Could President Barack Obama Actually Lose his Home State of Illinois … Romney Leads in Chicago Suburbs

Is it possible … Could President Barack Obama actually lose his home state of Illinois in the 2012 Presidential election?

According to a poll by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon, Barack Obama may not be leading enough in Cook County, where the city of Chicago is, to win the state as Mitt Romney leads in downstate Illinois. Although this is almost impossible to believe that Romney could win a state that is not even considered a swing state, anything is possible in 2012. Many never thought that Wisconsin or Michigan could have ever been in play. In 2008 Obama won Illinois 62% to 37%. Obama won Cook County by a whopping 53 percent,  76% to 23%. If the below poll numbers are credible, then yes Obama is in trouble; however, it is just hard to believe Obama could ever lose Illinois. On the other hand as analyzed by Moe Lane, these numbers should be troublesome for Obama and bring up the issue of the enthusiasm gap for Obama. If this polling data ever came to fruition in November, the election night would look like a 1980 Reagan landslide. Because if Illinois was ever really in play, so is every other state that Obama won by double digits in 2008.

President Barack Obama could lose his home state of Illinois in November, a new poll shows.

A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.

Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state. It is also the most populous.

Those numbers do not bode well for the president.

Also, as reported at The Daily Caller:

In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney. But the Republican challenger leads 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney leads 43-31 among independent voters, a crucial voting bloc. Romney also holds a 44-38 lead among male voters, and a 53-40 lead among white voters.

3 Responses to “Could President Barack Obama Actually Lose his Home State of Illinois … Romney Leads in Chicago Suburbs”

1. RK on August 21st, 2012 10:20 am

   I found no state-wide poll numbers in the linked article’ how can a conclusion be reached without data?

   Lacking that data; the underlying story seems like a sham.
   ____________________
   SM: I am a bit suspect as well … however, there have been many other polls by big polling companies that I also find extremely suspect by there unwillingness to show the sampling breakdown or the over sampling o Democrats.
   R

2. flippy on August 21st, 2012 11:11 am

   You would think Illinois is a lock for Obama, but in reality our governors come from both parties regularly (and we put them all in prison eventually).

   Chicago is obviously a democratic stronghold, but I live out in the suburbs and you would never know it; but that isn’t new. The suburbs have very, very little to do with Chicago politically.

3. RK on August 22nd, 2012 7:52 am

   Suspect or not, there are no actual statewide poll results offered that I saw in the linked article to support the conclusion offered.

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