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August 17, 2012

It’s Official, CNN Has Moved Wisconsin Moves to a True Toss Up State for the 2012 Electorial Map

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Battle Ground States - Swing States,CNN Opinion Research,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Obamanation,Polls,Presidential Election,Rasmussen,Wisconsin

It would appear that Rep. Paul Ryan (WI-R) has all the right stuff and was a great choice by Mitt Romney o he his VP on the GOP 2012 Presidential ticket. According to CNN and recent polls following the addition of Ryan as the Republican VP candidate, Wisconsin has been moved to a “true” toss up state in the 2012 electoral map. What a difference 4 years makes. In 2008 Obama defeated McCain in Wisconsin 56% to 43%, now it’s a toss up. If a double digit Obama win in 2008 is now a toss up in 2012 … Obama, you have a problem and not just in Wisconsin.

Biden to Obama: This is a big F’n deal, Wisconsin is not a toss up state.

CNN Thursday turned the important battleground state of Wisconsin from “lean Obama” to true “toss up” on its electoral map, in the wake of Mitt Romney’s naming of House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, a seven term congressman from the Badger state, as his running mate.

With Wisconsin’s move to true “toss up,” the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 206 electoral votes, and states with 95 electoral votes up for grabs. 270 electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

While Obama won Wisconsin by double digits, Sen. John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic nominee, narrowly captured the Badger State, over President George W. Bush, and Vice President Al Gore edged out Bush in the state in the 2000 contest. It appears the 2012 contest in Wisconsin will be much closer to those competitive contests than the 2008 election.

Even though the CNN poll has Obama still ahead it is important to point oit that it is with registered voters. When polling “likely” voters, Rasmussen has Romney ahead by 1%. However, CNN did not release the partisan demographic breakdown of those polled so its impossible to see just how weighted this poll was for Democrats. Much more analysis at Hot Air.


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