Show Me State Could Show Incumbent Democrats the Door … Election 2012: Missouri President Missouri: Romney 48% – Obama 45% & Missouri Senate: Steelman (R) 49% – McCaskill (D) 42%

Missouri, the “Show Me” state may just show incumbent Democrats President Barack Obama and US Senator Claire McCaskill the door in the 2012 elections.

Presently Democrats Barack Obama and Claire McCaskill are trailing in the polls in Missouri. The latest Rasmussen poll has presumptive GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a 48% to 45% lead over President Obama in Missouri. However, the slim 3% lead is more damaging for Obama than that, an incumbent President under 50% represents deep trouble for Obama in Missouri.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds the prospective Republican nominee with just a three-point edge over the president – 48% to 45%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Also, incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill is also in trouble in the Show Me state. McCaskil trails two of her three Republican challengers and is tied with the third. According to Rasmussen, Former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman leads McCaskill by 7 points, 49% to 42%. Also, Congressman Todd Akin has a five-point lead over McCaskill, 48% to 43%.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Missouri finds former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman ahead of McCaskill by seven points – 49% to 42%. Steelman had a 10-point lead a month ago.  Two percent (2%) still prefer another candidate given this matchup, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Congressman Todd Akin posts a five-point lead over McCaskill – 48% to 43%. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. Last month, Akin led by seven.

Missouri may just turn out to be a double whammy against Democrats in 2012. Obama barely lost Missouri in 2008 and McCaskill defeated Talent 50% – 47% in 2006 when the Democrats retook the Congress. However, much has changed since then. McCaskill is going to have to defend her vote for Obamacare and the failed$787 billion Stimulus plan. Also, the GOP’s efforts to retake the US Senate, targeting McCaskill’s seat, may just spell doom for McCaskill and Obama. There will be no Obama coattails in Missouri and any connection to Obama may be deemed toxic by the voters in 2012.