What Happened to the 10 Point Obama General Election Bounce over McCain?


Where’s the big bounce every one predicted?

Every one in the political pundit world had predicted that upon becoming the presumptive Democratic nominee that Barack Obama would get a bump and be ahead by10 point in the polls over John McCain. After all, all polls show that the Democrats are looked upon more favorably for the Fall elections and that Dems should pick up seats in the US House, Senate and State governorships. So where is this 10 point lead? If no bounce occurs, McCain’s stance on immigration could play well in a general election.

According to the Rasmussen Report Obama leads McCain 46% to 42%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 48% to 45%. A CNN poll has Obama and McCain in a dead heat. Keep in mind that this poll was taken after Obama was the presumptive nominee.

In the CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted entirely after Obama became the presumptive Democratic nominee, he leads his Republican counterpart 49 to 46 percent among registered voters — a statistical tie, given the question’s 3 point margin of error.

The poll is the first conducted entirely after Obama became the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Team McCain Offers Their Outlook on the General Election

If you liked this post, you may also like these:

  • Gallup Poll: Virtual Tie, Obama 44% – McCain 42% … Where be the Bounce?
  • Don’t Look Now Democrats …. Zogby Polls Says John McCain Beats both HillaryClinton and Barack Obama in General Election
  • McCain/Palin 2008 … The Polling Trends do not Lie … Polling Surge for McCain & Palin
  • John McCain … the Real Maverick … the Real Independent … Gallup Poll McCain Opens 15 point Lead Among Independents
  • Panic Time for Obama … McCain/Palin Gets Bounce and Poll Trending in their Favor (Gallup & Zogby)

  • Comments

    13 Responses to “What Happened to the 10 Point Obama General Election Bounce over McCain?”

    1. Ted on June 7th, 2008 9:49 am

      Q&A How can McCain SIMULTANEOUSLY attract both Hillary AND Bob Barr voters? Answer: PALIN Veep!

    2. caesu on June 7th, 2008 11:05 am

      Hillary just endorsed Obama.
      i think Obama’s lead will further increase now.

      of course there are some bitter Hillary supporters who now will vote for McCain.

      but there are way more GOP supporters who have enough of that corrupt and misleading party and have switched to Obama.

    3. LilPuma on June 7th, 2008 12:19 pm


      From the Ayotollah Kohmeini, to Tiananmen Square, from WWII to Vietnam, from 9-11 to US soldiers and Iraqi children, this video tells a story. For all our flaws and problems, I’m proud of my country.

    4. LilPuma on June 7th, 2008 12:19 pm

      I forgot Tibet. It’s in there too.

    5. Jack on June 7th, 2008 1:14 pm

      Obama is just too shady for me!!!iam voting for McCain!!!

    6. LilPuma on June 7th, 2008 4:52 pm

      The link I gave above now shows “closed for maintenance”. I hope it comes back up soon.

      Jack, I agree that we don’t know that much about Obama, his track record is very short, and there are so many unanswered questions that the media never even bothered to ask as they escorted him through the primary.

    7. bob on June 7th, 2008 6:09 pm

      The polls lie. The elections are rigged.

    8. katablog.com on June 7th, 2008 9:17 pm

      I agree that polls tell us very little, especially when the ones reported by most of the MSM are only the polls they want us to believe.

      I’m sick of the MSM being so heavy handed in an election. They need to go back to simply Journalism.

      It would appear that many Hillary supporters have no intention of “getting behind Obama”. Reading the comments on her site makes it appear that McAmnesty picked up some more voters.

      Another reason not to believe polls is because Obama is making a gaffe a day for the last week or so. Sooner or later even the MSM isn’t going to protect his silliness.

    9. Kat_Gram on June 8th, 2008 1:33 pm

      There needs to be a change in America.
      I am Canadian so it affects us too.
      I don’t know of one person in Canada who thinks McCain and more of the same is a good thing.
      At least under Bill Clinton, your economy was good.
      Years of Bush and his cronies has led to this. Coporate American is running and ruining the North America. Been at the gas pump lately ?
      Been at the store ? Find any American made or Canadian goods ? I know I should not say what I just said, but I did.

    10. LilPuma on June 8th, 2008 6:21 pm

      Katablog, there isn’t a candidate or a member of our Congress that doesn’t know changes need to come and come soon. No matter who gets elected President, there’s always a struggle for control of the House of Reps and Senate, and they all know their approval ratings are in the sewer. The difference is how to go about it. Dems typicallly go for government programs and Republicans generally try to offer incentives to enable corporations and people to do for themselves. McCain is NOT McBush. In fact, he’s been critical of Bush and has disagreed with him on many issues. Obama is so far left that he scares me. I also read his website and don’t see how his plans could possibly be economically feasible. I think this is an important election. I wish Hillary had won. I wish I knew earlier what I know now about Obama–I would have worked for Hillary. At least with Hillary and John McCain, I’d feel like we have to candidates that I could live with. Obama–too many question marks for me and several red flags.

      Anyway, I’ve rambled about my opinions, but I wanted to tell you to watch CNN if you want to know more about these two — they’ve done two shows today comparing McCain and Obama, their ideas and policies.

    11. Katablog.com on June 8th, 2008 6:39 pm

      kat-gram please clear the messianic kool-aid from your eyes and see just who Barack Hussein Obama really is. Canada isn’t socialistic yet, but it’s moving that way. Please don’t wish that garbage on us.

      You see Socialism and Marxism “sound” good but there’s a tiny little problem with their tenets. You have to have at least 50% of the people dump enough to work hard for the other 50% looking for a free lunch. It doesn’t work. It won’t work. Also, as you turn control of handouts over to the government, there’s this strong tendency for them to skim billions off the top for their own little pet projects as we see happening in our Congress right now.

    12. LilPuma on June 8th, 2008 7:03 pm

      11 and 9: Sorry, I mixed you two up. My post was directed to Kat_Gram.

      The problem I have with government programs is twofold: One, it encourages SOME to take from the government things they could get/do for themselves. Two, our government is so inefficient and bloated with waste and incompetence that anything administered by them is usually a total mess and a huge cost.

      Kat_Gram, there’s no reason you shouldn’t express yourself. Thanks to Red and Company, we have a place to express our opinions, concerns, knowledge and discuss, debate and learn from others.
      :::Salutes Red, Dana, Dugga and Klaasend:::

    13. caesu on June 9th, 2008 6:43 am

      in the new Rasmussen poll Obama is already leading 7 points. not 10, but he is getting there.


      Obama’s bounce is the result of growing unity among the Democratic Party. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Democrats say they will vote for Obama over McCain. That’s the highest level of party support ever enjoyed by Obama.

      Obama’s bounce can be seen in his favorability ratings as well. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters now give the Illinois Senator positive reviews. Just 41% have an unfavorable opinion. Those totals include 36% with a Very Favorable opinion and 27% with a Very Unfavorable opinion. Today’s results are the highest ratings yet recorded for Obama.

    Leave a Reply

    Support Scared Monkeys! make a donation.

    • NEWS (breaking news alerts or news tips)
    • Red (comments)
    • Dugga (technical issues)
    • Dana (radio show comments)
    • Klaasend (blog and forum issues)
    E-mail It