Romney Up 4% in USA TODAY/Gallup Poll … Obama Has Gender Problem with Men and Woman in Swing States
And the polling troubles for President Barack Obama keep on coming.
Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama by 4 points, 50% to 46%, among “likely” voters in the swings states in a recently released USA Today/Gallup poll. The swing states consist of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Who is to thank for Romney’s surge … WOMAN! Don’t look now, but Obama has a gender problem with both men and woman. Romney has pulled within one of Obama with woman and Romney leads Obama by 8% with men.
Mitt Romney leads President Obama by four percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank.
As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds female voters much more engaged in the election and increasingly concerned about the deficit and debt issues that favor Romney. The Republican nominee has pulled within one point of the president among women who are likely voters, 48%-49%, and leads by 8 points among men.
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“In every poll, we’ve seen a major surge among women in favorability for Romney” since his strong performance in the first debate, veteran Democratic pollster Celinda Lake says. “Women went into the debate actively disliking Romney, and they came out thinking he might understand their lives and might be able to get something done for them.”
Barack Obama already had a gender gap with men, that has not changed. However, if Obama is going to poll even with Romney with woman, this could be a landslide election. Is it really come as a surprise? Romney came across as completely likable during the first debate and not Satan as Obama attack ads had displayed. Then came Biden’s obnoxious and over the top antics during the VP debate that reminded every woman of the worst date or their ex-spouse.
Now, the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Romney leading Obama 50%-46% among likely voters in the swing states. Men who are likely voters back him 52%-44%. The states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
What is the Obama campaign’s reaction to the poll, to question the absurd poll sampling of course. Awe, whats the matter with the whiners from the Obama campaign, do they not approve of a poll that does not have a +9 to +11 D sampling? Wait a minute, didn’t they just recently criticize the Romney camp for feeling the need to talk about the public polls, because they don’t?
Posted October 15, 2012 by Scared Monkeys 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Battle Ground States - Swing States, Epic Fail, Gallup, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Polls, Presidential Election | 2 comments |
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It is about time Gallup did a poll that wasn’t skewed to the Democrats. This one is still not equal to the balance of the 2010 elections.
Romney is actually likely to be one or two points higher than the poll indicates.
Since Axlerod and Holder threatened Gallup, they have skewed their polls towards the Democrats. This may turn out to be one of Gallup’s better polls.
After extensive + continuing whining by Obama campaign to Gallup, Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport released a statement noting that they are going with likely voter model now that was slanted to Dems by more than Obama won in 2008 and less than Bush won by in 2004. So they may have done a little tweaking but otherwise appears the answer is “tough!”