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August 26, 2010

California Senate Election 2010: Barbara Boxer (D) 44%, Carly Fiorina (R) 43% … Toss Up

Posted in: 2010 Elections,Economy,Jobs,Polls,Rasmussen,Senate Elections,Unemployment

US Senate incumbent Barbara Boxer finds herself in a dog fight with Republican challenger Carly Fiorina for the California US Senate seat. In the heavily “blue” state of California, Boxer only finds herself up by 1% in the latest Rasmuseen poll over Fiorina, 44% to 43%.

Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and her Republican challenger Carly Fiorina are now essentially tied in California’s U.S. Senate race, moving the state from Leans Democratic to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in California shows Boxer with 44% support, while Fiorina picks up 43% of the vote. Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

The race appears to be tightening as earlier this month Boxer had a 5% point lead over Fiorina and in JulyBoxer had a 7% point lead. Obviously,  the polling trend is moving toward Fiorina and it might just be the terrible economic situation in California. Only 2%, yes that is correct 2% of California voters believe the economy is good, while 67% state that it is poor.

Just two percent (2%) of all California voters rate the economy as good, while 67% describe it as poor. Twenty-one percent (21%) say the economy is getting better, but 51% think it’s getting worse.

RCP has the average polling date at +3.5% for Boxer; however, that includes July 2010 polling and does not include Rasmussen’s new CA US Senate polling. If only current polling is considered, Boxer is actually trailing Fiorina by 2%.

We head into the home strech and California is a toss up states and in play for a potential GOP pick up in the 2010 midterm elections.

With such a grim outlook on the economy in California, it kind of makes one wonder where the disconnect is that according to Rasmussen, ”55% of voters in California approve of Obama’s job performance as president. Forty-three percent (43%) disapprove”.

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