Mile High Bounce for Mitt Romney in Polls after Tremendous Debate Performance … Romney Now Ahead in Colorado
MITT ROMNEY’S ROCKY MOUNTAIN HIGH …
As reported at the Daily Post, there is no debate about it … Mitt Romney is receiving a “Mile High” bounce after he commanding performance in the first presidential debate against Barack Obama. Prior to the debate Barack Obama was ahead in most all national polls and ahead in nearly every battle ground state poll.
Rocky Mountain High: John Denver
But the Colorado rocky mountain high
I’ve seen it rainin’ fire in the sky
The shadow from the starlight is softer than a lullabye
Rocky mountain high
Rocky mountain high
(high in Colorado)
However, that was then, this is now after one disastrous Obama debate performance. The Rasmussen Reportsdaily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday now has Mitt Romney with 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. making matter even better for Romney is this poll is a rolling 3 day average and only 2 of the polls 3 days have been taken after the presidential debate.
After what many saw as a landslide victory during the first presidential debate last Wednesday, Mitt Romney led President Obama by two percent in a national poll released today, winning support from 49 percent of voters nationwide, compared to Obama’s 47 percent.
Going into the debate, Obama led by two points, according to Rasmussen’s daily presidential tracking poll.
About two percent of voters said they were undecided and another two percent said they preferred someone else, according to the pollster.
Don’t look now but not only is Romney doing well in the national poll, but Romney has flipped the polling results in Colorado. A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, has Romney with a 49.4% of the vote and Obama with 45.9%. RCP has the race a near tie in Colorado and once all the polling comes in for poll after the debate, Romney will be leading in Colorado.
A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney’s comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.
A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.
To the victors go the spoils as GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney gets a bounce in the polls following the first Presidential debate.
Following the debate seen by a reported 68 million viewers was a clear victory by Romney over an “empty” podium Barack Obama, Romney has received a bounce in battleground states in the polls in Florida, Virginia and Ohio. In these all important 2012 swing states the polling trend has swung to Romney.
Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s widely-acknowledged victory in Wednesday’s presidential debate has helped him to draw even or slightly ahead in several key swing states, according to polls released Friday.
A poll by We Ask America found Mr. Romney leading President Obama by 3 percentage points in Florida and Virginia and by 1 point in Ohio, after polls have consistently shown the president leading over the past month. [Editors note: Previously in the same poll from 9/17 Obama was +3 over Romney. Their 9/18 poll has Obama up by 3%.]
The firm conducted a previous poll two weeks ago that showed Mr. Obama with 3-point leads in Florida and Virginia.
The Rasmussen polls also saw a swing in the polling data as well toward Romney following the Presidential debate. In Virginia, Romney now leads over Obama, 49% to 48%. Obama has lead by +1 in the previous poll. In Florida, Romney has a 49% to 47% lead over Obama. Last month, the race was Obama 48%, Romney 46%.
From Ohio, a key swing state in the 2012 election, comes a most interesting poll for Mitt Romney that Romney leads leads 51% to 48% among those certain to vote.
The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote.
Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according a new Rasmussen Reports poll taken Thursday night.
But among the stunning 92 percent of likely voters in the state who say that they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent. And among the 83 percent who have already made up their minds how they will vote, Romney is ahead of Obama 52 percent to 48 percent.
UPDATE I: Even Nate Silver is saying that Romney is having strong swing state polls following the debates.
How Will Unemployment Affect the Vote in 2012 … Real Unemployment Reaches 20% In 7 Colorado Counties
COLORADO, ARE YOU BETTER OFF TODAY THAN YOU WERE FOUR YEARS AGO. OBAMANOMICS HAS FAILED COLORADO …
As reported at the Colorado Observer, Colorado’s official unemployment rate is 8.2%; however, the “real unemployment” rate has reached 20% in seven Colorado counties. Making matters worse, it is the first time in y years that the official Colorado rate surpassed the national unemployment rate. The counties with such massive real unemployment are Costilla County at 23.56%, Pueblo 20.09%, Montrose 20.62%, Fremont 19.66%, Huerfano 21.78%, Archuleta 19.97% and Dolores at 19.85%.
In seven counties in Colorado unemployed individuals are close to or exceeding 20% of the population, a letter from the Chief Economist of CDLE to the U.S. Department of Agriculture says.
The letter, obtained through the Colorado Open Records Act, was sent August 29 as required by federal law. According to the Consolidated Farm and Rural Development Act, the Colorado Labor Department is required to certify counties where the “Not Employed Rate” surpasses 19.5%.
The “Not Employed Rate” is defined as “the percentage of individuals over the age of 18 who reside within the community and who are ready, willing and able to be employed but are unable to find employment as determined by the State Department of Labor.”
Ranking highest was Costilla County at 23.56 percent. The list runs from larger counties like Pueblo (20.09%), Montrose (20.62%) and Fremont (19.66%) to smaller populations like Huerfano (21.78%), Archuleta (19.97%) and Dolores (19.85%).
The unemployment rate in Colorado in 2008 was 4.8%. Barack Obama won Colorado in the 2008 Presidential election 54% to 45%.
With such real unemployment affecting those in Colorado, one really has to speculate as to how this will affect voting in the 2012 Presidential election as Colorado is considered a battle ground state. Currently RCP has Obama ahead in the averaging of polls; however, Rasmussen has Romney up by 2%. It’s hard to imagine that individuals would vote for an incumbent President whose economic policies have failed a state so badly.
From the Weekly Standard, with the 2012 Presidential elections almost upon us, President Barack Obama’s approval ratings look very similar to what they did prior to the 2010 midterm shellacking. The double digit gap in strong disapprove vs. strongly approve also indicate party enthusiasm as to who will actually show up at the polls election day. With such a negative gap for Obama, it makes such polls with a +9D sampling simply bunk.
For all of the wishful thinking in the mainstream press about President Obama’s positioning 40 days before this election, Obama’s approval rating looks remarkably similar to what it was on this date in 2010 — shortly before his party lost a historic 63 House seats and 6 Senate seats. On September 27, 2010 — exactly two years ago — Rasmussen Reports showed Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 percentage points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving). Among those who felt “strongly,” Obama’s net approval rating was minus-14 points (with 27 percent “strongly” approving and 41 percent “strongly” disapproving).
Is Swing State of New Hampshire Ready for a Republican Gov. and Vote for Romney over Obama? Romney Leads by 3, Lamontagne by 4
It appears that the “Live Free or Die” state is ready to swing Republican.
According to a recent Rasmussen poll, GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama 48% to 45%. Obama won NH in 2008 by 9 points, 54% to 45% over McCain. Now he finds himself behind by 3, what a difference four years makes. Polling at 45% is hardly encouraging for an incumbent candidate.
Mitt Romney has now taken the lead in the swing state of New Hampshire.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in New Hampshire shows Romney with 48% support to President Obama’s 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
Also, Republican Ovide Lamontagne finds himself slightly ahead of Democrat Maggie Hassan in the NH governors race, 48% to 44%. In 2008, incumbent Democrat Gov. Lynch defeated his GOP rival by a 70% to 28% margin and won by only 7.6% in 2010. Gov. Lynch is not seeking reelection.
Rasmussen Reports’ first look at New Hampshire’s gubernatorial race since the state’s party primaries finds Republican Ovide Lamontagne slightly ahead of Democrat Maggie Hassan. A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Granite State shows Lamontagne earning 48% of the vote, while Hassan picks up 44% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
Even though the unemployment rate in the Granite state is lower than the national average, it appears top be going in the wrong direction.
UPDATE I: The Lonely Conservative has linked with a Pennsylvania poll that has a near dead heat between Romney and Obama.
The DNC Convention Bounce is Over, Rasmussen Has Romney Up by 1% over Obama … 50% Believe Romney Better for Economy
It would appear that the sugar high of the post Democrat Convention poll bounce is over. The most recent Rasmussen poll has Mitt Romney now up by 1% over Barack Obama, 47% to 46%. It would also seem that Romney has energized his base as Republicans are more motivated to vote for Romney than Democrats for Obama. Also, it what may be one of the most important indicators of the 2012 Presidential election, the likely American voters trust Romney over Obama with the economy 50% to 43%.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 46% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Romney has solidified the GOP vote and holds a 77-point lead among Republicans. That’s slightly larger than Obama’s 72-point advantage among Democrats.
When “leaners” are included, it’s Romney 49% and Obama 47%. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either candidate but express a preference for one of them in a follow-up question.
Mitt Romney Gets 5 Point Bounce after RNC Convention, Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Romney 48% – Obama 44% … Romney Also Up by 2% in Swing State Daily Tracking Poll
It looks like Mitt Romney has received a 5, no 6 point bounce following the RNC Convention according to the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Today’s rolling average tracking poll has Romney up 48% to 44% over Obama. Prior to the Republican National Convention Obama lead Romney by 2%. This is a much higher bounce than one would have expected since the voting electorate has become more polarized and with so much 24-7 political news, the days of big bounces are over.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Just prior to this past week’s Republican National Convention, Romney trailed the president by two. Today’s four-point advantage confirms that the GOP hopeful has received the expected convention bounce. See daily tracking history. Romney also has gained ground in the swing state tracking results updated daily for subscribers at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.
Also, Mitt Romney has taken the lead in the Rasmussen Swing State Daily Tracking poll. Romney now leads Obama, 46% to 44%. However, in 2008, Barack Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%. That’s a 9% swing from 2008.
Another little tidbit that defies the many polling models that are over-sampling their polls it the Democrats. Rasmussen reports that
the number of Republicans in America is at a record high.
During August, 37.6% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s up from 34.9% in July and 35.4% in June. It’s also the largest number of Republicans ever recorded by Rasmussen Report since monthly tracking began in November 2002. The previous peak for the GOP was 37.3% in September 2004.
By all accounts the GOP had a successful convention. It was obviously targeted to the Independents in Swing States. Could they have done some things differently, of course. However, the three days of respectful intersection of the last 4 years and a plan for the future by a who’s who of GOP superstars and the future of the party will be contrasted with the partisan hacks and mean spirited blame Bush of the DNC.
We shall see what the Obama bounce is.
According to a recent PPP poll, President Barack Obama’s lead in Iowa has all but disappeared. The PPP has Obama only leading by 2 points, 47% to 45% and below the 50% threshold usually necessary for an incumbent to win. The poll numbers are heading south for Obama in Iowa. In July Obama was ahead of Romney 48-43 and in May it was 51-41. It is obvious that the polls are trending to Romney and there is no reason to think that this will not continue. In 2008 Obama won Iowa 54% to 45%. However, what a difference 4 years makes and a failed presidency.
Full poll results can be seen HERE.
PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds Barack Obama’s lead in the state declining all the way to two points. He’s at 47% to 45% for Mitt Romney. In July we found Obama ahead 48-43 and in May it was 51-41.
Iowa makes yet another swing state where voters don’t really care for either Obama or Romney. Obama’s approval numbers are particularly poor with only 45% of voters approving of him to 50% who disapprove. The fact that he has a small lead in the state despite his under water approval speaks to at least some voters regarding this election as a choice rather than a referendum. Voters aren’t big on Romney either with 47% rating him favorably to 48% with an unfavorable opinion.
Hot Air asks a great question with regards to the polling data, “How is Obama translating a job approval of -5 into a two-point lead? Two ways. First, O more than makes up for Romney’s advantage among men by winning women”. This is the second in August that has had bad news for Obama. A recent Rasmussen poll had Mitt Romney up over Obama in Iowa 46% to 44%. Check out the polling trend at RCP, Obama is in deep, deep trouble in Iowa.
Guess what Barack Obama was doing today … the fear and smear campaign in Iowa. So much for “Hope & Change”, take a good listen to the bitter and angry voice of Obama. What a difference 4 years makes.
It would appear that Rep. Paul Ryan (WI-R) has all the right stuff and was a great choice by Mitt Romney o he his VP on the GOP 2012 Presidential ticket. According to CNN and recent polls following the addition of Ryan as the Republican VP candidate, Wisconsin has been moved to a “true” toss up state in the 2012 electoral map. What a difference 4 years makes. In 2008 Obama defeated McCain in Wisconsin 56% to 43%, now it’s a toss up. If a double digit Obama win in 2008 is now a toss up in 2012 … Obama, you have a problem and not just in Wisconsin.
Biden to Obama: This is a big F’n deal, Wisconsin is not a toss up state.
CNN Thursday turned the important battleground state of Wisconsin from “lean Obama” to true “toss up” on its electoral map, in the wake of Mitt Romney’s naming of House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan, a seven term congressman from the Badger state, as his running mate.
With Wisconsin’s move to true “toss up,” the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 206 electoral votes, and states with 95 electoral votes up for grabs. 270 electoral votes are needed with win the White House.
While Obama won Wisconsin by double digits, Sen. John Kerry, the 2004 Democratic nominee, narrowly captured the Badger State, over President George W. Bush, and Vice President Al Gore edged out Bush in the state in the 2000 contest. It appears the 2012 contest in Wisconsin will be much closer to those competitive contests than the 2008 election.
Even though the CNN poll has Obama still ahead it is important to point oit that it is with registered voters. When polling “likely” voters, Rasmussen has Romney ahead by 1%. However, CNN did not release the partisan demographic breakdown of those polled so its impossible to see just how weighted this poll was for Democrats. Much more analysis at Hot Air.
Presidential Election Polls: Rasmussen Now Has Ohio Dead Even Obama 45%, Romney 45% … Paul Ryan has 51% Favorable Rating in Buckeye State
Romney-Ryan on the rise in Ohio …
The latest Rasmussen poll has the Presidential election all tied up in the Buckeye state of Ohio. Mitt Romney and Barack Obama are now tied at 45% each in the first Rasmussen poll since Romney named Paul Ryan his VP candidate. In the previous poll conducted on July 17, 2012 Obama lead Romney 47% to 45%. Also, it would seem that the pick of Ryan as the GOP candidate for VP suits Ohioans well. In another Rasmussen poll, Paul Ryan has a 51% favorability rating while only 39% have an unfavorable view.
Rasmussen Reports’ latest look at the presidential race in Ohio shows President Obama and Mitt Romney running dead even at 45% each.
A new telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds that six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ryan appears to be a solid pick for VP in Ohio, a must win state for Mitt Romney if be plans on winning the presidency.