What Happened to the 10 Point Obama General Election Bounce over McCain?

Where’s the big bounce every one predicted?

Every one in the political pundit world had predicted that upon becoming the presumptive Democratic nominee that Barack Obama would get a bump and be ahead by10 point in the polls over John McCain. After all, all polls show that the Democrats are looked upon more favorably for the Fall elections and that Dems should pick up seats in the US House, Senate and State governorships. So where is this 10 point lead? If no bounce occurs, McCain’s stance on immigration could play well in a general election.

According to the Rasmussen Report Obama leads McCain 46% to 42%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 48% to 45%. A CNN poll has Obama and McCain in a dead heat. Keep in mind that this poll was taken after Obama was the presumptive nominee.

In the CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted entirely after Obama became the presumptive Democratic nominee, he leads his Republican counterpart 49 to 46 percent among registered voters — a statistical tie, given the question’s 3 point margin of error.

The poll is the first conducted entirely after Obama became the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Team McCain Offers Their Outlook on the General Election