Rasmussen Poll: Romney Leads President Obama by 5% in a hypothetical 2012 Match Up, Santorum Leads by 1%

There could be some severe troubled waters in the future for Barack Obama according to polling data …

One would think that with the GOP primary candidates beating up on one another that President Barack Obama would be the beneficiary. Not so fast. Although Obama’s job approval rating may have slightly increased, The One’s one on one match ups appear a bit precarious. According to a recent Rasmussen poll in a hypothetical match up Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama 48% to 43%. Also, Rick Santorum leads Obama 46% to 45%.

With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today’s numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama.

It is important to keep in mind that an incumbent polling below 50% is hardly a positive. Those that are undecided usually go predominantly to the challenger. The fact that Obama will be facing the specter of high unemployment and rising gas prices.

Polls Have Mitt Romney Ahead in Mississippi and Tied in Alabama Ahead of Tuesday’s Primaries

In the days leading to the Tuesday primaries in the deep South in Mississippi and Alabama, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is doing surprising well in the Heart of Dixie. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll in Mississippi its, Romney 35%, Santorum 27%, Gingrich 27%, Paul 6%. Its almost hard to believe that Romney, who has never had a grit in his life, is leading by 8 against the Conservative candidate Santorum and  the so-called Southern candidate Gingrich.

Dead heat in the Heart of Dixie … And in the deep South of Alabama it is a virtual tie between Romney, Gingrich and Santorum. According to Rasmussen its Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%, Paul 7%. The “dead heat” in Alabama might be even more eye opening. Although, if Romney makes any more ignorant comments like campaigning in MS and AL is “an away game” he might see a blow out on primary eve. Mitt might want to understand that if he wins the GOP nomination and faces Obama in the general election it is states in the South that will be the “home field” and one’s like Vermont, Maine and Massachusetts will be hostile territory.

A poll by the Center for Leadership and Public Policy at Alabama State University found Mr. Romney with 20.2% support among likely Republican primary voters, virtually tied with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 20.7% of the vote. Former Sen. Rick Santorum was close behind with 16.6% among Republicans in Alabama, which will hold its primary on Tuesday along with Mississippi and Hawaii. Other candidates, including Rep. Ron Paul, received 15.1%. The poll’s error margin is five percentage points.

Many voters — 27.4% — remained undecided. But the poll’s finding was still a notably strong showing for Mr. Romney because the more-conservative, evangelical-heavy South has been considered more hospitable to Messrs. Gingrich and Santorum, who are competing to be recognized as the principal alternative to the Massachusetts Governor. Mr. Romney in a Thursday campaign appearance downplayed expectations in Alabama and Mississippi by comparing the region’s contest to “an away game.’’

Newt Gingrich has stated that he won’t quit GOP presidential race if he loses Tuesday in Mississippi and Alabama. Really Newt, why? You have been mouthing off that Santorum should quit to make it a one on one match up between yourself and Romney. However, Newt has called himself the “Southern” candidate. Sorry, but if you cannot win Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi … you most likely are receiving no Southern comfort.

We shall see what happens next Tuesday.

SUPER TUESDAY GOP PRIMARY/CAUCUS RESULTS … Romney Wins 6, Santorum 3, Gingrich 1 and Paul 0

ITS SUPER TUESDAY AND THE RESULTS ARE COMING IN … WHO WILL BE THE WINNER AT THE EVENINGS END?

The polls have closed in Massachusetts, Vermont and Virginia and they are being called for Mitt Romney. As repoprted at CNN, so far this Super Tuesday evening, Romney has won 3 states, Santorum 2 and Gingrich 1 … Alaska. Idaho, South Dakota and the all important Ohio still to be decided.

UPDATE I: The state of Georgia is being called for Newt Gingrich.

UPDATE II: Oklahoma is being called for Rick Santorum and a surprising early call, Fox News projects Santorum will win the Volunteer state of Tennessee.

UPDATE III: All eyes are on the two man race in Ohio between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. The up to date vote count can be seen HERE.  With 15% of the vote counted in Ohio, Romney has 38% – 67,097 votes and Santorum has 38% – 65,996.

UPDATE IV: FOX News projects that Romney will win the Idaho Caucus.

UPDATE V: Ohio Primary – Romney starting to pull away in OH.

  • 86% of the vote counted: Romney 390,810 and Santorum 388,973.

UPDATE VI: Imagine this, to the total amazement to no one, except Barack Obama and the liberal MSM, the Super Tuesday exits polls show that the economy and gas prices were the top issues. How could that be? As stated by Jammie Wearing Fool, you mean the top issue was not contraception and Rush Limbaugh?

Gas prices and the economy were the top issues on the minds of voters on Super Tuesday, according to exit polls.

Seven in 10 voters in the seven Super Tuesday states that hold primaries said the price of gas was an important topic in deciding who to vote for in the GOP presidential primary, according to CBS News. Southern states seemed to care most about gas prices: in Georgia, 81 percent said it was the top issue in deciding, while in Oklahoma, 79 percent said it was the most important. In Tennessee, 77 percent it was important.

The Associated Press found that the economy was also a top issue influencing voters as they went to the polls.

UPDATE VII: Mitt Romney wins Ohio by about 12.000 votes.

GOP Presidential Primary: Santorum Leads Romney 34% to 30% in Tennessee Ahead of Super Tuesday

Could Romney actually win in the South and the Volunteer state?

There is one day to go before Super Tuesday and the primary in Tennessee appears to be a two horse race and too close to call. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, Rick Santorum leads Mitt Romney 34% to 30% with Gingrich and Paul a distant third and fourth. This is rather startling considering the overwhelming number of evangelicals in the Volunteer state.

Just two days before Super Tuesday, the Republican primary race in Tennessee has become a two-man competition between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. The first Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely GOP Primary Voters in Tennessee shows Santorum attracting 34% of the vote, while Romney earns 30%. Polls from other firms have previously shown Santorum with a large lead in the state.

If Romney wins Tennessee, it would be considered a huge upset and just further show the Romney momentum. What is also quite eye opening is that Newt Gingrich is not doing better considering his home state is border state Georgia.

GOP Presidential Primary: Reuters/Ipsos Poll Has Romney and Santorum Tied in Ohio

More good polling news for Mitt Romney … All of the momentum appears to be with Mitt Romney heading into Super Tuesday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Sunday has Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney tied with 32% support from likely voters in the Ohio.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has surged into a dead heat with Rick Santorum in the Ohio primary, setting up a cliffhanger race on Tuesday, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Sunday.

The former Massachusetts governor and former senator from Pennsylvania are tied with 32 percent support from likely voters in the Ohio Republican primary, the most important of the 10 state nominating contests on “Super Tuesday” this week.

The all important Ohio contest will either be the tipping point for Romney in the GOP Presidential primaries if he is victorious, or if Santorum claims victory will be the equivalent of a political Ground Hog Day and six more weeks of primaries. However, all of the polls show that the momentum is with Romney as recent Marist/NBC News poll and Rasmussen poll both show significant gains for Romney.

All eyes will be on Ohio Tuesday evening.

NBC News/Marist poll Has Rick Santorum & Mitt Romney Virtual Tie in Battle Ground State of Ohio

A new Marist/NBC News poll just days ahead of Super Tuesday and the all important GOP Ohio Primary has the Buckeye state in a virtual tie between Rick Santorum and Mitt Tomney, 34% to 32%. The poll shows that a majority of likely GOP primary voters view Romney as the Republican candidate with the best chance of defeating President Obama in November 2012. By a 57%  to 36% margin likely GOP primary voters prefer electability over ideology.

Two days until Super Tuesday and the pivotal Ohio Republican presidential primary, Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are running neck and neck in the Buckeye State, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll conducted Feb. 29 – March 2.

Santorum, the former Pennsylvania senator, gets the support of 34 percent of likely GOP primary voters, and Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, gets 32 percent.

Full poll results can be seen HERE.

Another recent Rasmussen poll showed that Mitt Romney was closing fast in Ohio on Santorum. Momentum is obviously on the side of Romney heading into Ohio and Super Tuesday.

Read more

GOP Presidential Primary: Mitt Romney Wins Washington State Caucuses

WASHINGTON STATE CAUCUS …

With 58% of the reporting, Mitt Romney leads with 36.3%, Ron Paul is in second with 24.6% , Rick Santorum is in third 24.5% with and Newt Gingrich is in fourth with 11.3%. CNN has projects the Washington state caucus for Mitt Romney.

CBS News has also called the race for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

With 3,866 of 6,785 precincts counted so far, Romney has 36 percent of the vote. Rep. Ron Paul and former Senator Rick Santorum are in a close race for second and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is a distance fourth.

The state has 40 delegates at stake, but the caucus votes are technically non-binding. CBS News estimates the potential delegate breakdown based on results from the caucus process. Today’s caucuses are the start of a process in the state to award delegates to the Republican National Convention in Tampa.

Caucus result totals can be seen at the the Washington State Republican Party’s Precinct Caucus website.

It would appear Romney has cruises to a rather easy victory in Washington state and has the momentum heading into Super Tuesday with five wins in a row; tonight’s  Washington state caucus win and  the recent victories in the Maine Caucus, Wyoming and  victories in Arizona and Michigan.

GOP Presidential Primary: Mitt Romney Sweeps Night, Victorious in Michigan and Arizona

ROMNEY WINS MICHIGAN AND ARIZONA PRIMARIES …

What was touted by many political pundits as a potential nightmare evening for Mitt Romney, in the end Romney won the primaries in both Michigan and Arizona. It was a runaway victory in Arizona; however, Michigan was a much closer race. But was it?Romney topped Santorum in AZ, 47% to 26%. Romney’s victory in Michigan over Santorum was a much closer tally at a 41% to 38% margin. But was it really that close in Michigan? Not really, as Democrats who voted in the GOP primary went for Santorum heavily. There is no way these folks would ever vote for a Republican against the GOP Presidential candidate.

Romney wins Michigan and Arizona by this much …

The victory by Mr. Romney in Arizona, which awarded him the state’s entire allotment of 29 delegates, was overshadowed by the battle in Michigan. He prevailed in the statewide popular vote by four percentage points, relying on large margins in the counties around Detroit where he spent his childhood, but the fight for delegates was closer.

Michigan awards its 30 delegates by Congressional district, which meant Mr. Santorum would either leave Michigan with nearly the same number as Mr. Romney or only slightly fewer. Mr. Santorum beamed when he took the stage before a cheering crowd in Grand Rapids and reminded his supporters of how far he had come.

Exit polls in Michigan say …

Just curious, if Obama won a state by a close margin, after having won so many in 2008 by a large margin … would the liberal MSM call the victory ugly? Of course not. If any one made such a comment, the liberal press would be posting articles that the GOP called Obama ugly.

In the end, a wins is a win and its onto the next state …

GOP Primary: Mitt Romney Back in the Lead Over Santorum in Michigan … What a difference a Debate Makes

What a difference a debate makes as a front runner …

Just a week ago GOP primary Presidential hopeful Rick Santorum had a lead in Michigan and everyone was talking about Romney’s campaign being in jeopardy if he lost his home state of Michigan. Then there was the woeful debate by Santorum as the front runner where he failed to wow anyone.

The result … Mitt Romney is back on top in Michigan and pulling away. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll in Michigan, Romney leads with 40%, followed by Santoum with 34% while Paul and Gingrich bring up the rear. What a difference a week and a bad debate by Santorum makes. The previous Rasmussen poll had Santorum in the lead over Romney 38% to 34%. Santorum’s bad debate was Romney’s gain.  As reported at The Hill, Romney turned in a strong performance in a pivotal GOP debate on Wedesday in Arizona as it was the first debate in which Romney and Santorum were the clear central figures, and Santorum was battered by attacks from Paul and Romney over his record as a senator in Pennsylvania.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Romney with 40% of the vote and former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum with 34%. The poll was conducted on Thursday night, following the last scheduled debate among the GOP candidates. (To see survey question wording, click here)

Nate Silver also projects that Romney will be victorious in Michigan.

The FiveThirtyEight forecast model now projects a win for Mr. Romney by about four points in Michigan, roughly bisecting the Rasmussen Reports and Mitchell Research polls. Although that is inherently a fairly small margin, it is more meaningful given that there are just four full days of campaigning until Michigan votes; the model makes Mr. Romney about a 2:1 favorite in the state.

Mitt Romney also appears to be pulling away in Arizona as well.

UT/TT GOP Primary Poll: Santorum up Big with 45% … Gingrich a Distant Second with 18%

Don’t mess with Santorum in Texas …

Rick Santorum appears to be on a roll. He is up in Michigan and Ohio; however, he is blowing away the competition in the Lone Star state of Texas. Sanotum has a commanding lead in a recent UT/TT poll with 45% of the vote. Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney are a distant second and third with 18% and 16%, respectively. Although the polling is considered volatile, for the time being Santorum is up big in Texas.

Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania has a commanding lead among Republican presidential candidates in Texas, according to a new University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll.

Santorum would get the votes of 45 percent of the respondents if the election were held today, according to the survey. The other three candidates in the GOP race — former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and U.S. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas — are clustered well behind. Gingrich got 18 percent, Romney received 16 percent and Paul garnered 14 percent.

As pointed out by The Blaze, the Texas poll also indicates that all candidates have a significant lead over Barack Obama in a head to head match up

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