2014 Louisiana Senate Runnoff Election Poll … GOP Challenger Bill Cassidy Ahead of Incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu by 16 Points

Not even a Democrat stunt of a Keystone Pipeline vote in the Senate is going to save Mary Landrieu … Could wind up being a +9 Senate pickup in the end.

According to an internal poll conducted on behalf of the Cassidy campaign, GOP challenger Bill Cassidy has 56.6% of the vote, while incumbent Democrat Landrieu’s 40.5% in a poll conducted by Magellan Strategies. WOW, a 16 point lead for Cassidy as the Landrieu camp cries foul. But is it that hard to believe? On November 4th the Senate election results in Louisiana were Landrieu (D) 43%, Cassidy (R) 42% and Manness (R) 14%. So in a runoff election between just Landrieu and Cassidy, why shouldn’t Cassidy get the Conservative Tea Party Republican vote from Manness? It is a pretty safe to say that that the Democrat will not get them.

The final election results in Loisiana may not be a 16 point win for Cassidy, but it is hard to believe that he will not win. Even the Democrats Senate vote for the Keystone pipeline will not save her. Harry Reid had 6 years to hold a vote and refused to. As Bill Cassidy said, sadly the only job that Reid is interested in protecting is Mary Landrieu’s. The Senate Louisiana runoff is scheduled for December 6, 2014.

Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) has opened up a 16 point lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in their Louisiana Senate runoff, according to an internal poll conducted on behalf of the Cassidy campaign and obtained by The Hill.

Cassidy takes 56.6 percent against Landrieu’s 40.5 percent in the poll conducted by Magellan Strategies. While internal polls should be viewed with some skepticism, it’s the first head-to-head poll to be released in the runoff period. The RealClearPolitics average of polls taken before Election Day showed Cassidy up
by only 5 percent in the head-to-head matchup.

A source close to the Landrieu campaign strongly pushed back against the poll, arguing that it’s an automated, push-button poll conducted by a conservative outlet, it used loaded terms to survey only issues pertinent to the Cassidy campaign, and that it underestimates Landrieu’s popularity among African American voters.

On Election Day, Landrieu took 43 percent in a field where Republicans split the vote. Cassidy trailed in at 42 percent, and Tea Party candidate Rob Maness at 14 percent. Louisiana’s election rules require a run-off on December 6 between the top two candidates since no candidate topped 50 percent of the vote.

Maness has since rallied conservatives to back Cassidy. Influential conservatives like Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-La.) and Sarah Palin have endorsed Cassidy and are participating in “unity rallies” to help him unseat Landrieu.