WaPo/ABC Poll Shows Obama Ahead 50% – 47%, With +6D Sampling
Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Polls,WAPO-ABC News
WaPo/ABC Poll: Obama 50% – Romney 47%, BUT …
Once again we are presented with a poll that in order to give President Barack Obama a lead, the poll had to over-sample democrats by +6. The partisan breakdown is 35% Democrat, 32% independent, and 29% Republican. Thus, in order for this to be remotely possible Obama would have to capture lighting in a bottle and recreate the 2008 voter turnout o+7D that was a once in a life time event. In other words, fat chance.
One thing that will come from a post 2012 election is that polling will be put front and center and forever questioned as being credible or partisan.
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