US Senate is in Play: The Top 10 Senate Races that Democrats Need to Worry About in 2010

Democrats could lose the US Senate, once unthought of, now a real possibility.

Just curious, when Scott Brown won in Massachusetts in the special election for the seat formerly held by the late Ted Kennedy, why didn’t all people think at that point that it was possible for Republicans to win in any state? The Massachusetts special Senate election represented the shot heard round the world and was the symbol that all things were possible. Think  Brown’s victory was a one hit wonder? Not at all,Brown is presently out-polling President Barack Obama and Senator John Kerry (MA-D)

 

Remember when the political pundits only said that the US House of Representatives was in play and Democrats feared that it could flip and control go back to the Republicans? Less than 60 days from the 2010 midterm elections and now many think that Democrats could lose the US Senate as well.

A terrible economy, near 10% unemployment, no jobs really being created, an unpopular $787 billion stimulus package, and unpopular Obamacare law passed,  an unpopular President Obama and a complicit Democrat party that passed numerous laws against the will of the people and the unpopular suing of a state on illegal immigration has all lead to the most improbable outcome … a complete sweep of Senate races and control by the GOP. The following are the top 10 US Senate races that Democrats need to worry about.

1. North Dakota (1): Get ready to ho-down with Republican John Hoeven (R); yes, we’re running out of Hoeven puns. Ranking: Solid GOP. [This race is over  Hoeven is up by over 40% in the polls]
2. Delaware (2): Does Mike Castle (R) survive his primary against Christine O’Donnell (R)? The GOP’s likelihood of winning this seat depends on it. Ranking (with Castle as nominee): Probable GOP.[This race is up in the air as who knows who will win the GOP primary? Castle is ahead in polls against the Democrat in a general election; however, he is a RINO at best. Can O'Donnell win the GOP primary, after all she is the real Republican in the race? If she does, can she wil the general election in a blue state?]
3. Arkansas (3): Bill Clinton campaigned this week for incumbent Blanche Lincoln (D), but it’s unlikely to change the dynamics of her race against John Boozman (R). Ranking: Probable GOP. [Probably GOP? Barack Obama has a better chance of providing tax cuts to the rich than Lincoln does of winning, she is down by 38% in the polls.]
4. Indiana (4): Speaking of being able to change the dynamics, Brad Ellsworth (D) hasn’t caught up to
Dan Coats (R). Ranking: Probable GOP. [Republican Coats up by 21% over the Democrat, this seat is lost by the Democrats.]
5. Pennsylvania (5): After being dormant for the last couple of months, Joe Sestak’s (D) campaign has become more active, with Biden and Obama set to stump for him later this month. Right now, though, this is Pat Toomey’s (R) race to lose. Ranking: Lean GOP. [Not only is GOP candidate Toomey ahead in the polls, the Republican Gov. candidate Corbett is far outpacing the Democrats. It will be a clean sweep in the Keystone state.]
6. Illinois (7): The Alexi Giannoulias (D)-vs.-Mark Kirk (R) contest remains what we consider to be the truest 50%-50% race out there. Ranking: Toss Up. [Democrat candidate only gets 37% in the polling, hard to imagine that translates to a victory.]
7. Colorado(unranked): The Ken Buck (R)-vs.-Michael Bennet (D) race is close to being a pure 50%-50% race, too. Which force will be greater — the overall political environment, or the GOP’s woes in the state? Ranking: Toss Up. [The Democrat incumbent is only polling at 44%, far below the 50% usually considered needed.]
8. Nevada (8): Now we enter the contests where Democrats might have an advantage by a fingernail. But the Harry Reid (D)-vs.Sharron Angle (R) race is going to close. Fasten your seatbelts. Ranking: Toss Up. [Its a dead heat in Nevada; however, Harry Reid, the Democrat Senate Majority leader is polling below 50%. Do Nevada voters really want more in the same? Even though Reid wants to distance himself from Obama and the economy, Reid has been in lock step with Obama and is completely responsible.]
9. Wisconsin (unranked): As was the case in ‘98, Russ Feingold (D) is fighting for his political life. What makes this time more difficult for him is that this political environment is much different than ’98 was. Ranking: Toss Up. [Incumbent Democrat Feingold trails GOP candidate Johnson in the polls. The fact that a dark blue state like Wisconsin is even being discussed tells us just how much trouble the Democrats are in.]
10. Washington (10):If Republicans indeed catch a wave on Election Night, we’ll be pulling an all-nighter watching the returns from the Patty Murray (D)-vs.-Dino Rossi (R) race. Ranking: Toss Up. [Republican Dina Rossi has a 2% point lead in the post recent Rasmussen poll and incumbent Democrat Patti Murray is polling below 50%. If Washington goes, one would think that Democrats would lose control of the Senate.]

But wait, there is more an an honorable mention of even more states that Democrats have to worry about. Check out California and West Virginia, both also in fear of being lost by Democrats. As stated by First Read, it is quite amazing that Republicans have a better chance of flipping West Virginia’s Senate seat than Democrats have in picking up the one in Ohio.

Check out the Scared Monkeys analysis made in February 2010, seems like some were ahead of the MSM curve. At that point, even before many primaries were complete, we were stating a +9 for Republicans.

Mother Jones  importantly notes that there is not one Democrat gain on this list. This is literally unheard of. So many US Senate races and it is only the Democrats that are in fear of having seats flipped on November 2, 2010.

If Democrats think they have an issue in 2010 … 2012 does not appear to be much better. Check out some of the vulnerable races in 2012:

?WV – Robert Byrd is nor longer the Senator, this will be the vote for the 6 year term for whoever wins the 2010 special election.
?ND – Kent Conrad could be the victim of the anti-Obama vote.
?NE – Ben Nelson and the corn husker kickback. Payback will be on the minds of many and he just might be the Blanche Lincoln of 2012.
?FL – Bill Nelson and his preferential Obamacare deal
?VA – Jim Webb in newly “Red” Virginia like what swept Bob McDonnell into office.
?OH – Sherrod Brown in a swing state like Ohio in a Presidential year. How much of the vote against Obama will be a vote against Brown?
?PA – Robert Casey in a swing states that could trend against the incumbent President.
?NY – If Kirsten Gillibrand wins in 2010, will there be a strong GOP candidate like Rudy unseat her in 2012?

Charlie Crist, a Typical Politically Expedient Independent … Clarifying his Position Again on Obamacare

Crist is not an Independent, he is gutless.

Once again so-called independent US Senate candidate from Florida Charlie Crist is looking to clarify his position on Obamacare. What’s the matter, the first two times did not do the trick? Crist is having as much trouble clarifying his position on Obamacare as Barack Obama has had trying to sell the health care scam to the American people.

Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, running as an independent for the U.S. Senate, sought again to clarify his position on the healthcare overhaul, saying he would have voted against it but does not want a full repeal.

Does Crist really want to be allying himself with Obama in the Sunshine state?

In an interview on CNN, Crist said: “What we need to do is fix it.” Crist is running as an independent in a tough three-way race for the Florida Senate seat against Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and Marco Rubio (R).

Crist, a Republican until early this year, came under fire last week for telling a Florida television station that he would have voted in favor of the Democratic healthcare bill had he been a sitting senator. He then walked back those comments, saying he “misspoke.”

Crist is proof positive why the American voter should never waste their time and vote for a gutless so-called independent who is merely doing and saying anything that he feels will get him elected. First Crist says that he will only run as a Republican for US Senate, LIAR. That was until he fell so far behind Marco Rubio in the polls. Suddenly, Crist becomes the independent man. Then Crist claims he is for Obamacare, only to backtrack this week and state that he misspoke. Now Crist says that he would not have voted for Obamacare but would not repeal it in full. Interestingly enough, 60% of Americans want Obamacare repealed entirely and 36% are opposed.

Crist also declined to say on CNN which party he would caucus with if elected. Oh really, even though he has hinted that he was open to caucus with democrats.  Crist and his lack of transparency to the voters should be a red flag for Republicans and Democrats to never vote for this political opportunist.

“I’m going to go the way that is best for them,” Crist said, referring to Florida voters. “I don’t have to say I’m going to caucus with the Democrats or the Republicans.”

CRIST, YOU GUTLESS POLITICIAN … GET OFF THE FENCE AND MAKE A CHOICE. CRIST IS THE POSTER CHILD FOR POLITICIANS WHO WANT IT ALL WAYS, NEVER MAKE A STAND SO THAT HE THINKS ALL THE VOTERS WILL LIKE HIM.

Presently, Republican Maro Rubio has a 10% point lead over Crist,  Rubio (R) 40%, Crist (I) 30%, Meek (D) 21%.

Florida Senate Election 2010:Republican Marco Rubio Up by 10% of So-called Independent Charlie Crist … Rubio (R) 40%, Crist (I) 30%, Meek (D) 21%

Can an Independent candidate out of political convenience be trusted with any thing that say?

Following the Florida primaries, Republican Marco Rubio holds a 10% lead over Independent Charlie Crist and a 19% point lead over Democrat Kendrick Meek. In the first Rasmussen poll following primary day in the Sunshine state the voters stated the following, Rubio (R) 40%, Crist (I) 30%, Meek (D) 21%.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Marco Rubio attracting 40% of the vote, while Charlie Crist picks up 30% in the race to become the state’s next U.S. senator. The new Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek earns 21% support.

This is the first poll of the race following Tuesday’s primary. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

In the last survey before the primary, it was Rubio at 38%, Crist at 33% and Meek 21%.

With a Kendrick Meek winning the Democrat primary, look for Democrat voters in FLA to flock more to him than the so-called Independent and Democrat-light candidate Charlie Crist. Obama and the DNC have been put in a bit of a situation as Crist has hinted that if he wins he would caucus with Democrats, yet how does a political party turn its back on the candidate that the voters chose in the Democrat primary?

Also, look for Marco Rubio to further gain support of Republicans and Independents as Crist is in no-mans land and these days does not even know what he would vote or stand for. This is what occurs when a politician becomes an “independent” out of political survival, rather their conviction.

Just the other day Florida News 13 asked Charlie Crist if he were in the Senate, would he have voted for or against Obamacare? Crist stated he would have voted for Obamacare.

When asked how Crist would have voted on the healthcare bill if in the Senate at the time, Crist responded by saying, “I would have voted for it. But I think it can be done better, I really do.”

Hours later, press releases from Crist’s challengers were sent out, touting Crist flip-flopping on the healthcare issue.

Marco Rubio’s campaign sent a press release saying, “In less than 30 days, Crist has gone from voting against the bill to voting for it to now being against it again.”

Kendrick Meek’s campaign released a similar e-mail, saying, “Obviously, the governor is having a crisis of memory.”

Then in a reversal of fortune,Crist states he misspoke. HOW CAN YOU MISSPEAK ON SUCH A SIMPLE AND OBVIOUS QUESTION? If Crist flip-flops LIED on whether he would only run as a Republican, why would the voters of Florida not think Crist would flip-flop on any issue? Crist is the poster child of exactly what Americans find so distasteful with today’s politicians. They will say anything, then back track on it when the heat is on to get a vote.

But now, Crist says he “misspoke” in that interview. His campaign sent out a statement Friday afternoon clarifying Crist’s position on the healthcare law.

“If I misspoke, I want to be abundantly clear: the health care bill was too big, too expensive, and expanded the role of government far too much,” Crist said in a statement. “Had I been in the United States Senate at the time, I would have voted against the bill because of unacceptable provisions like the cuts to the Medicare Advantage program.”

The campaigns of both Rubio and Meek are having an absolute field day with Crist’s flip-flop.

Crist has been on the Obama bandwagon touting the President for doing a good job. It is hard to believe in a state where 55% disapprove of the job that Obama is doing and only 46% approve, being seen shaking hands, hugging and in the corner of Obama can be a good thing come election day.

UPDATE I: Rasmussen shifts Florida US Senate race from toss up to leans Republican.

Florida Senate Primaries: Democrat Meek Wins … BIG WINNER Tonight is Republican Marco Rubio & GOP Voter Turnout

The real winner tonight in Florida was Republican Marco Rubiowho ran virtually unopposed in the GOP US Senate primary. Think its not about voter turnout and who is more highly motivated to vote in 2010, think again. Voter enthusiasm is going to play a big roll this November and Democrats are on the wrong side of the poll.

Tonight in the Sunshine state, Florida US Senate candidate Kendrick Meek won the Democrat primary over billionaire Jeff Greene in a rout. This sets up what should be one of the most hotly contested and most watched Senate races of the midterm elections and a three way race between Marco Rubio (R), Kendrick Meek (D) and so-called independent Charlie Crist.

Prior to tonights primary wins Marco Rubio was gaining traction in the polls and in a recent PPP poll had surged into the lead, Rubio 40%, Crist 32%, Meek 17%. Just what had been predicted is starting to play out in the polls. Crist’s poll numbers are dropping as Democrats are backing their candidate and the GOP distances themselves away from the “independent man”.

Democrats will get their stronger candidate if Kendrick Meek wins the Florida Senate primary tonight as expected- but the biggest winner coming out of the primary may be Marco Rubio. PPP finds he would begin the general election in the lead at 40%, followed by Charlie Crist at 32%, and Meek at 17%. If Jeff Greene were somehow able to pull off the upset tonight it would be much closer with Rubio at 37%, Crist at 36%, and Greene at only 13%.

Democrats, be afraid, be very afraid. Massive GOP turnout in Florida tonight spells doom for Dems in 2010 midterm elections.

However, the huge winner tonight in Florida was not Meek who trounced his Democrat opponent. It was Marco Rubio who ran basically unopposed and actually received more votes that Meek. According to election results Rubio received over 1 million votes. The Republican voter turnout in FLA was simply amazing, a precursor of things to come this Fall in the 2010 midterm elections as Republican voters are much more highly motivated to vote than Democrats. Meek picked up a little over 500,000 votes and all the votes cast in the Democrat primary for US Senate did not equal the number of votes received by Rubio, who ran all but uncontested … look at Crist and Meek this November. One would suspect that there will be an even greater turnout for the midterm elections, can Rubio keep such momentum up with mass appeal by voters in such large numbers … the Magic 8 balls says, signs point to yes.

Look for the polls to widen with Rubio taking a commanding lead and Meek pealing off Crist votes following the primaries. Rasmussenpresently has the race Rubio 38%, Crist 33% and Meek 21%. RCPhas Rubio ahead in most every poll as well. A Meek victory was the worst thing that could happen for Crist and Democrats. Meek will hold on to the black and liberal vote in the Sunshine state as opposed to them wondering off and voting for Crist if Greene had picked up the Democrat nomination. Power Democrats are now going to have to campaign for Meek. Is Obama going to leave Meek out in the cold and abandon a fellow Dem? It would appear that all the hand shakes, hugs and praising of Obama by Crist were all for naught.

Come this November, the wide gap in the enthusiasm divide between Republican and Democrat voters is going to play a critical role in who wins the House, Senate, Governor and State Legislature races.

Voters of of Florida, A Politician Doing Obama’s Bidding and Flip-Flopping on Issues to Get Elected is Hardly an Independent

Florida Snow Job in November … Why would Florida want to elect a candidate like Charlie Crist that embodies exactly what is wrong with politicians today and that they will say and do anything to get elected, including calling them self an independent out of convenience?

obama_crist3

The so-called Independent Crist with Obama

A recent Rasmussen poll in Florida stated that 41% of voters in the Sunshine state said that they would be likely to vote for an independent in the upcoming election. That would be nice if there was an actual, legitimate independent candidate running in Florida. The only reason why Crist is running as an independent is because he was behind Marco Rubio by 20% in the Republican polling.

As Independent candidate Charlie Crist continues to run neck-and-neck with Republican Marco Rubio in the race for U.S. Senate in Florida, the plurality of voters in the state say they are more likely to vote for a candidate not affiliated with either party this election than they have been in the past

obama_crist1

Independent, or a rubber stamp for Obama?

 A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds that 41% say they are more likely to pull the lever for an independent candidate this election than in past elections.  Thirty-percent (30%) say they are less likely to do so this year, while 19% say their likelihood is about the same this year as it has been in the past.  Ten percent (10%) are not sure.

Floridians … WAKE UP!!!

The now so-called independent Charlie Crist is no independent, he is an opportunist and a politicians that will say anything and flip-flop on any political issue to get elected. 47% of Democrats, 44% of unaffiliated and 33% of Republicans in Florida say they are more likely to vote for an independent candidate. Republicans, what are you thinking that you would vote for Crist who has floated that he would back a Democrat Majority leader, meaning he would side with the Democrats and not Republicans?

Maybe the voters should be polled if they would vote for a candidate who lied on national TV in that he would not run as an independent if he was not picked by his party to represent them on the ticket in November? Florida, do you really want a lair representing you in the US Senate? Seriously, isn’t Charlie Crist exactly what is wrong withpoliticians today and the fact that they cannot tell the truth? They change their opinions and policies to get elected, not because they actually have an core convictions. Independent or no independent, why would any one cast a ballot for a politician incapable of telling the truth?

WALLACE:Speaking of these questions about your political future, there have been persistent rumors in Florida that you are so far behind, at least currently, in the polls — double digits to Mr. Rubio — that you may run instead as an independent. Here is your chance to dispel all the rumors. Are you willing to pledge right here, right now that you will run in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate and not run as an independent?
CRIST
: I’m running as a Republican. I’m very proud to be from the party of Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, others that really have stood up for the principles of our party, like Ronald Reagan. This is a great party. It has a great future. We have a great opportunity to win in November. It’s important that we put a candidate up that can win in November.
WALLACE: So are you ruling out that you will file as an independent by the April 30th deadline?
CRIST: That’s right. That’s right. I’m running as a Republican.
WALLACE
: You will run not for a governor — you’ll run for Senate, and you will run as a — in the Republican primary.
CRIST
: Chris, I’m running for the United States Senate. I know that our country needs help. I’m running as a Republican. This man to my left is a friend but I hope to defeat him on August the 24th, and I would encourage every Florida Republican to get out and vote.
WALLACE: Will you support the winner of the GOP primary, whether it’s you or Marco Rubio?
CRIST: Of course I will. Of course I will. But I think before that decision is made, people

Voters across America have stated they want change in November and a road block to Obama’s agenda. Is Crist’s comments that he’s open to supporting a Democrat for Senate Majority Leader really Crist being an independent, or his pandering for Democrat votes?

Florida, do you really think that Barack Obama is doing a good job? Presently only 47% of you say he is, why would you vote in some one who agrees more than not with Obama? Crist actually thinks that Obama has handled the BP oil spill well, do you? In an interview on June 18, 2010 Crist stated that he was pleased with the work that Obama had done. Most voters have disapproved of how Obama has handled the BP oil spill.

 

Exit Question: Florida voters, if most all independent voters have moved away from President Barack Obama, why would you support a so-called independent candidate who agrees with Obama on most issues and has been pandering to the Democrats?

Florida US Senate 2010: Independent Eh? Democrats Thinking of Backing GOP Judas Charlie Christ

Charlie Crist, the poster child of what is wrong with politicians are their “say anything” motto to stay in power.

So you still think that Florida Governor and FL US Senate candidate Charlie Crist is still an Independent? Think again. Democrats are thinking of backing Crist in the upcoming Florida US Senate race against GOP candidate Marco Rubio because their own candidate is running a distant third.

Establishment Democrats in Florida, for now, are sticking with Rep. Kendrick Meek, who lags far behind in early general election polls against Crist and Republican Marco Rubio. Yet with Greene promising to drop at least $40 million of his fortune on the primary and pulling neck and neck with Meek in one survey, Sunshine State Democrats are beginning to consider the increasingly realistic prospect that their nominee might be a “meltdown mogul” — one who collects erotic art, had Mike Tyson serve as his best man and once hosted “Hollywood Madam” Heidi Fleiss as a house guest.

Faced with such an awkward possibility, many influential Democrats indicated that supporting Crist — who has quickly moved leftward since leaving the GOP — or just remaining quiet would be the better of the unenviable options.

An Independent backed by Democrats, hardly a man of all the people and the “independent” that Crist claims to be. Mark my words, if Crist is backed by Democrats in the upcoming election, he will be beholden to the Democrats. Does that sound independent to anyone?

Far be it from an “independent” opportunist like Crist to take advantage of a crisis. Crist looks to make hay with the recent BP oil spill and the offshore drilling issue. However, even though support for offshore drilling has cooled in Florida since the crisis according to a recent poll, Crist once again looks like the “I was for it, before I was against it” political opportunist that he is.

When it comes to Charlie Crist, the man will say anything to get elected. However, it’s not just Crist that will do anything to stay in power, Democrats are right in line as well for even pondering the support of the so-called Independent man. It’s not about the people, it is about his political career and survival. Isn’t this exactly the kind of politician that American are fed up with in 2010?

Charlie Crist Switches on “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell (DADT) Gays in the Military

First Florida Governor, US FL Senate wannabe Charlie Crist switched from being a Republican to an Independent. Now Crist switches his opinion on “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy of gays in the military.

Gov. Charlie Crist’s switch on the military’s ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’ policy Thursday left the no-party Senate contender caught in a crossfire of criticism from his Democratic and Republican opponents.

With Congress moving toward votes on repealing the policy that prohibits gays from serving openly in the military, Crist dropped his support for continuing the ban. As recently as Monday, Crist told reporters that the current policy, “has worked pretty well for America.”

But by Thursday, Crist said he supports the repeal.

Shocker, Crist would change sexes if he knew it would get him elected and keep power. Even his Democrat Senate opponent Meeks can see the obvious political pandering that Crist is conducting. Crist’s new campaign ad … I was against DADT, before I was for it.

But Crist’s leading Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek, who has fought to repeal the ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’ policy for years, ripped the governor as “willing to say or do anything to get elected.”

“This is not about being independent,” Meek said. “This is about being whichever way the wind blows for his own personal gain.”

“There’s a Democrat in this race,” Meek said in a remark aimed at Crist. “And that Democrat is me.”

Meet Charlie Crist, the biggest political opportunist to come down the pike in quite some time. The man has no shame, no character and no core values. He is willing to say anything to get elected. To the people of Florida … isn’t this exactly what we don’t want our politicians to be any more?

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