COULD NEW HAMPSHIRE REALLY GO TO DONALD TRUMP? HEY NH … LIVE FREE OR DIE!!!
According to the most recent WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire, Republican Donald Trump now leads Democrat Hillary Clinton by one pont, 40% to 39% with Gary Johnson at 10% and Jill Stein at 3%. With less than a week to go before election day, Trump has the momentum and states where Hillary and Democrats thought was in the already won category are now trending toward Trump. In reviewing the RCP average polling that shows Clinton in the lad in NH, many of these polls were taken before the FBI announced that they were reopening the private server/email case and the recent news of the Clinton Foundation FBI investigation.
As one who used to live in the Granite state, I can’t imagine a state with a motto, “Live Free or Die” could ever vote for Hillary. Donald Trump needs to pick off blue states to get to 270 Electoral Votes needed to win the 2016 presidential election.
A new WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire finds that Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton are now in a dead heat with just five days to go before Election Day.
The survey also finds Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte leading her Democratic challenger, Gov. Maggie Hassan, by 6 points in one of the key races that could determine which party will control the U.S. Senate.
The poll is consistent with a number of surveys across the country that suggest the presidential race has tightened considerably.
In the last WBUR poll — just three weeks ago — Clinton led Trump by 3 percentage points in New Hampshire. This new poll (topline, crosstabs) now shows Trump in front, with a razor thin 1-point lead, well within the 4.4 percentage point margin of error.
Among the most striking findings of the poll is how much voters continue to dislike both candidates. Only 37 percent of respondents have a favorable view of Trump, which is up slightly from three weeks ago. While just 36 percent have a favorable view of Clinton, which is down a bit.
So for the first time, Clinton is viewed slightly less favorably than Trump.
“When we started this campaign, Trump was the most disliked candidate ever to be nominated by a major party, and Hillary Clinton was the second most disliked,” Koczela said. “So this voter distaste for the candidates is not a new dynamic, but it has not improved at all.”
Donald Trump will wrap up his presidential bid where it all began: New Hampshire. The GOP nominee will host his final rally before Election Day in Manchester, where he held his first official campaign event and where he claimed his first primary state victory.
But Trump’s decision to end in the Granite State may be more than nostalgia and symbolism. Polls are tightening in New Hampshire and show Trump within striking distance of Hillary Clinton, whose lead there has been cut in half over the last week in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
According to a recent Monmouth University poll, the presidential race in Pennsylvania appears to be getting closer and closer. Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 44% back Trump. Another 3% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% back Jill Stein of the Green Party. Her lead was 10 just a month ago, but as the scandals mount, Hillary’s lead is shrinking. The RCP average of polling shows Hillary up by 3.4 and this state will be a tough one to win for Trump; however, all the polls are trending in his direction. The Keystone state will be a major indicator on election night as to how Trump is doing nationally. The question is, will Hillary pick up the necessary votes in Philly and Pittsburgh to win the state?
Hillary Clinton maintains the lead in Pennsylvania, although by a smaller margin than one month ago. The Monmouth University Poll finds she currently has a 4 point edge over Donald Trump, which is down from a 10 point lead in October and an 8 point lead in August. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democratic challenger Katie McGinty has pulled ahead of GOP incumbent Pat Toomey by 3 points. The race was tied last month, while McGinty had a 4 point lead in the summer.
Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 44% back Trump. Another 3% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% back Jill Stein of the Green Party. This marks a narrowing of Clinton’s 50% to 40% lead from one month ago and her late August advantage of 48% to 40% over Trump.
“Clinton is still in the lead, but the race has tightened in the past four weeks. It looks like this shift was in the works even before Friday’s FBI bombshell, which has made only a small contribution to this overall narrowing,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
The poll was conducted after news broke about the FBI investigation of new emails during Clinton’s tenure as Secretary of State. Only 4% of Pennsylvania voters say this news caused them to change their minds about which candidate they would support. The vast majority (89%) say these latest developments have had no impact on their vote and 6% are unaware of the news. Among those who changed their vote, Trump has less than a 2:1 advantage, meaning the overall presidential vote margin shifted by no more than one percentage point specifically due to this breaking news.
PLEASE TAKE THE WARNINGS TO THIS MASSIVE HURRICANE SERIOUSLY …
Hurricane Matthew hits the Bahamas and headed toward Florida. Matthew has already been responsible for 26 deaths (updated now to 39) as it heads toward the East coast of the United States. Gov. Scott warned Florida could be facing its ‘biggest evacuation ever’ after declaring a state emergency. Matthew is supposed to be a CAT4 hurricane when it hits the U.S. Please take the evacuations seriously.
More than two million people in the US have been urged to evacuate their homes amid warnings Hurricane Matthew is strengthening and could cause ‘loss of life’ as it bears down on the East Coast.
Thousands of families have been caught in gridlock in Florida, the Carolinas and Georgia after fleeing their homes ahead of the storm – which is expected to strike Miami at around 2am on Friday and crawl northwards.
The powerful category-three hurricane, the fiercest Caribbean storm in nearly a decade, has already killed at least 22 people in Haiti and four in the Dominican Republic on Tuesday.
It is expected to intensify to a ‘catastrophic’ category-four hurricane when it batters southern Florida and moves further up the Atlantic coast into Georgia and South Carolina, the US National Hurricane Center said.
The National Weather Service has advised that ‘loss of life’ and ‘immense human suffering’ is possible for those who don’t take precautions.
The Weather Channel: Hurricane Matthew’s U.S. Impacts: Life-Threatening Storm Surge, Damaging Winds, Flooding Rainfall.
Hurricane Matthew will hammer parts of eastern Florida starting Thursday, and then spread up the coast of Georgia and the Carolinas Friday into the weekend.
As illustrated by the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) projected path map, and also explained below, the severity of any direct impacts will depend on how close the center of Matthew moves near the coast.
An important point to make is that landfall does NOT need to take place for the worst impacts to come ashore. The strongest winds and most drilling surge will come to the coast in the eyewall, which surrounds the eye. Landfall occurs when the calmest portion of the eye, or the center, comes ashore. Hurricane conditions could come ashore even if the center stays 20 to 30 miles offshore.
Roadways in Florida, Georgia and North and South Carolina were jammed and gas stations and food stores ran out of supplies as the storm approached, bringing storm surges, heavy rain and sustained winds that accelerated overnight to about 125 miles (205 km) per hour.
Matthew, which killed at least 39 people and displaced thousands, mostly in southern Haiti, was predicted to strengthen from a Category 3 to 4 storm en route to Florida’s Atlantic coast. Landfall was expected there on Thursday night, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.
The center extended its hurricane warning area farther north into Georgia and more than 12 million U.S. residents were under a hurricane watches and warnings, according to the Weather Channel.
“Everyone in our state must prepare now for a direct hit,” Florida Governor Scott said at a news conference in Tallahassee on Wednesday. “If Matthew directly impacts Florida, the destruction could be catastrophic and you need to be prepared.”
Following First Presidential Debate, Clinton Falters Among some Focus Group Voters in Swing State of North Carolina
DON’T BELIEVE EVERYTHING, OR PRETTY MUCH ANYTHING FROM THE BIAS MSM WHEN IT COMES TO POLITICS AND HILLARY CLINTON …
So the MSM says that Hillary Clinton won the first debate. REALLY? Not according to McClatchy and The Charlotte Observer, who conducted a focus group of 21 individuals. Before the debate, the tally was 9 for Clinton, 3 for Trump, 6 undecided and 3 for Libertarian party candidate Johnson. Following the debate that the MSM can’t keep telling you about that Hillary won, a funny thing happened …the tally became 7 for Clinton, 3 for Trump, 6 undecided and 5 for Johnson. Thus, Clinton lost support, Trump broke even and a candidate that didn’t even take part in it gained support. Yeah, that sounds like a Clinton victory, doesn’t it? The fact of the matter is just because Hillary Clinton sounded rehearsed, some might so over-rehearsed, just because she appeared more prepared and over-smiled during the debate, doesn’t make one a victor. Donald Trump, not a career politician, did not have to win the debate, to win the debate. Trump had to come off as plausible. He did. Obviously, the pundits and MSM, who have consistently got all of the political happenings wrong for the past year are once again falling back into the same trap. This is an outlier election where the norms do not apply and the people do not want a rehearsed, same old, same old career politician with the same stale answers to issues that have not worked for 30 years.
Kae Roberts and Jay Eardly were leaning toward Hillary Clinton before Monday night’s debate.
By the end, they had both pulled away.
John Kokos and Hank Federal were undecided going in, potential Clinton backers.
By the end, they’d ruled her out.
Indeed, while polls found that Clinton had won the first general-election debate with Donald Trump on Monday, she may not have won actual votes. And she may even have lost some, at least in the battleground state of North Carolina.
In a focus group of 21 voters from around Charlotte conducted by McClatchy and The Charlotte Observer, four who had been up for grabs before the debate had moved away from her by the end.
For the four who emerged less impressed by Clinton, it was the seeming familiarity of her proposals for the economy and national security that was a turnoff.
Roberts, who is unaffiliated with a party, wrote in her notes several times during the debate that Clinton offered “pie in the sky” ideas. By debate’s end, she had moved from leaning toward Clinton to undecided.
“The things she says she’s going to do, there’s no substance behind it,” Roberts said.
One potential winner in the focus group was Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, who benefited largely because so many voters were annoyed at both Trump and Clinton.
Look for Donald Trump to take the gloves off in debate II and nail Clinton for her lies, lack of ethics, putting America at risk with her private email server when she was Secretary of State and how she seemed to have no problem how her husband has treated women over the years.
Breitbart/Gravis State Polls of Likely Voters Have Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina All Tied Up
COULD MINNESOTA REALLY BE A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION BATTLEGROUND STATE IN 2016?
According to the most recent Breitbart/Gravis state polls, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are virtual ties and within the margin of error. Could it really be possible that Minnesota, a state that Obama won handily in 2008 and 2012, could be up for grabs in 2016? The same could be said for Pennsylvania. However, if true that a dark blue state like Minnesota is in play, it is no wonder why Team Hillary is sweating this out.
In Minnesota, Clinton and Trump are tied with each having 43 percent of the vote, said Doug Kaplan, the managing director of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling firm that executed the poll.
In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Trump with 46 percent to his 43 percent, and in North Carolina the former first lady leads Trump 44 percent to the New York City developer’s 43 percent, he said.
Before unlikely voters were filtered out of the sample population, the results were similar with candidates tied in Minnesota and Clinton up one point in North Carolina and up two points in Pennsylvania.
Democratic pollster Patrick Caddell told Breitbart News: “Trump is closing everywhere and states that have not been in play are coming into play, like Minnesota.”
Caddell said those states that had been considered battleground states are not moving as fast, but all are inside the margin of error.