated the ability of building jobs, of making it so that we can have more investment, more economic activity, in America. he has a demonstrated track record and has provided an actual plan, whereas all you’re getting from the president in these closing days of his campaign is more negativity, more attacks, and i just think that, again, Americans are looking to see how they can make their lives work again. Barack Obama is not providing any answers, and if you like the way things are now with nearly 8% unemployment, that’s what you’re going to get if you re-elect the president.”
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From The Hill:
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) predicted Mitt Romney will win in Virginia on Tuesday — and win by a bigger margin than deadlocked polls have shown.
Cantor also said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that former Sen. George Allen (R-Va.) will beat former Gov. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) in the state’s Senate race, which has seen Allen trailing in the polls.
“On the ground in Virginia there’s a lot of enthusiasm for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan,” Cantor said. “We’re going to win this state, and I think we’re going to win a lot bigger [than polls have shown].”
It is probably safe to say, which ever presidential candidate wins Virginia will most likely provide coattails for the Senate race between former Sen. George Allen (R-VA) and former Gov. Tim Kaine (D-VA).
UPDATE I: Hmm, this is interesting, people walked out on Obama after Clinton had talked in Virginia. Looks like many Democrats with Clinton was getting a third term, rather than an Obama second one.
Posted November 4, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Presidential Election, Virginia | 4 comments |
Obama Adviser Axelerod Says, Romney’s Effort in Pennsylvania a Sign Mitt is in ‘deep trouble’ … Hmm, Then Why Dispatch Bill Clinton to PA?
This morning on FOX News Sunday, Obama senior political adviser David Axelrod told Chris Wallace that the Romney campaigns move to Pennsylvania was a sign of desperation and that they were in “deep trouble”.
Senior Obama campaign strategist David Axelrod said Mitt Romney’s visit to Pennsylvania shows the GOP nominee’s campaign is in “deep trouble” and losing in the traditional battlegrounds.
Axelrod told Chris Wallace on “Fox News Sunday” that the Romney campaign’s move into Pennsylvania is a sign of desperation because they are trailing in polls in Ohio, a state no Republican has won the election without.
“The battleground states on which we have been focusing on are not working out for them,” Axelrod said. “We’re ahead in all of them and now are looking for somewhere, desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win this election. And I can tell you that’s not going to happen.”
Ok, if it is such a sign of desperation on the part of Romney campaigning in Pennsylvania, what does one call it when Obama dispatches Bill Clinton to the Key Stone state? That is correct, Team Obama feels the need to send former President Clinton to PA to stem the “mittemtum”. If its such a waste of time and a sign that Romney is in “deep trouble”, how does Axelrod justify sending Obama’s greatest asset, Bill Clinton to Pennsylvania. In fact, as reported at the Gateway Pundit, Clinton is scheduled to do four rallies in PA.
I would dare say that it just might be Obama who is in trouble in Pennsylvania. Isn’t it interesting that Obama cannot go himself to Pennsylvania to stump in front of those folks who cling to their Bibles and guns. When will blue collar Democrats understand that Obama is 180 degrees different from Obama. A vote for Obama will end coal and any energy jobs in PA.
However, in the end when talking spinning the battleground states and what party is ahead, I think it comes back to who you think is telling the truth. To hear the GOP and Democrats discuss who is ahead is like listening to a divorce case. One of the two has to be lying as the laws of physics prove that both Obama and Romney can’t win convincingly.
If that is the litmus test, who is telling the truth, sorry but Team Obama has no credibility. For folks who can’t tell us the truth about Benghazi prior to an election as have not wanted to answer difficult questions about FEMA screw ups like running out of water following Hurricane Sandy … who is really going to believe you now?
George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
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