Another Democrat Alka Seltzer Moment, Conservatives Most Enthusiastic About 2010 Midterm Vote

RUT-ROH Democrats don’t look now but more bad news for the upcoming 2010 midterm elections … Gallup Poll indicated that Conservatives are the most enthusiastic about voting in the 2010 midterms.

Democrats better buy stock in Alka Seltzer this Fall

Registered voters who identify themselves as conservatives are significantly more enthusiastic about voting in this fall’s congressional elections than are liberals or moderates. Those who say they are “very” conservative are the most enthusiastic of all, with substantially higher enthusiasm than those who say they are “very” liberal.

45% of total Conservatives, 62% of very Conservative and only 21% of liberals are very enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming 2010 midterm elections. Is it any wonder that the buzz is that Republicans have a real chance of taking back the House of Representatives and even an outside chance at the US Senate.

Not only do Conservatives have the momentum, but we also need to analyze the the identity (political ideology) of the percentage of voters that are not motivated to vote.

It may be more instructive to look at the “not enthusiastic” numbers.  Among all self-identified conservative voters, only 30% report being unenthusiastic about the midterms.  In comparison, 50% of moderates and 42% of liberals are apathetic.  Considering the wide gaps in identification with these positions, those position differences point to a midterm wipeout for nonconservative candidates.

That helps Republicans, but it goes deeper than that.  The most enthusiastic Democratic voters are those who identify as conservatives (33%), not moderates (20%) or liberal (26%).

So many of the polls are pointing in one direction and that is a Republican tsunami in 2010. Now all the GOP has to do is not screw it up and remember what brought you back from the abyss, and it was not being Republican light.