Charlie Cook Says, This is One of “the Most Dramatic Shifts I’ve Ever Seen in 40 Years of Involvement in Politics” Referring to the Generic Congressional Ballot
Charlie Cook, political polling extraordinaire of the Cook Political Report, stated that the recent political environment that it is “one of the most dramatic shifts I’ve ever seen in 40 years of involvement in politics.” The shift that Cook is referring to has Democrats in a panic as they try and find answers to right the ship that is taking on water after the failed launch of the Obamacare website and the misrepresentations and lies from President Obama that if you liked your healthcare plan, you could keep it, Period! The Obama mistrust has caused a ripple affect with the Generic Congressional ballot as Obamacare was passed 100% on a partisan Democrat vote. Democrats are damned no matter which way they turn, they can admit Obamacare was a complete mistake that they passed without reading or they can double down and infuriate the American people.
Sure enough, the Democratic numbers in the generic ballot began to pull dramatically ahead, resembling a steep ascent up the side of a mountain, ending about 7 points ahead of Republicans, 45 percent to 38 percent—an advantage that, were it to last until the election, would give Democrats a chance to recapture the House.
Then, in mid-October, the focus shifted from the government-shutdown fiasco to a different debacle, this time a Democratic disaster: the botched launch of the Obamacare website and subsequent implementation problems of the health care law, including termination notices going out to many people who had insurance coverage. The Democratic numbers from the generic-ballot test dropped from 45 percent to 37 percent, and Republicans moved up to 40 percent. This 10-point net shift from a Democratic advantage of 7 points to a GOP edge of 3 points in just over a month is breathtaking, perhaps an unprecedented swing in such a short period. Occurring around Election Day, such a shift would probably amount to the difference between Democrats picking up at least 10 House seats, possibly even the 17 needed for a majority, and instead losing a half-dozen or so seats.
Of course, with the election 11 months away, it’s too early to get really excited about this turnabout, but it demonstrates the volatility we are seeing these days in American politics. It must also give Democrats a sense of déjà vu, back to when the bottom fell out for them during the 2009-10 fight over passage of the Affordable Care Act. In that case, though, they suffered a gradual decline in party fortunes, starting in the summer of 2009 and culminating in the loss of 63 seats and the House majority in November 2010—the biggest drop in House seats for either party since 1948 and the largest in a midterm election since 1938. Democrats didn’t fare much better in the Senate, losing six seats.
From the Cook Political Report, ‘Everyone Hates Washington, but Democrats More Vulnerable.’
If there were a theme for 2014 midterms, it would be “fear and loathing of Washington, D.C.”
Congress is as about as popular as gonorrhea. President Obama’s approval ratings and personal ratings are at the lowest point of his presidency. Republicans, as well, have seen their favorable ratings hit all-time lows.
But while neither party can escape blame or scorn, Democrats are more likely to feel the fall-out than Republicans. Why? Democrats have more vulnerable seats in play in both the House and the Senate. The President’s approval ratings are a bigger driver of electoral outcomes than that of Congress. The Obamacare issue is more likely to be an anvil than a benefit politically for the Democrats. And, of course, there’s history working against Democrats too. See; Itch, Six Year.
But as stated at Hot Air, this is no reason for the GOP to start popping the champagne which I would agree with 100%. Although, the only thing I would disagree with is that the notion that there should be no more problems with the website and no more people will lose their insurance. The American people are not forgiving when it comes to being lied to. The web site continues to have problems on the back end as they had to admit that many who enrolled, one in four, or thought they enrolled may not really be. Also, doctors are running away from Obamacare like it is the plague, and it is. Also, even with Obama trying to postpone the enrollment period for the employer mandate until after the 2014 elections, the cancellation notices will be going out long before that.
Republican’s should not allow their present advantage in the generic ballot to spur them to purchase food and beer for a victory party, the 2014 mid-terms are a long time away and their is much that can happen.
Their latest advantage was not built on anything the GOP did, but on the failed Obamacare launch. Americans forgive and forget easily. However unlikely the scenario, should there be no more issues with the website and no more people losing the plans they were promised they could keep, the initial negative effect of the bad launch could wane.
Posted December 7, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
2014 Elections, Barack Obama, Community Agitator, Congress, Democrats, Divider in Chief, Epic Fail, Generic Congressional Ballot, Healthcare.gov, Liberals, Misleader, Obamacare, Obamanation, Polls, Progressives, Republican, Transparency, You Can Keep Your Insurance | no comments
Barack Obama en el otoño político libre …
According to a recent Gallup poll, it appears that some one’s job approval poll numbers are in free fall with pretty much every demographic, and Hispanics are at the top of the list. Barack Obama’s job approval numbers are down with Latinos this year from 75% to 52%. ¡Dios mío … I guess me can expect an Obama mad rush for amnesty. However, that is not the only group that Obama has lost ground with. Obama has also lost Moderates (-16), 18-29 year olds (-15), Independents (-15), women (-14), Conservative Democrats (-14) , Democrats (-13), 30-49 year olds (-12), 50-64 year olds (-12) and even Blacks at -9. However, it appears that Legal Insurrection has found one group that has maintained their support for Obama, Conservative Republicans are only at -2, down from 7% to 5%. HA!
Not only does Obama not have coattails, he is now considered toxic.
Can we call this a total and complete loss of the America people? Imagine if the election was held today with the American people knowing the truth about many of Obama’s lies and the MSM was forced into not carrying the water 100% of the time for their leader?
President Barack Obama’s job approval rating averaged 41% in November, down 12 percentage points from 53% last December, his high-water mark since his first year in office. Hispanics’ approval has dropped 23 points over the last 12 months, the most among major subgroups, and nearly twice the national average.
Hispanics’ approval ratings of Obama have shown the most variation of any group’s ratings throughout his presidency. That means their views of him are less firmly anchored than those of other groups, which may help explain why their opinions of the president soured more than any other group’s in recent months. Despite the significant decline in their approval ratings over the past 12 months, a majority of Hispanics, 52%, still approve of the job Obama is doing.
A note to Republicans, namely Speaker John Boehner and the GOP leadership in the House … if you pass a BS amnesty bill you will collapse the Republican party forever. Hot Air correctly points out that the Democrats do not own the Latino vote. You have an opportunity to make real reform with immigration and deal with this issue in a common sense way. One of those is to actually uphold the oaths that all of you took and to follow the US Constitution and uphold the laws of the land. I have always believed that Hispanics were not a monolithic voting block and were interested in many things other than immigration (amnesty), like the economy, real healthcare reform, jobs and the truth.
If the first two months of ObamaCare could push him nearly underwater with Latinos, what will another year of rate shock and shrinking provider networks do? Without lifting a finger, the GOP may be back in play for this demographic — not so much that they’d win it outright, but enough that they could close the gap to, say 15-20 points instead of 40-45. In a tight election, that would be ruinous for Democrats.
Posted December 6, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
2014 Elections, Barack Obama, Divider in Chief, Epic Fail, Ethics, Gallup, Healthcare.gov, Independents, Job Approval, Latinos/Hispanics, Leading from Behind, Misleader, Obamacare, Obamanation, Politics, Polls, Restoring America, Socialist in Chief, The Lying King, United States, We the People | 3 comments
“Young Invincibles” Turn on Obama in a Major Way … Harvard Poll: Millennial’s 18-29 Year-Olds Says 54% Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance, 61% Disapproved of his Handling of Healthcare & 57% Disapproved of the Affordable Care Act
Millennial Buyers Remorse …
OUCH … 18 to 29 year-olds are in revolt against President Barack Obama, how he has handled his job, healthcare and Obamacare itself!!!
Hey Mr. President … the millennial’s just are not that into you anymore now that they know they truth and they have been lied to and used. Couple the healthcare lies with the NSA spying scandals and the youth that so supported Barack Obama in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections now learn that there is nothing “Hopey-Changey” about Obama. He is the same old, same old lying politicians. Maybe even worse. According to a new Harvard IOP poll, among the 18- 29- year olds currently without health insurance, less than 1/3 say they’re likely to enroll in the exchange. 13% say they will definitely enroll, 16% say they will probably enroll; 41% say they are 50-50 at the moment.
- 54% Disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance
- 61% Disapproved of his Handling of Healthcare
- 57% Disapproved of the Affordable Care Act
- 44% said they think the quality of their health care will get worse
The Millennials actually now look more like the rest of the voter electorate.
The trend is daunting for the White House but not necessarily surprising,” said Pew Research Center Director Michael Dimock.
“Younger folks are part of Obama’s base … but the rollout confirmed concerns that were already in their minds.”
A poll released Wednesday by Harvard University’s Institute of Politics found that more than half of 18- to 29-year-olds disapprove of ObamaCare and believe it will raise their healthcare costs.
Even more troubling for the administration is that less than one-third of uninsured young people said they plan to enroll in coverage.
Without a large number of young, healthy people in the insurance exchanges, it could create a “death spiral” of high premiums that could threaten the long-term viability of the marketplaces.
The White House appears to recognize the growing threat, and is making outreach to younger people a major focus of its ObamaCare relaunch.
The president began the effort on Wednesday with a youth summit at the White House where he urged audience members to spread the word about the new healthcare exchanges — and think hard about their own health risks.
Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid Says Let ‘We the People’ Eat Obamacare … To Exempt Some of his Staff From Having to Buy Insurance Through Obamacare
If any law maker ever passes inflicts a law on the American people and does not have to abide by it themselves, should be thrown out of office. Enter Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid who has exempted some of his staff from following the very law that Democrats passed along a partisan vote on the American people. No double standard here.
What, me accept Obamacare … are you crazy!!!
Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, one of Obamacare’s architects and staunchest supporters, is also the only top congressional leader to exempt some of his staff from having to buy insurance through the law’s new exchanges.
Reid is the exception among the other top congressional leaders. GOP House Speaker John Boehner, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell have all directed their staffs to join the exchange, their aides said.
In the charged atmosphere surrounding Obamacare, Reid’s decision only gives Republicans more ammo to attack Democrats already suffering politically from the law’s botched rollout.
Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) Says of the Obama Administration: “I Think the Current Administration Has Taken Lying to a New Level”
Senator John Cornyn is finally on board with Scared Monkeys … Barack Obama is The
Lion Lying King …
Last night on the Kelly File’s, Megyn Kelly discussed with Obama sycophant and National Press Secretary for Obama’s 2012 campaign Ben Labolt about Sen. Cornyn’s comment that, “I think the current administration has taken lying to a new level.” In typical Obama/Saul Alinsky fashion, Labolt attacked Republicans for the failures of Obamacare. Pathetic. Then he went on to lie and say that Obama apologized for lying to Americans, that they could keep their healthcare plan if they liked it, Period! Of course Kelly was quick to correct the Obama mouth peice to say that what the president said was that he was sorry that people found themselves in the situation they are in because of something he said. And of course there was the typical “blame Bush” attack. What a pathetic bunch of people who just are incapable of telling the truth and owning up to it when they are caught red handed.
Come on America, I think it was pretty obvious that Barack Obama, Democrats and their minions mislead and lied to the American people.
Sen. John Cornyn says the White House has been lying about the attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, and accused them of a cover-up.
“I think the current administration has taken lying to a new level,” Cornyn said during a Google hangout on Monday in response to a question about Benghazi.
Cornyn praised the work of House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell Issa, who has tried to subpoena information and witnesses from the State Department. The senator said Congress should use “all the tools available … to hold people accountable.”
“It’s harder when the administration decides to cover this up and mislead and to change the subject, which they seem very good at doing, but … I assure you we’re not going to let this one go,” Cornyn said. “To me that’s the one thing that I find most aggravating about what’s happening in Washington these days and particularly about this administration, which is a lack of accountability and the willingness to mislead people or provide them just demonstrably false information and expect to be able to move on.”
FOX News White House Reporter Ed Henry To WH Press Secretary Jay Carney … It Doesn’t Sound Like ObamaCare Website Is Actually Fixed
This is how the Obama White House defines meeting their Obamacare goals, when site is stressed, instead of getting an error message, they send you off to an overload area and send you an email to try again later.
Yesterday, Fox News White House reporter Ed Henry held Press Secretary
Baghdad Bob Jay Carney’s feet to the fire and questioned whether the Obama administration had actually met the deadline of fixing the Healthcare.gov web site. People are getting a cue message, instead of an error message. The individuals are still not enrolling, they are just getting placed in another line to wait. But this is the governments definition of success. So what did Carney do in his response, got defensive of course. Note to Obama Admin, you have no more “trust” capital with the American people. Either start telling the truth and acting like humans to others who you have consistently lied to for feel their wrath in 2014, 2016 and thereafter.
These people are still playing politics and being disingenuous with the American people even after they have been caught with their hand in the cookie jar.
One-Third of Individuals Who Have Signed Up for Obamacare Might Not Get the Coverage They’re Expecting Next Month
ARE YOU KIDDING ME … THE CHAOS CONTINUES!
From the WAPO, just because you signed up for healthcare thru the Obamacare web site, does not necessarily mean that you are enrolled. UNREAL. So now you can’t keep the insurance that you were forced to enroll in that you didn’t want in the first place because the insurance plan you had was canceled by Obamacare. So as ABC News reports, New Obamacare Headache: Is Your Enrollment Real? It is absolutely unbelievable that after all the lies, misinformation, glitches, failed web site and bad law, now those that go to the website do not even know if their enrollment is real. This goes beyond a head shaking moment.
But two days later, his insurer has no record of the transaction, Shlora said, even though his account on the government website indicates that he has a plan.
“I feel like this: My application was taken … by a bureaucrat, it was put on a conveyor belt and it’s still going around, and it’s never going to leave the building,” he said. “I’ve lost hope. If it happens, great.”
The enrollment records for a significant portion of the Americans who have chosen health plans through the online federal insurance marketplace contain errors — generated by the computer system — that mean they might not get the coverage they’re expecting next month.
The errors cumulatively have affected roughly one-third of the people who have signed up for health plans since Oct. 1, according to two government and health-care industry officials. The White House disputed the figure but declined to provide its own.
The mistakes include failure to notify insurers about new customers, duplicate enrollments or cancellation notices for the same person, incorrect information about family members, and mistakes involving federal subsidies. The errors have been accumulating since HealthCare.gov opened two months ago, even as the Obama administration has been working to make it easier for consumers to sign up for coverage, the government and industry officials said.
Figuring out how to clean up the backlog of errors and prevent similar ones in the future is emerging as the new imperative if the federal insurance exchange is to work as intended. The problems were the subject of a meeting Monday between administration officials and a new “Payer Exchange Performance Team” made up of insurance industry leaders.
The idea that one-third of the enrollment records are flawed “doesn’t accurately reflect the picture of what’s happening right now,” White House senior communications adviser Tara McGuinness said.
WHAT A MESS … Get ready for the Identity Theft that is going to be a result of the Obamacare web site where no security was ever put in place …
From CNBC comes the following frightening revelations. The security issues with the beleaguered web site are even worse than thought. David Kennedy, a cybersecurity expert told CNBC the unthinkable, ”When you develop a website, you develop it with security in mind. And it doesn’t appear to have happened this time.” He was then asked whether the site posed a risk to individuals personal information. Kennedy responded, putting your information on the Healthcare.gov web site puts yourself at risk. Since it is on the federal level, the government does not have to disclose that they have been hacked or a breach has occurred.
It could take a year to secure the risk of “high exposures” of personal information on the federal Obamacare online exchange, a cybersecurity expert told CNBC on Monday.
“When you develop a website, you develop it with security in mind. And it doesn’t appear to have happened this time,” said David Kennedy, a so-called “white hat” hacker who tests online security by breaching websites. He testified on Capitol Hill about the flaws of HealthCare.gov last week.
“It’s really hard to go back and fix the security around it because security wasn’t built into it,” said Kennedy, chief executive of TrustedSec. “We’re talking multiple months to over a year to at least address some of the critical-to-high exposures on the website itself.”
How did this government allow such a colossal failure to go forward that would put so many millions of Americans at risk of ID theft? In one respect, they are lucky that it was so poorly constructed that people could not get on to enroll and in turn have their info hacked.
Posted December 3, 2013 by Scared Monkeys
Barack Obama, Chicago-Style Politics, Community Agitator, cybersecurity, Epic Fail, Gutter Politics, Hacked/Hacking, Healthcare.gov, Internet, Misleader, Obamacare, Obamanation, Scandal, Technology, The Lying King, We the People, WTF, You Tube - VIDEO | one comment
Democrats Need to Worry About a Lot More than Just Obamacare Web Site Problems in 2014 … They Have a Trust Problem, and That Economy Thing
Hey Democrats, it is not the Obamacare web site that is the from, it is the law, the logistics and the lies …
A WAPO oped penned by Marc A. Thiessen points out the real issues that Democrats should be panicked over for the 2014 midterm election, not the disastrous roll-out or relaunch of the failed web page, Healthcare.gov. There is a reason why no one who voted for Obamacare, only Democrats and no Republicans, never read the 2000 pages of the Obamacare bill before passage. Then, Speaker of the House made the foolish comment, we have to pass the bill in order to see what’s in it. Really? Only politicians with an agenda have to put their hand into the fire to see if they get burned. Now in the wake of the Obamacare roll-out and Americans finally finding out what is being inflicted upon them, they are mad as hell. Democrats are now panicked that they are in trouble for 2014. However, the main issue here is Americans are not just angry about a broken Web site; they are angry about a broken promise.
There is a reason why Obama’s job approval ratings are averaging in the near 30′s. And it is not just about Obamacare, check out his average polling at RCP on handing the economy, it is in the 30′s.
VIDEO – Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) says at 1:03, “if you like the healthcare plan you have, you can keep it”.
- 5.5 million. That is how many people the administration needs to sign up in just 23 days because Obamacare drove them out of their health-care plans. That’s some 240,000 sign-ups every single day, just to break even. Getting that many enrolled in a few weeks would be extraordinarily difficult even if the Web site were working perfectly, which it isn’t.
- 50 million. That is how many Americans will be surprised to find their employer-based health plans dropped or substantially changed next year because of Obamacare. Some will see their plans canceled; others will lose their doctors and see premiums or deductibles rise dramatically.
- 53. That is the percentage of Americans who now say that President Obama is not “honest or trustworthy.” Americans are not just questioning Obama’s competence, they also are questioning his integrity.
- 12. That is the number of Senate Democrats up for reelection in 2014 who are complicit in Obama’s lie. They are on record (and on YouTube) making the same false promise. Democrat Sens. Mary Landrieu (LA) ,Mark Pryor (AR) , Sen. Kay Hagan (NC) , Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Sen. Mark Begich (AK), Sen. Mark Warner (VA) all in one way or another are on record of making promises that you can keep your heathcare plan if you like it.
- 7. That is the number of states with vulnerable Democratic-held senate seats that also have Republican governors. Why is this important? Because Obamacare premiums are set to skyrocket next year. No wonder the president moved next year’s Obamacare sign-up date to 11 days after Election Day. The flaw in his plan is that the nation’s governors will know the new rates before Election Day. In blue states, Democratic governors may keep the secret, but in red states, such as Alaska, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico and South Dakota, Republican governors won’t.
You can fix a web site, maybe … fixing trust, that’s near impossible.
Oh, and by the way, even though Barack Obama has claimed victory and they have met their goals of November 30 … the site still does not work!
Finally Barack Obama Has Support for Obamacare from a Segment of the US Population … Hookers at Nevada’s Moonlight Bunny Ranch
WTF … HOOKERS FOR OBAMACARE!!!
What a ringing endorsement of Obamacare, CBS-Las Vegas reports that the prostitutes at the Moonlight Bunny Ranch are all for Obamacare. The prostitutes, sorry,independent contractors are now eligible for health insurance under Obamacare. It would appear in the past that most all insurance companies were not willing to take the risk of insuring a whore. Oh sorry, independent sex contractor. Imagine that, it is nearly impossible for prostitutes to get health insurance before because of their profession. Wow, really? Because legalized prostitutes never get STD’s, do they? So let’s understand this, we have cancer patients losing their insurance plans, losing their doctors and hospitals so that prostitutes can get insurance? Thanks Obama!!!
Maybe Barack Obama can do a photo-op at the Moonlight Bunny Ranch.
President Barack Obama has at least one segment of America behind his health care law: the legalized prostitutes at the Moonlight Bunny Ranch.
The girls who work at the Bunny Ranch tell KRNV-TV that it was nearly impossible for them to get health insurance before because of their profession.
“Having this profession, we aren’t exactly offered group health insurance,” Taylor Lee said. “It’s hard because I do have a pre-existing condition so I really support Obamacare. I’m excited.”
Caressa Kisses said that insurance providers equated them to illegal prostitutes who have sexually transmitted diseases.
“We’re independent contractors. We have to get our own insurance but this is truly a blessing,” Kisses told KRNV. “I hope they work the kinks out and that affordable health care happens for all because it is really needed.”
The interesting part of this is that Obamacare forcing the owner of the Moonlight Bunny Ranch to purchase insurance for the non-prostitutes at his businesses and cost him about $250,000 a year. Look for the prices to increase next year on Champagne and Pampered parties.