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October 18, 2012

Barack Obama Tanking in Gallup Poll, Romney 52% – Obama 45%

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Gallup,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Obamanation,Polls,Presidential Election,Rasmussen,Real Clear Politics,WAPO-ABC News

Drip, drip, drip …

WOW, the 7 day rolling average Gallup poll has Mitt Romney up by 7 points over President Barack Obama, 52% to 45%. The gap is widening and with a good debate this coming Monday, Romney could finish Obama off once and for all and break the election wide open.

It would appear that Obama just showing up and doing better than the first debate, which was not hard to do, has not affected the polling. Romney is starting to separate himself.

Hot Air reminds us also that Rasmussen now has Romney up by 2% over Obama in their tracking poll. It appears that their individuals polled were not impressed by Obama’s debate performance either.

Interestingly, Romney’s 49% is solid with or without leaners.  Without leaners, Obama only gets to 46%. Among those “certain” to vote, Romney leads 46/44.  Republicans now have an eight-point advantage on enthusiasm, 83/75, with independents nearly as enthused as Democrats at 72%.

Romney is starting to see a lot of polls in his favor as seen at Real Clear Politics. This is interesting, ABC News touts the Romney lead in the Gallup poll and in the process references their own recent poll that where an ABC/WAPO poll had Obama ahead of Romney 49% to 46%. Funny they should bring this up because in order to give Obama a three point lead over Romney, the hacks at ABC/WAPO had to provide a +9D sampling.  Yea, that is believable. In Obama’s once in a life time election in 2008 Democrats  had a +7 turnout. So ABC/WAPO thinks that Democrats are going to turn out even more? Not likely.

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

             Democrat   Republican   Independent
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33

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