California Senate Election 2010: Barbara Boxer (D) 42%, Tom Campbell 41% (R)

Could the California US Senate seat fall to the GOP? Could Tom Campbell be the next Scott Brown in California? GOP trying their hardest to make Boxer’s title, “ex-Senator” from California.

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer is in serious trouble in her reelection bid for the US Senate seat of California. In a predominantly Democrat state, Boxer is struggling in the polls. Boxer leads Republicans challengers Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore, 45% – 38% and 46% – 40%; however, she only leads GOP hopeful Tom Campbell by one percentage point, 42% to 41%, in the most recent Rasmussen poll.

Embattled Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer remains in a virtual tie with Republican challenger Tom Campbell, but two other GOP hopefuls are still failing to gain traction in California’s race for the U.S. Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in California shows Boxer with 42% support in a match-up with Campbell, a former congressman, who earns 41%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and 12% remain undecided.

Rasmussen references that one of Boxer’s positives is the power of the incumbency. However, is that really the case in the present political mood in the United States? If anything, it might be what is dragging Boxer down in a state that is overwhelmingly Democratic. One issue with being the incumbent is every one knows who you are and have an opinion. Boxer struggles with her favorably rating.

Twenty-five percent (25%) of California voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Boxer, while 34% view her Very Unfavorably.

Campbell is seen Very Favorably by 12% and Very Unfavorably by 12%.

It does make one scratch their head why GOP favorite Sarah Palin endorsed Carly Fiorina instead of Campbell, especially when Fiorina has been losing traction and Campbell is on the verge of a potential Scott Brown moment in California.

The Republican primary takes place of  June 8, 2010. The winner will face Barbara “Don’t call me Ma’am” Boxer for all the marbles.