Larry J. Sabato & The Crystal Ball’s Final 2010 Midterm Call: GOP +55 House; GOP +8 Senate
Political election guru and handicapper Larry J. Sabato at the Crystal Ball has made his final call for the House and Senate for the 2010 midterm elections and they are as follows … Republicans will pick up +55 seats in the House and+8 seats in the Senate. Sabato also predicting a GOP pick-up of 8 to 9 Governors.
HOUSE
Even at this late date, we see no need to do anything but tweak the total R gains, based on more complete information now available to all. Thus, we are raising the total to +55 net R seats. We consider 47 to be in the ballpark still, but more of a floor than a ceiling. In fact, if you’ll go back to our pre-Labor Day analysis, that’s exactly what we suggested +47 would end up being.
SENATE
The Crystal Ball has operated within a very narrow range all year. When others were projecting GOP Senate gains of just +3-4, we were already at +6. Depending on the primary results and other circumstances, we’ve landed between +6 and +9 in the last half-year. We have never gotten to +10, the number needed for Republican takeover of the Senate, and we do not do so in this final forecast either. To us, the number of GOP gains looks to be +8. Ten was always a stretch.
Posted October 29, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Governor Races, Harry Reid (D-NV), House Elections, House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, Politics, Polls, Senate Elections | no comments |
The Independent Vote Paves the Way for Victory for the GOP in Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado & Pennsylvania
Obama and the democrats have lost the Independent vote …
Less than a week before the 2010 midterm elections and the independent vote is making it possible for Republican US Senate wins in Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado and Pennsylvania. It was Barack Obama who carried independents in 2008; however, that was then, this is now. Independents have all but abandoned the Democrats in 2010 as the oppose the Reid, Pelosi, Obama agenda.
In a recent TIME/CNN/Opinion Research poll, Republican and Tea Party favorite Sharron Angle leads Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 49% to 45%. No wonder the Reid camp is gaming the system with buying votes. Also, Tea Party backed GOP candidate Rand Paul is riding the wave of independent support with a 50% – 43% lead over Democrat Jack Conway in Kentucky. Rand Paul is destroying Conway by 37 points, 63% to 26%, among independents. In the “keystone” state of Pennsylvania Republican Pat Toomey leads Democratic Representative Joe Sestak 49% – 45% and in Colorado, Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck is clinging to a narrow advantage over Senator Michael Bennet.
The opinion seems to be that Republicans may not win control of the Senate asa +10 pickup is almsot next to impossible; however, many are gleeful that Harry Reid will be put out to pasture once and for all. Democrats can than their lucky stars that all Senate seats are not up for reelection like the House as they would find themselves on November 3, 2010 with a GOP controlled veto proof majority.
However, come 2010 midterm election eve … no one really knows what the size of the GOP victory will be. One thing is for certain, there will be no way that Democrats will be able to spin it as any sort of victory.
Posted October 28, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Harry Reid (D-NV), NV: Reid (D) - Angle (R), Polls, Senate, Senate Elections, Tea Party, We the People | no comments |
Nevada US Senate 2010 Election: Sharron Angle To Reid, “Man Up” and Win the “Election Outright”
Sharron Angle campaign to Harry Reid … “WIN IT OUT RIGHT”!
Two days ago, the Democratic Secretary of State announced that voters can be provided “free food” at “voter turnout events.” Harry Reid has been offering free food and, according to other reports, some Democratic allies such as teachers’ unions are offering gift cards in return for a vote for Reid.
Harry Reid intends to steal this election if he can’t win it outright. As a result, we need to deploy literally dozens of election law attorneys and poll watchers to combat these tactics at a cost of nearly $80,000. That’s over and above our current budget. We need to raise $80,000 and we need to do it RIGHT NOW, because even as I am writing this, Harry Reid and his Machine are trying to steal this election.
Not to worry Nevada voters, as Weasel Zippers comments, a vote for Harry get you free food and gift cards. Nah, no vote buying here at all on the part of Democrat incumbent Harry Reid. You know what it won’t get you … EMPLOYMENT! How do you feel Nevada that you have one of the highest unemployment rates in the country and top the lists for home foreclosures and bankruptcies.
Posted October 27, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Harry Reid (D-NV), NV: Reid (D) - Angle (R), Scandal, Senate, Tea Party, We the People, WTF | 4 comments |
Harry Reid Loeses It, ” I’ve never had to prove, whether it was in the street or the ring or in the Senate,”
Democrat Senate Majority leader has truly lost it and about to lose his US Senate race.
Incumbent Nevada US Senator Harry Reid, who is in deep trouble and in the battle for his political career, stated that “my manhood has never been in question.” His reference was to GOP candidates Sharron Angle’s comment for Reid to “man up”.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) fired back at GOP challenger Sharron Angle on Saturday for saying during their debate earlier this month that he should “man up.”
“This is what her and her kind all around this country are using, this is part of the talking points of the right-wing Republicans,” Reid said in an interview on CNN.
“But, you know, that’s one thing I’ve never had to prove, whether it was in the street or the ring or in the Senate,” the onetime boxer said. “My manhood has never been in question.”
Actually Senator Reid, it is not your manhood we are questioning, it is your voting record and your liberal agenda that it bad for the economy, the federal deficit and America. But since you brought it up, I have to agree with Jammie Wearing Fool, ”if he was comfortable in his manhood he wouldn’t be whining like a little bitch over being told to man up”. As stated by the Gateway Pundit, the war is lost Harry, when your message at this late date is your “manhood”.
By the way Senator Reid, the nerve of Sharron Angle, that Tea Party extremist, bring up the fact that you live in a luxury hotel in Washington, DC while your Nevada constituents have lost their homes and have the highest foreclosure rate in the country. How dare she. It is just another example of who out of touch Reid is with the people and the reason why he needs to be retired.
Posted October 24, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Bizarre, Harry Reid (D-NV), NV: Reid (D) - Angle (R), Senate Elections, Tea Party, We the People, WTF | 9 comments |
Harry “Superman” Reid … “But for Me, We would be in a Worldwide Depression”
YIKES!!! HE SAID WHAT!!!
Think the 2010 midterm elections are not starting to get to the Democrats and the impending tsunami …
We have often asked our self what planet Democrats are from as they obviously have no touch with reality or the American people. Who knew Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid thought he was from Krypton? Reid’s continued defiance of the American people and the voters of Nevada, let alone some of his bizarre behavior make the following “Reidism” quite, well in a word … INSANE!
“But for Me, We’d Be in a Worldwide Depression”
Watch Harry Reid take credit for saving the world … via Breitbart TV. WHAT!!! Harry Reid is responsible for saving the world from a worldwide depression. This is the delusion and lies the Democrat leadership lives by. In other words, by acting as Obama’s “pet” and lapdog by passing trillions of dollars of debt on the backs of Americans, that makes him defender of the universe? Hmm, and the Democrats attempt to say Sharron Angle is extreme huh? I wonder how saved the people of Nevada feel with their 14% unemployment and record home foreclosures?
I can see it now, Barack Obama and Harry Reid arguing with each other like 3 year old’s both claiming that they were responsible for saving the earth.
Ok, I didn’t save the world from depression, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn last night
Did you also know that Harry Reid was responsible for the following:
- He invented the ”Post It” note.
- He saved the earth from an asteroid by blowing it and himself up before it hit earth. Oops, that was Bruce Willis.
- He invented the Internet, oh that was Al Gore.
Please support Sharron Angle and send this man back home where he can keep his delusional comments to himself.
UPDATE I: Who did Reid Save From What … Nevada hits 15% record Unemployment.
On top of the Las Vegas Valley’s new 15 percent high, statewide unemployment was 14.4 percent in September. Nearly 200,000 Nevadans lacked jobs in the month and were looking for work. Add in discouraged workers who’ve dropped out of the labor force and underemployed part-timers who want full-time jobs, and unemployment in the Silver State easily exceeds 20 percent, experts say.
Nevada remained No. 1 in the nation for unemployment in September, with California’s 12.4 percent joblessness coming in at No. 2. Just 11 states have double-digit joblessness; nationwide, unemployment was 9.6 percent in September.
Posted October 22, 2010 by Scared Monkeys 2010 Elections, Bizarre, Harry Reid (D-NV), NV: Reid (D) - Angle (R), Obamanation, Obamanomics, Senate Elections, WTF, You Tube - VIDEO | 17 comments |