US Senate Election Results … 2010 Midterm Elections … So Far +1 for GOP

And so it begins … The Republicans are starting their pursuit on gaining the US Senate.

Rand Paul (R) wins the KentuckySenate race in another Randslide.

Republican candidate Rand Paul will win the Kentucky Senate race to score the first major victory of the night for the Tea Party movement, according to ABC News exit-poll projections.

Paul beat Democrat Jack Conway after a bitter personal campaign that became one of the nastiest in the country.

Republican Dan Coats has won the Senate race in Indiana. Pick up #1.

 But former Sen. Dan Coats in Indiana scored the first GOP Senate pick-up of the night, beating Democratic Rep. Brad Ellsworth for the seat left by retiring Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh.

Rob Portman Declared winner in Ohio over Democrat Lee Fisher.

Conservative Republican JimDeMint declared winner in South Carolina over Democrat Alvin Greene. Was there ever a doubt. This one was called the second the polls closed.

CNN & Fox News call Marco Rubio the winner in the 3 way race between Crist and Meek.

Missouri has been called for Republican Roy Blunt over Robin Carnahan (D).

Kelly Ayotte (R) wins New Hampshire.

The Independent Vote Paves the Way for Victory for the GOP in Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado & Pennsylvania

Obama and the democrats have lost the Independent vote …

Less than a week before the 2010 midterm elections and the independent vote is making it possible for Republican US Senate wins in Nevada, Kentucky, Colorado and Pennsylvania. It was Barack Obama who carried independents in 2008; however, that was then, this is now. Independents have all but abandoned the Democrats in 2010 as the oppose the Reid, Pelosi, Obama agenda.

In a recent TIME/CNN/Opinion Research poll, Republican and Tea Party favorite Sharron Angle leads Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 49% to 45%.  No wonder the Reid camp is gaming the system with buying votes. Also, Tea Party backed GOP candidate Rand Paul is riding the wave of independent support with a 50% – 43% lead over Democrat Jack Conway in Kentucky. Rand Paul is destroying Conway by 37 points, 63% to 26%, among independents. In the “keystone” state of Pennsylvania Republican Pat Toomey leads Democratic Representative Joe Sestak 49% – 45% and in Colorado, Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck is clinging to a narrow advantage over Senator Michael Bennet.  

 The opinion seems to be that Republicans may not win control of the Senate asa +10 pickup is almsot next to impossible; however, many are gleeful that Harry Reid will be put out to pasture once and for all. Democrats can than their lucky stars that all Senate seats are not up for reelection like the House as they would find themselves on November 3, 2010 with a GOP controlled veto proof majority.

However, come 2010 midterm election eve … no one really knows what the size of the GOP victory will be. One thing is for certain, there will be no way that Democrats will be able to spin it as any sort of victory.

US Kentucky Senate Shocker … NOT! Democrat Poll Showing that Democrat Conway Leading Over Republican Rand Paul

File this one under, we didn’t just fall off the turnip truck …

Surprise, surprise, surprise, a Democrat poll  conducted by the DCCC has the Kentucky US Senate race … in the lead by the Democrat Jack Conway 49% to 47% over Republican Rand Paul. Wanna bet? So this is a news worthy story from the left leaning WAPO, eh? When a Democrat party is down in the polls and the Congressional Generic ballot is strongly against them, let alone all polls as well have Rand Paul ahead … along comes the liberal MSM to the rescue to provide Democrat friendly, Democrat poll showing their candidate ahead.

UNREAL! Or these days, how typical of the Democrat state run media.

We are supposed to believe as stated by NRO that after Conway’s hideous “Aqua Buddha” ad that his poll number would rise. Especially when even the far left ripped him a new one.

Could be a preemptive strike to head off the independent polling that will surface in the next few days. Hard to believe that Conway’s ad, which earned him public floggings from Chris Matthews and Matt Lauer, and was criticized by several members of his own party, is helping his cause in any way, shape or form.

Come November 2, midterm election eve, watch this race be as close as the Republican KY primary was when Rand Paul won big.

Senator Cornyn (TX-R) Picks Linda McMahon as Upset Special While Liberal Senator Claire McCaskill (MO-D) Picks Conway in KY and Carnahan in MO

This morning on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace, Senators Jim Cornyn (TX-R) and Claire McCaskill (MO-D) were asked what is there upset special in the upcoming US senate races in the 2010 elections. There answers were as follows.

Claire McCaskill’s pie in the sky choices were Democrats Robin Carnahan in Missouri and  Jack Conway in Kentucky to pull upsets. Currently Carnahan trails Republican Roy Blunt 51% to 43%. All signs point to a GOP win in the “Show Me” state as it would take a miracle for a Carnahan victory. McCaskill’s other predicted upset was in the Kentucky race where she stated that Democrat Jack Conway would defeat Republican and Tea Party favorite Rand Paul. Presently Paul is way out ahead of his democrat challenger 49% to 38%in what is considered a solid GOP win.  Some one should have told Claire McCaskill that an upset special is supposed to have some sort of reasoning, not just wishful thinking. How lame could McCaskill be withe her “extreme” Democrat talking points. Her comments sound completely contrived.

Senator Jim Cornyn’s upset special was actually more along what was intended and with some of the prevailing polling trending, just might  just come to fruition. Corynn predicted that Linda McMahon would defeat Democrat Richard Blumenthal in the Connecticut US Senate race. Presently Blumenthall is up by only a 5% margin at 51% to 46%; however, that is down from a double digit lead from their first debate.

I would have to say to the voters in The Nutmeg state of Connecticut, I am not sure how you can vote for a candidate like Richard  Blumenthal who cannot tell the truth on his military service in Vietnam and calls it misspeak. Also, in this economic environment, how do you vote for some one who has no idea how to create a job?

Listen to this idiotic answer from Democrat Blumenthal on how to create a job

US Senate is in Play: The Top 10 Senate Races that Democrats Need to Worry About in 2010

Democrats could lose the US Senate, once unthought of, now a real possibility.

Just curious, when Scott Brown won in Massachusetts in the special election for the seat formerly held by the late Ted Kennedy, why didn’t all people think at that point that it was possible for Republicans to win in any state? The Massachusetts special Senate election represented the shot heard round the world and was the symbol that all things were possible. Think  Brown’s victory was a one hit wonder? Not at all,Brown is presently out-polling President Barack Obama and Senator John Kerry (MA-D)

Remember when the political pundits only said that the US House of Representatives was in play and Democrats feared that it could flip and control go back to the Republicans? Less than 60 days from the 2010 midterm elections and now many think that Democrats could lose the US Senate as well.

A terrible economy, near 10% unemployment, no jobs really being created, an unpopular $787 billion stimulus package, and unpopular Obamacare law passed,  an unpopular President Obama and a complicit Democrat party that passed numerous laws against the will of the people and the unpopular suing of a state on illegal immigration has all lead to the most improbable outcome … a complete sweep of Senate races and control by the GOP. The following are the top 10 US Senate races that Democrats need to worry about.

1. North Dakota (1): Get ready to ho-down with Republican John Hoeven (R); yes, we’re running out of Hoeven puns. Ranking: Solid GOP. [This race is over  Hoeven is up by over 40% in the polls]
2. Delaware (2): Does Mike Castle (R) survive his primary against Christine O’Donnell (R)? The GOP’s likelihood of winning this seat depends on it. Ranking (with Castle as nominee): Probable GOP.[This race is up in the air as who knows who will win the GOP primary? Castle is ahead in polls against the Democrat in a general election; however, he is a RINO at best. Can O'Donnell win the GOP primary, after all she is the real Republican in the race? If she does, can she wil the general election in a blue state?]
3. Arkansas (3): Bill Clinton campaigned this week for incumbent Blanche Lincoln (D), but it’s unlikely to change the dynamics of her race against John Boozman (R). Ranking: Probable GOP. [Probably GOP? Barack Obama has a better chance of providing tax cuts to the rich than Lincoln does of winning, she is down by 38% in the polls.]
4. Indiana (4): Speaking of being able to change the dynamics, Brad Ellsworth (D) hasn’t caught up to Dan Coats (R). Ranking: Probable GOP. [Republican Coats up by 21% over the Democrat, this seat is lost by the Democrats.]
5. Pennsylvania (5): After being dormant for the last couple of months, Joe Sestak’s (D) campaign has become more active, with Biden and Obama set to stump for him later this month. Right now, though, this is Pat Toomey’s (R) race to lose. Ranking: Lean GOP. [Not only is GOP candidate Toomey ahead in the polls, the Republican Gov. candidate Corbett is far outpacing the Democrats. It will be a clean sweep in the Keystone state.]
6. Illinois (7): The Alexi Giannoulias (D)-vs.-Mark Kirk (R) contest remains what we consider to be the truest 50%-50% race out there. Ranking: Toss Up. [Democrat candidate only gets 37% in the polling, hard to imagine that translates to a victory.]
7. Colorado(unranked): The Ken Buck (R)-vs.-Michael Bennet (D) race is close to being a pure 50%-50% race, too. Which force will be greater — the overall political environment, or the GOP’s woes in the state? Ranking: Toss Up. [The Democrat incumbent is only polling at 44%, far below the 50% usually considered needed.]
8. Nevada (8): Now we enter the contests where Democrats might have an advantage by a fingernail. But the Harry Reid (D)-vs.Sharron Angle (R) race is going to close. Fasten your seatbelts. Ranking: Toss Up. [Its a dead heat in Nevada; however, Harry Reid, the Democrat Senate Majority leader is polling below 50%. Do Nevada voters really want more in the same? Even though Reid wants to distance himself from Obama and the economy, Reid has been in lock step with Obama and is completely responsible.]
9. Wisconsin (unranked): As was the case in ‘98, Russ Feingold (D) is fighting for his political life. What makes this time more difficult for him is that this political environment is much different than ’98 was. Ranking: Toss Up. [Incumbent Democrat Feingold trails GOP candidate Johnson in the polls. The fact that a dark blue state like Wisconsin is even being discussed tells us just how much trouble the Democrats are in.]
10. Washington (10):If Republicans indeed catch a wave on Election Night, we’ll be pulling an all-nighter watching the returns from the Patty Murray (D)-vs.-Dino Rossi (R) race. Ranking: Toss Up. [Republican Dina Rossi has a 2% point lead in the post recent Rasmussen poll and incumbent Democrat Patti Murray is polling below 50%. If Washington goes, one would think that Democrats would lose control of the Senate.]

But wait, there is more an an honorable mention of even more states that Democrats have to worry about. Check out California and West Virginia, both also in fear of being lost by Democrats. As stated by First Read, it is quite amazing that Republicans have a better chance of flipping West Virginia’s Senate seat than Democrats have in picking up the one in Ohio.

Check out the Scared Monkeys analysis made in February 2010, seems like some were ahead of the MSM curve. At that point, even before many primaries were complete, we were stating a +9 for Republicans.

Mother Jones  importantly notes that there is not one Democrat gain on this list. This is literally unheard of. So many US Senate races and it is only the Democrats that are in fear of having seats flipped on November 2, 2010.

If Democrats think they have an issue in 2010 … 2012 does not appear to be much better. Check out some of the vulnerable races in 2012:

?WV – Robert Byrd is nor longer the Senator, this will be the vote for the 6 year term for whoever wins the 2010 special election.
?ND – Kent Conrad could be the victim of the anti-Obama vote.
?NE – Ben Nelson and the corn husker kickback. Payback will be on the minds of many and he just might be the Blanche Lincoln of 2012.
?FL – Bill Nelson and his preferential Obamacare deal
?VA – Jim Webb in newly “Red” Virginia like what swept Bob McDonnell into office.
?OH – Sherrod Brown in a swing state like Ohio in a Presidential year. How much of the vote against Obama will be a vote against Brown?
?PA – Robert Casey in a swing states that could trend against the incumbent President.
?NY – If Kirsten Gillibrand wins in 2010, will there be a strong GOP candidate like Rudy unseat her in 2012?

Rand Paul (R) Up Big by 15% Over Jack Conway (D) in New Courier-Journal Bluegrass/WHAS-TV Poll

Democrats say, can’t be, No Tea Party candidate can have a 15% point lead over a Democrat …

According to a new Courier-Journal Bluegrass/WHAS-TV poll, Republican and Tea Party favorite Rand Paul is up by 15% over Democrat candidate Jack Conway in the Kentucky US Senate race.  The poll has Rand Paul ahead 55% to 40%. Conway’s people are disputing the poll.

Republican Rand Paul (left), Democrat Jack Conway (rt)

Although, the Democrats got their one shot to attack Rand Paul initially. The Blue Grass state is a “red” state and the closer they get to the midterm elections, the more voters will turn away from Democrats and the Obama party in control. The Kentucky US Senate seat will prove to be a red herring for Democrats, much like Alaska. States where Republicans have over or near 50% of the vote, Democrats are targeting as potential pickups. This is how desperate Democrats are in 2010.  Look for the Kentucky US Senate race to be a “cash cow” for Democrats not a “donkey”
come November 2, 2010.

Full poll results HERE.

With just under two months until Kentucky’s U.S. Senate election, a new WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll shows Republican Rand Paul nearly doubling his lead in the last month, now up 15 points over Democrat Jack Conway, 55% to 40%. Since last month, Paul is up 4 points; Conway is down 3.

The poll, conducted by Survey USA, also indicates that Kentucky voters are increasingly identifying themselves as Republican or Independent while identifying less with the Democratic Party.  The disproportionate representation compared to actual voter registration and previous voter turnout prompted the Conway campaign to dispute the poll.

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Kentucky Senate Election 2010: Reuters/Ipsos Poll Has Rand Paul (R) Ahead of Jack Conway (D), 45%-40%

Try as the LEFT might, Republican Rand Paul is still ahead in the polls for the US Senate seat for Kentucky over Democrat candidate Jack Conway. The most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll has Rand with a 45% to 40% lead over Conway.

Paul leads state attorney general Democrat Jack Conway by 45 percent to 40 percent among likely voters in the November 2 election. In a broader pool of registered voters, the two are deadlocked at 40 percent.

The sluggish economy leads among voter worries, with 58 percent naming it as the state’s biggest problem. It finished ahead of education issues, which was second at 16 percent.

The Kentucky battle is one of about a dozen races that could decide Senate control in November elections. Republicans must pick up 10 seats to reclaim a Senate majority and have a bigger say on President Barack Obama’s legislative agenda.

Much to the liberal MSM’s angst, the stories don’t appear to be sticking at home. The liberal media at all cost must try and destroy Rand Paul as he represents the Tea Party movement and a victory for the Tea Party in November send chills down the backs of Democrats. To be honest, it should also do the same to spineless Republicans as well.

However, Rasmussen has the race for the Blue Grass US Senate seat Rand 49% and Conway 41%. Rasmussen also has the race in the leaning Republican category in his Balance of Power polling.

In Kentucky, just nine percent (9%) rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 50% rate it as poor. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say economic conditions are improving and 50% say they are getting worse.

Sixty percent (60%) of Kentucky voters would favor an Arizona-like immigration law in their state, which is almost identical to results found nationally. Twenty-one percent (21%) in Kentucky are opposed to passing such a law.

With the political mood of the country and Kentuxk being a “red” state, the midterm election for the US Senate seat for KY will go to the GOP and Rand Paul.

Kentucky Senate Election 2010: Republican Ron Paul Up by 8% over Democrat Jack Conway

According to the most recent Rasmussen poll Republican Ron Paul is up by 8% points over democrat Jack Conway in the battle for the Kentucky US Senate seat. Paul lead Conway 49% to 41%.

It’s the same story in Kentucky’s race for U.S. Senate again this month. Republican Rand Paul continues to hold a modest lead over Democrat Jack Conway.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Paul picking up 49% of the vote, while Conway earns support from 41%. Four percent (4%) would prefer another candidate, while six percent (6%) more are not sure.

After some missteps by Paul following the Republican primary win, the Blue Grass Senate race has appeared to settle. Democrat dreams of picking up this Red state are pretty much just that, a dream. The political dynamics in Kentucky will make it all but impossible to win from Democrats, but the perception of doing so might just force them to try and spend money in a state they have no chance of winning. The economy is the key hot button topic in KY where just 9% rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 50% rate it as poor.

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