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September 10, 2012

PPP, Another Democrat Leaning Poll Weighted +4 Democrats with Faux Results, Obama’s lead up to 5 in Ohio Over Romney, 50%-45%

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Economy,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Obamanation,Obamanomics,Polls,PPP

How disingenuous could some of these political polls really be?

Once again the PPP poll has come out with some rather suspect polling, done so to make it appear that Barack Obama got some kind of tremendous bounce from the DNC convention. The PPP poll shoes that Obama has a 5 point lead over Mitt Romney in the battleground state of Ohio, 50% to 45%. Really? Is that your final answer? In order to get this polling data for Obama to be up by 5, the sampling used was as follows, Sampling of the PPP poll: Democrats 41%, Republican 37%, Independent/Other 22%. The full polling results can be seen HERE.

Both candidates have seen their images improve with Ohio voters in the wake of the conventions. Obama now breaks even in his approval rating at 48%, after being under water with 46% of voters approving and 51% disapproving of him a month ago. Romney’s numbers are up from a 41/52 favorability rating a month ago as well, but he still remains unpopular. Only 44% see him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion. Romney actually leads 46-44 with independents but Obama has the overall advantage thanks to a more unified party base. He leads 86/11 with Democrats, compared to Romney’s 83/13 advantage with Republicans.

With all due respect to OTB, I would hardly consider polling sampling used from exit polling from 2008 that was a once in a lifetime election with Obama/Democrat voting at record highs and Republican voting suppressed. Yes, I do tend to dismiss the PPP poll. Sorry, when a candidate has a lead with the all important Independent vote, I find it a bit unrealistic to believe that Obama is up by 5.

We shall see in November and how many more bad jobs reports come out. What we conveniently do not see in the poll is who do Ohioians think Obama has handled the number one issue in the United States, the economy. Sorry, this poll is what is called an outlier to get to the magical unicorn number of 50%.


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