September 2018 Unemployment Rate Falls to 3.7%, Falls to the Lowest Rate Since 1969

LOWEST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN 49 YEARS …

As reported at CNBC, the unemployment rate fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.7% . This is the lowest since December 1969 and one-tenth of a percentage point below expectations. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 134,000.  Also, August’s initial jobs count was revised up dramatically, from 201,000 to 270,000, while July’s numbers came up as well, from 147,000 to 165,000.

Job creation for September fell to its lowest level in a year though the unemployment rate dropped to a point not seen in nearly 50 years, according to Labor Department figures released Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls rose just 134,000, well below Refinitiv estimates of 185,000 and the worst performance since September 2017 when a labor strike weighed on the numbers. The unemployment rate fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.7 percent, the lowest since December 1969 and one-tenth of a percentage point below expectations.

Posted October 5, 2018 by
Economy, Jobs, Unemployment | one comment

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll: Kavanaugh Confirmation Battle Has Caused Democratic Enthusiasm Edge to Evaporate

DON’T LOOK NOW BUT DEMOCRATS HAVE AWOKE A SLEEPING REPUBLICAN GIANT AND THEY ARE PEEVED …

With just about a month before the 2018 midterm elections, a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll shows that the once overwhelming lead in enthusiasm by Democrats has all but evaporated. The 10 point gap in July is only a 2 point one as Republicans have narrowed the gap. What is different? The Brett Kavanaugh confirmation of course. Republicans are irate over how Democrats have handled this process and the treatment of Kavanaugh. The result is that the Kavanaugh appointment to the SCOTUS is now a campaign issue and Democrat senators in red states won by President Donald Trump in 2016 are how in big trouble.

NPR Enthusiasm poll 100218

Just over a month away from critical elections across the country, the wide Democratic enthusiasm advantage that has defined the 2018 campaign up to this point has disappeared, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.

In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying the November elections were “very important.” Now, that is down to 2 points, a statistical tie.

Democrats’ advantage on which party’s candidate they are more likely to support has also been cut in half since last month. Democrats still retain a 6-point edge on that question, but it was 12 points after a Marist poll conducted in mid-September.

The Dana Pretzer Show – Thursday, October 4, 2018 – Please Join Dana Pretzer Tonight at 9 PM ET with Special Guests: Saina Kamula, Mark Makela and Alanna Vagianos

LISTEN TO THE DANA PRETZER SHOW

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LISTEN TO PODCAST HERE

Tonight’s guests:

Harris Poll on Kavanaugh Nomination: 61% of Voters State that If No Corroborating Evidence is Found That They Would Like the Nomination to Proceed

THE DEMOCRATS HAVE OVERPLAYED THEIR HAND AND ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE OF THE PEOPLE …

In a recent Harris poll, 61% of voters believe that if there is no corroborating evidence found to support Dr. Ford’s accusations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, that they would like the nomination to proceed. This is damning to Democrats as they have demanded that they would not be satisfied until there was a FBI investigation into Dr. Ford’s claims. That eventually happened and according to all accounts, witnesses have been questioned, the investigation is supposed to wrap up this week, without any further corroborating evidence. A majority of American people are sick of the “national disgrace” and want it over. With no evidence to support Dr. Ford’s 36 year old allegations, a majority of Americans think it is time to move forward. If the Democrats continue to play games, they will suffer great consequences in the 2018 midterms. Democrats have definitely overplayed their hand and never thought it would get to this point. They thought with their last minute accusations and a complicit propaganda media, Kavanaugh would have withdrew or Trump would have pulled the nomination. Neither happened as Kavanaugh has defended his honor and family and the Democrats are left looking like children going after drinking and ice throwing accusations.

On aggregate, voters wanted corroborating evidence before calling for Kavanaugh’s withdrawal. Sixty-one percent of voters said that if no corroborating evidence is found that that they would like the nomination to proceed. When asked if the allegations against Kavanaugh are mostly true, 51% of voters still through the nomination should proceed (49% say it should be withdrawn).

A majority of voters believe that Kavanaugh’s confirmation process was politicized and mishandled, with 69% calling it a “national disgrace”. They blame both parties for being partisan, with 54% blaming the Republicans and 55% blaming Democrats. Further, 75% of voters believe that Senator Diana Feinstein should have immediately turned over the letter from Christine Ford to the Senate Judiciary committee in July, when she received it.

The Kavanaugh nomination battle also appears to have further polarized the political environment, with 45% of voters saying they are more likely to vote in the midterm elections. Ultimately, 63% of voters believe Kavanaugh will be confirmed.

Polls: North Dakota Senate – Cramer vs. Heitkamp … Kavanaugh Nomination Front and Center for Red State Democrats

BLUE WAVE? RED STATE DEMOCRATS MIGHT BE BLOWN OUT OF OFFICE AS KAVANAUGH BECOMES MIDTERM REFERENDUM

In a recent Valley News Live poll conducted by Strategic Research Associates of Austin, Texas, Republican U.S. Senate challenger in North Dakota Kevin Cramer is ahead of incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp by 10 percentage points, 51%-41%. If this trend continues, Republicans will be picking up this Senate seat in the 2018 midterm elections. Even more damning to not only Democrat incumbent Heitkamp, another question asked during the poll stated that 60% of the likely voters in North Dakota support the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, while 27% were opposed. This forces Heitkamp into a precarious situation, and not just her, all Red state Democrat Senators where Trump won overwhelmingly in 2016. The Kavanaugh nomination has now become a voting issue for the 2018 midterm elections as the Democrats have way overplayed their hand.

Cramer-Heidcamp ND

Republican candidate Kevin Cramer is ahead in the latest polling by Valley News Live on the U.S. Senate race in North Dakota. The poll, conducted by Strategic Research Associates of Austin, Texas, has Cramer in front of the incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp by 10 percentage points, 51-41. The difference is in male voters, where Cramer garners 56.% to Heitkamp’s nearly 35%. Females are virtually tied (46.6%-46.5%).

A total of 650 likely voters were surveyed between September 17-27th on both landline and cell phones.

In another question that VNL asked, 60% of the likely voters in North Dakota support the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court. 27% were opposed.

RCP now has Republican Kevin Cramer up by 6 points, 49% to 43% over incumbent Democrat Heitkamp. Look for this state to flip Republican.

Posted October 3, 2018 by
2018 Elections, Polls, Senate | no comments

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