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September 17, 2016

Reuters/Ipsos: 2016 Presidential Race Tightens in Projected U.S. Electoral College Vote

Posted in: 2016 Elections,Donald Trump,Donald Trump,Donald Trump - Mike Pence 2016,Hillary Clinton,Polls

ITS SLIP, SLIDING AWAY FROM HILLARY CLINTON AS THE POLLS AND ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTE TIGHTEN

An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks. Hillary has fallen and she can’t get up, both literally and figuratively. Her once insurmountable lead over Donald Trump is all gone and now The Donald has all of the momentum at just the right time.

The RCP average polling in a 4 way race is down to a Hillary 1.1 lead.

Hillary has Fallen and She cant get Up

An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.

The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.

The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.

And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton. If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.

In a separate national Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll, Clinton continues to lead Trump by 4 percentage points, and her recent bout with pneumonia doesn’t appear to have scared away her supporters.


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