Romney now polling at or above 50% in both Rasmussen and Gallup polls …
Don’t look now but the bottom is starting to fall out from underneath President Barack Obama. The once lead by Obama is gone and now Romney not only has the lead in the Rasmussen and Gallup poll, all the polling trends are toward Romney.
Mitt Romney is now ahead in the latest Rasmussen poll 50% to 46%.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
Mitt Romney also leads in the Gallup tracking poll 51% to 46%.
Mitt Romney Up 7 in Latest Gallup Poll, Romney 52% – Obama 45% … Frank Newport Discusses Gallup Polling on Fox News Sunday
The latest Gallup poll has Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney expanding his lead over President Barack Obama, 52% to 45%. The 7 point lead in the Gallup poll, a seven day rolling average, marks the largest lead and suggest that Obama go no bounce from the second Presidential debate.
This morning on Fox News Sunday, Chris Wallace interviewed Frank Newport, the editor in chief of Gallup discussing their polling methodology.
Drip, drip, drip …
WOW, the 7 day rolling average Gallup poll has Mitt Romney up by 7 points over President Barack Obama, 52% to 45%. The gap is widening and with a good debate this coming Monday, Romney could finish Obama off once and for all and break the election wide open.
It would appear that Obama just showing up and doing better than the first debate, which was not hard to do, has not affected the polling. Romney is starting to separate himself.
Hot Air reminds us also that Rasmussen now has Romney up by 2% over Obama in their tracking poll. It appears that their individuals polled were not impressed by Obama’s debate performance either.
Interestingly, Romney’s 49% is solid with or without leaners. Without leaners, Obama only gets to 46%. Among those “certain” to vote, Romney leads 46/44. Republicans now have an eight-point advantage on enthusiasm, 83/75, with independents nearly as enthused as Democrats at 72%.
Romney is starting to see a lot of polls in his favor as seen at Real Clear Politics. This is interesting, ABC News touts the Romney lead in the Gallup poll and in the process references their own recent poll that where an ABC/WAPO poll had Obama ahead of Romney 49% to 46%. Funny they should bring this up because in order to give Obama a three point lead over Romney, the hacks at ABC/WAPO had to provide a +9D sampling. Yea, that is believable. In Obama’s once in a life time election in 2008 Democrats had a +7 turnout. So ABC/WAPO thinks that Democrats are going to turn out even more? Not likely.
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?Democrat Republican Independent 10/13/12 LV 35 26 33
Don’t Look now but the Gallup poll is starting to break wide open for Romney …
GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney extends lead of Barack Obama in the latest Gallup poll, 51% to 46%. I guess we can expect another tongue-lashing of Gallup by Team Obama for unfair poll sampling because The One now seems to see his once lead, slip, sliding away.
Wow, the Gallup poll is breaking for Romney. The most recent Gallup poll has Romney up over Obama 50% to 46% among “likely” voters. With one more good debate by Mitt Romney this evening or a poor or average showing by Obama, this race could be over tonight. Romney needs to properly explain the obligatory 47% question you know is coming tonight and needs to say the following with regards to Benghazi, and the terror attacks, A President delegates authority, a President does not delegate responsibility.
The Gallup poll is completely damning for Obama. With every single voting demographic, Obama is down from 2008, some down big.
More specifically, here are the key changes in Obama’s support by group since 2008:
- Degreed voters backing off Obama: In 2008, Obama led McCain among postgraduate educated voters by a 30-point margin, while he ran roughly even with McCain among those with lower levels of education. Today, Obama’s postgraduate advantage has been cut to 14 points and he trails Romney among college graduates (those with four-year degrees only) by 22 points. His support from high school graduates and those with some college is also down slightly, providing no counterbalance to his major losses among the college educated.
- Southern losses: The South gave Obama the least support of any region in 2008, but still split their vote evenly for Obama vs. McCain. Today, Southerners favor Romney by a 22-point margin, the largest shift of any region. Voters in the East are also less supportive, while preferences in the West and Midwest are little changed.
- Young voters stick with him: Young voters were an important part of Obama’s 2008 coalition, and in 2012 they continue to support him overwhelmingly, at roughly the same level as four years ago. The difficulty for Obama is that he currently has less support among each older age group, particularly those aged 30 to 49 years.
- White support dwindles: Obama lost the white vote in 2008 by 12 percentage points, but that was more than offset by a 72-point lead among nonwhites. Today, Obama has a more daunting 22-point deficit among whites, while his margin over Romney among nonwhites is essentially unchanged.
- Men move away: In 2008, Gallup found a 14-point swing in gender preferences for president, with women favoring Obama by a 14-point margin and men tied in their preferences for Obama vs. McCain. Today, there is a 20-point gender gap. Women’s support for Obama shrank to six percentage points, while men favor Romney by 14 points.
And the polling troubles for President Barack Obama keep on coming.
Mitt Romney now leads Barack Obama by 4 points, 50% to 46%, among “likely” voters in the swings states in a recently released USA Today/Gallup poll. The swing states consist of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Who is to thank for Romney’s surge … WOMAN! Don’t look now, but Obama has a gender problem with both men and woman. Romney has pulled within one of Obama with woman and Romney leads Obama by 8% with men.
Mitt Romney leads President Obama by four percentage points among likely voters in the nation’s top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank.
As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds female voters much more engaged in the election and increasingly concerned about the deficit and debt issues that favor Romney. The Republican nominee has pulled within one point of the president among women who are likely voters, 48%-49%, and leads by 8 points among men.
“In every poll, we’ve seen a major surge among women in favorability for Romney” since his strong performance in the first debate, veteran Democratic pollster Celinda Lake says. “Women went into the debate actively disliking Romney, and they came out thinking he might understand their lives and might be able to get something done for them.”
Barack Obama already had a gender gap with men, that has not changed. However, if Obama is going to poll even with Romney with woman, this could be a landslide election. Is it really come as a surprise? Romney came across as completely likable during the first debate and not Satan as Obama attack ads had displayed. Then came Biden’s obnoxious and over the top antics during the VP debate that reminded every woman of the worst date or their ex-spouse.
Now, the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows Romney leading Obama 50%-46% among likely voters in the swing states. Men who are likely voters back him 52%-44%. The states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
What is the Obama campaign’s reaction to the poll, to question the absurd poll sampling of course. Awe, whats the matter with the whiners from the Obama campaign, do they not approve of a poll that does not have a +9 to +11 D sampling? Wait a minute, didn’t they just recently criticize the Romney camp for feeling the need to talk about the public polls, because they don’t?
More good news for Mitt Romney from the Gallup poll. Romney is up by 2% over Obama, 49% to 47% among likely voters. It is just one of many polls that have seen Obama seize the lead in a national poll or battle ground state poll since the Presidential debate. The polling trend is obviously on the side of Mitt Romney. Sister Toldja has the reason reason why Romney has surged into the lead … 67 million people got to see the real Mitt Romney, while they also got to see that Obama really is an “empty chair” without his protective media.
Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama’s favor.
As is almost always the case in recent elections, likely voters at this point are more likely to support the Republican candidate than are all registered voters. Gallup’s estimate of the vote choices of likely voters shows that Romney gains three percentage points among likely voters compared with the total registered voter pool, and Obama loses two points.
At this point, Romney voters are somewhat more likely to respond that they will definitely vote, that they have thought a lot about the election, and that they are more familiar with where people in their local area vote. These attitudes indicate that Romney at this juncture will benefit from higher turnout on Election Day among his supporters than will Obama. These patterns could change closer to Election Day as more voters become engaged or if Republicans’ or Democrats’ enthusiasm for voting is altered by campaign events.
Who says that debates do not change the polls? Those pundits who made such comments before the Romney-Obama ‘Duel in Denver’ debate are eating their words today. The Gallup poll has the race dead even at 47% a piece.
Gallup now has it a tie between Romney and Obama, following the debate. Prior to the debate, the Gallup poll had Obama ahead by a +5. How bad was it for Obama in the debate? Not only did Republicans and Independents overwhelmingly believe that Romney mopped the floor with Obama, but a majority of Democrats thought Romney won as well. OUCH!
Where has the Obama Democrat Convention bounce go? Can you say it’s completely gone the way of the DoDo bird. The most recent Gallup tracking poll has President Barack Obama with only a 1 point lead over Mitt Romney, far within the margin of error and basically a statistical tie. Not only has Obama’s lead fallen, so has his approval rating. What happened to that great Obama convention bounce? To paraphrase as one of my favorite obscure 1980′s bands Chilliwack:
Gone gone gone, its been gone so long
Its been gone gone gone so long
Gone gone gone, its been gone so long
Its been gone gone gone so long
Gone gone gone, its been gone so long
gone gone gone so long
Obama’s lead widened to 7 points in the days following the Charlotte, N.C., convention earlier this month, but Tuesday’s data show the race returning the level where it’s been throughout most of the contest.
Prior to the conventions, Gallup’s poll had been almost completely static, with each candidate averaging 46 percent since May.
The president’s approval rating also dipped back below 50 percent for the first time since the convention.
Forty-nine percent said they approve of the job the president is doing, compared to 45 who say they disapprove. That’s still slightly better than the last few months, when Obama hovered around break-even and occasionally dipped into negative territory.
Barack Obama Opens Up 4 Point Lead Over Romney in Gallup National Poll Following DNC Convention … Will Dismal Economic Jobs Report Affect Bounce?
It would appear that Barack Obama has received a post convention bounce according to two polls released on Saturday. The Gallup daily tracking poll has Obama at 49% support among registered voters and GOP candidate Mitt Romney with 45%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Saturday also has a Obama up; however, it is reported with a rather misleading title that Obama leads despite jobs data. Sorry, but the pathetic, anemic and poor jobs report came out on Friday. That is hardly enough time to feel the effects in a poll released on Saturday. Also, the polls for the swing states are going to be a better predictor for who shall be the next President of the United States. In not one battleground state is Obama polling at 50% or better.
President Obama’s post-convention bounce has grown to four points according to two new polls released Saturday.
Gallup’s daily tracking poll has Obama at 49 percent support among registered voters to GOP candidate Mitt Romney’s 45 percent.
The new figures show a 1-point increase for Obama from Friday’s results and reflects voter sentiment after the final day of the Democratic National Convention.
The Gateway Pundit reminds us to be not afraid, Gallup had Jimmy Carter up 4 points over Ronald Reagan in September 1980. We all know how that election turned out and how the undecided voted. I ma hardly suggesting that Romney will win like Reagan did in 1980; however, it is most likely that undecided voters will break to the challenger Romney due to the poor economy.
At some point Americans are going to have to determine how 43+ months of an unemployment rate over 8%, a record number of Americans on food stamps, a national debt over $16 trillion and Barack Obama with no answers to any of it except for more of the same and asking for more time is the answer. Any one with a clue, who actually loves America and wants the United States to go forward and not wind up in economic disaster will vote for Romney.
Posted September 9, 2012 by Scared Monkeys
2012 Elections, Are You Better Off Today Than You Were 4 Years Ago, Barack Obama, Capitaism, Economy, Epic Fail, Food Stamps, Gallup, Jobs, Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012, Obamanation, Obamanomics, Polls, Presidential Election, Recession, Reuters/Ipsos, Unemployment | 4 comments