Mitt Romney Breaks Through the Obama Ohio Fire Wall … Rasmussen Presidential Poll – Ohio: Romney 50% – Obama 48%


Mitt Romney has had the momentum on his side leading up to the 2012 Presidential election. A number of battleground states have been trending to Romney like Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Virginia and Colorado.

This had caused Barack Obama to go all in for the state of Ohio. However, it appears that strategy has failed as Mitt Romney has broke through Obama’s last line of defense. According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, Romney now leads Obama, 50% to 48%.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Add to this impressive trending for Romney in battleground states that he is now tied with President Obama in Wisconsin, a state that Obama won in 2008 by double digits. Also, Romney is tied with Obama in Iowa. Mitt Romney has also taken a 4 point lead in the Rasmussen Daily Swing State tracking poll, 50% to 46%.

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Romney also leads Obama in the Gallup and Rasmussen National polls  by 5% and 2%, respectively. With all this polling data, it would appear that Romney does have the momentum and a path to victory.

Who Won the Presidential Debates … Mitt Romney 49% – Barack Obama 41%

So who won the Presidential debates? Rasmussen says Mitt Romney 59% to Barack Obama’s 41%. For those who think otherwise all one has to do is go to the polling date prior to the first debate. Mitt Romney won the first debate in a landslide over Barack Obama, as Romney shined and Obama seemed as if he could care less.

Most voters consider the three presidential debates at least somewhat important to how they will vote, and a plurality of those that watched thinks Mitt Romney was the overall debate winner.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds just eight percent (8%) of Likely U.S. Voters did not watch any of the debates. Sixty-three percent (63%) watched a portion or all of all three debates.

For those who think that Romney did not win the debate wars, in an election year where debates really mattered, check out the polling data before the debates. That means you Al Gore, John Kerry and Democrats. Prior to the debates, Gallup Tracking 9/27-10/3: +4 Obama, CNN/Opinion Research 9/28 – 9/30:  +3 Obama, ABC News/Wash Post 9/26 – 9/29: +2 Obama and Rasmussen Tracking 10/1 – 10/3: +2 Obama

Following the debates, Gallup 10/18 – 10/24: +3 Romney, Rasmussen Reports 10/22 – 10/24: +3 Romney and ABC News/Wash Post 10/21 – 10/24: +3 Romney.

Romney over Obama in Rasmussen Poll 50% – 46% and Romney Leads Obama in Gallup 51% to 46%

Romney now polling at or above 50% in both Rasmussen and Gallup polls …

Don’t look now but the bottom is starting to fall out from underneath President Barack Obama. The once lead by Obama is gone and now Romney not only has the lead in the Rasmussen and Gallup poll, all the polling trends are toward Romney.

Mitt Romney is now ahead in the latest Rasmussen poll 50% to 46%.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.

Mitt Romney also leads in the Gallup tracking poll 51% to 46%.

Barack Obama Tanking in Gallup Poll, Romney 52% – Obama 45%

Drip, drip, drip …

WOW, the 7 day rolling average Gallup poll has Mitt Romney up by 7 points over President Barack Obama, 52% to 45%. The gap is widening and with a good debate this coming Monday, Romney could finish Obama off once and for all and break the election wide open.

It would appear that Obama just showing up and doing better than the first debate, which was not hard to do, has not affected the polling. Romney is starting to separate himself.

Hot Air reminds us also that Rasmussen now has Romney up by 2% over Obama in their tracking poll. It appears that their individuals polled were not impressed by Obama’s debate performance either.

Interestingly, Romney’s 49% is solid with or without leaners.  Without leaners, Obama only gets to 46%. Among those “certain” to vote, Romney leads 46/44.  Republicans now have an eight-point advantage on enthusiasm, 83/75, with independents nearly as enthused as Democrats at 72%.

Romney is starting to see a lot of polls in his favor as seen at Real Clear Politics. This is interesting, ABC News touts the Romney lead in the Gallup poll and in the process references their own recent poll that where an ABC/WAPO poll had Obama ahead of Romney 49% to 46%. Funny they should bring this up because in order to give Obama a three point lead over Romney, the hacks at ABC/WAPO had to provide a +9D sampling.  Yea, that is believable. In Obama’s once in a life time election in 2008 Democrats  had a +7 turnout. So ABC/WAPO thinks that Democrats are going to turn out even more? Not likely.

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

             Democrat   Republican   Independent
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33

Rasmussen Now Has Romney Ahead in Virginia 49% to 47%

Don’t look now but another battleground state is trending to Mitt Romney.

According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney leads President Barack Obama 49% to 47% in the Commonwealth of Virginia. This is yet another example of a state that Obama won comfortably in 2008, 53% – 47%, but is now trailing in 2012.

Mitt Romney now has a two-point lead in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 49% of the vote, while President Obama earns 47% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The RCP poll has Obama with a slim 0.4% lead over Romney. However, this is including a highly suspect NY Times/Quinnipiac poll that has Obama with an outlier +5 and no description in the poll of what the sampling was. When you dismiss this poll, Romney is actually slightly ahead in the averaging of polls.


Rasmussen: Romney Now Leads Obama in Swingstate Polling 49% to 47%

Don’t look now but there is more poor polling data for President Barack Obama. This time in the key and all important battleground states. According to the most recent Rasmussen Battle Ground tracking poll, Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama 49% to 47%. What a reversal of political fortune for Romney following his dominate debate performance over Obama.

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

Check out the recent polling at RCP, Romney has pulled ahead in the averaging of the polls.

Ohio US Senate Race Goes from Safe Democrat Back to a Toss Up … Brown (D) 46%, Mandel (R) 46%

Don’t look now but the Ohio US Senate race is back in play …

According to the most recent Rasmussen poll, the Ohio Senate race has been switched from a safe Democrat seat back to a toss up. The Ohio Senate race between incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown and GOP challenger Josh Mandel is now tied at 46% a piece.  Rasmussen’s last poll had Brown up by +8.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 46% support. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Josh Mandel web site

Mile High Bounce for Mitt Romney in Polls after Tremendous Debate Performance … Romney Now Ahead in Colorado


As reported at the Daily Post, there is no debate about it … Mitt Romney is receiving a “Mile High” bounce after he commanding performance in the first presidential debate against Barack Obama. Prior to the debate Barack Obama was ahead in most all national polls and ahead in nearly every battle ground state poll.

Rocky Mountain High: John Denver

But the Colorado rocky mountain high
I’ve seen it rainin’ fire in the sky
The shadow from the starlight is softer than a lullabye
Rocky mountain high
Rocky mountain high
(high in Colorado)

However, that was then, this is now after one disastrous Obama debate performance. The Rasmussen Reportsdaily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday now has Mitt Romney with 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. making matter even better for Romney is this poll is a rolling 3 day average and only 2 of the polls 3 days have been taken after the presidential debate.

After what many saw as a landslide victory during the first presidential debate last Wednesday, Mitt Romney led President Obama by two percent in a national poll released today, winning support from 49 percent of voters nationwide, compared to Obama’s 47 percent.

Going into the debate, Obama led by two points, according to Rasmussen’s daily presidential tracking poll.

About two percent of voters said they were undecided and another two percent said they preferred someone else, according to the pollster.

Don’t look now but not only is Romney doing well in the national poll, but Romney has flipped the polling results in Colorado. A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, has Romney with a 49.4% of the vote and Obama with 45.9%. RCP has the race a near tie in Colorado and once all the polling comes in for poll after the debate, Romney will be leading in Colorado.

A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney’s comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.

A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.

Mitt Romney Gets Post Debate Poll Bounce After Huge Win over Barack Obama in Presidential Debate

To the victors go the spoils as GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney gets a bounce in the polls following the first Presidential debate.

Following the debate seen by a reported 68 million viewers was a clear victory by Romney over an “empty” podium Barack Obama, Romney has received a bounce in battleground states in the polls in Florida, Virginia and Ohio. In these all important 2012 swing states the polling trend has swung to Romney.

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s widely-acknowledged victory in Wednesday’s presidential debate has helped him to draw even or slightly ahead in several key swing states, according to polls released Friday.

A poll by We Ask America found Mr. Romney leading President Obama by 3 percentage points in Florida and Virginia and by 1 point in Ohio, after polls have consistently shown the president leading over the past month. [Editors note: Previously in the same poll from 9/17 Obama was +3 over Romney. Their 9/18 poll has Obama up by 3%.]

The firm conducted a previous poll two weeks ago that showed Mr. Obama with 3-point leads in Florida and Virginia.

The Rasmussen polls also saw a swing in the polling data as well toward Romney following the Presidential debate. In Virginia, Romney now leads over Obama, 49% to 48%. Obama has lead by +1 in the previous poll. In Florida, Romney has a 49% to 47% lead over Obama. Last month, the race was Obama 48%, Romney 46%.

From Ohio, a key swing state in the 2012 election, comes a most interesting poll for Mitt Romney that Romney leads leads 51% to 48% among those certain to vote.

The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote.

Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according a new Rasmussen Reports poll taken Thursday night.

But among the stunning 92 percent of likely voters in the state who say that they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent. And among the 83 percent who have already made up their minds how they will vote, Romney is ahead of Obama 52 percent to 48 percent.

UPDATE I: Even Nate Silver is saying that Romney is having strong swing state polls following the debates.

How Will Unemployment Affect the Vote in 2012 … Real Unemployment Reaches 20% In 7 Colorado Counties


As reported at the Colorado Observer, Colorado’s official unemployment rate is 8.2%; however, the “real unemployment” rate has reached 20% in seven Colorado counties. Making matters worse, it is the first time in y years that the official Colorado rate surpassed the national unemployment rate. The counties with such massive real unemployment are Costilla County at 23.56%, Pueblo 20.09%, Montrose 20.62%, Fremont 19.66%, Huerfano 21.78%, Archuleta 19.97% and Dolores at 19.85%.

In seven counties in Colorado unemployed individuals are close to or exceeding 20% of the population, a letter from the Chief Economist of CDLE to the U.S. Department of Agriculture says.

The letter, obtained through the Colorado Open Records Act, was sent August 29 as required by federal law. According to the Consolidated Farm and Rural Development Act, the Colorado Labor Department is required to certify counties where the “Not Employed Rate” surpasses 19.5%.

The “Not Employed Rate” is defined as “the percentage of individuals over the age of 18 who reside within the community and who are ready, willing and able to be employed but are unable to find employment as determined by the State Department of Labor.”

Ranking highest was Costilla County at 23.56 percent. The list runs from larger counties like Pueblo (20.09%), Montrose (20.62%) and Fremont (19.66%) to smaller populations like Huerfano (21.78%), Archuleta (19.97%) and Dolores (19.85%).

The unemployment rate in Colorado in 2008 was 4.8%. Barack Obama won Colorado in the 2008 Presidential election 54% to 45%.

With such real unemployment affecting those in Colorado, one really has to speculate as to how this will affect voting in the 2012 Presidential election as Colorado is considered a battle ground state. Currently RCP has Obama ahead in the averaging of polls; however, Rasmussen has Romney up by 2%. It’s hard to imagine that individuals would vote for an incumbent President whose economic policies have failed a state so badly.

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