WaPo/ABC Poll: Obama 50% – Romney 47%, BUT …
Once again we are presented with a poll that in order to give President Barack Obama a lead, the poll had to over-sample democrats by +6. The partisan breakdown is 35% Democrat, 32% independent, and 29% Republican. Thus, in order for this to be remotely possible Obama would have to capture lighting in a bottle and recreate the 2008 voter turnout o+7D that was a once in a life time event. In other words, fat chance.
One thing that will come from a post 2012 election is that polling will be put front and center and forever questioned as being credible or partisan.
In the final Rasmussen poll before the 2012 Presidential election, Mitt Romney has taken the lead over Barack Obama 49% to 48%.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.
Rasmussen Reports will conduct our final tracking poll tonight and release the results early Tuesday morning. Later today, we will issue our final swing state polls including Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire.
Mitt Romney also leads Obama in the daily Gallup poll, 49% to 48%. . What we are witnessing in the polls is that an incumbent president cannot poll over 50%. If as Gallup is reporting that early voting is breaking for Obama by only 49% to 48%, Obama is in for a long election night. Barack Obama would have needed to have early voting break by a much greater number than 1%.
The polling is over and it’s time to vote. Let’s vote for America, not revenge.
Newspapers are a microcosm of the mood swing of American voting sentiment from 2008 to 2012.
Add the Wisconsin State Journal and the New York Daily News to the list of newspapers who have switched from endorsing Barack Obama in 2008 to Mitt Romney in 2012. Similar to how many Americans voted for Obama in 2008 and have switched to Romney in 2012, so goes the print media. The endorsement from the Wisconsin State Journal went as follows:
… But this election is about jobs, the slow economy and Washington’s dysfunction. Our leaders can’t even pass a budget, much less stabilize soaring debt that’s burdening our children and grandchildren.
Obama failed to embrace his own commission’s bipartisan debt deal. Ryan, serving on the commission, similarly balked at the solid and comprehensive agreement.
But Obama is the president. The buck stops with him. This is now Obama’s economy, …
Check out the papers at least 30 papers that supported Obama for president in 2008 that have flipped to endorse Romney for president in 2012. The daily papers include:
•Cape Cod Times
•The Daily Herald
•Daily News (L.A.)
•The Dallas Morning News
•Des Moines Register
•The Florida Times-Union (which split between McCain & Obama in ’08)
•Fort Worth Star-Telegram
•The Journal & Courier
•The Joplin Globe
•Naples Daily News
•New York Daily News
•New York Observer
•Pensacola News Journal
•Press-Telegram (Long Beach)
•South Florida Sun Sentinel
•The (Nashua) Telegraph
•Wisconsin State Journal
This is quite astonishing that so many liberal newspapers have changed their endorsement and gone away from Barack Obama.
And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.
At face value, it looks like a tie and the meme that the liberal MSM wants “We the People” to believe. But, is the Presidential race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama really tied or is this just one big fabricated charade to make the election appear closer than it really is?
Good grief, after reading through the litany of data we have discovered this rather interesting tidbit from page 29 of the poll describing the methodology. If that is what one wants to call it. This poll has a +11D sampling.
Respondents who reported that they had already cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.
WHAT A JOKE … in order to have the poll be a tie, CNN had to weight the sampling as a +11D. This is unreal and should be deemed criminal.
The poll claims that neither party has any advantage in the enthusiasm gap. An equal amount of registered Democrats and Republicans have described themselves as extremely or very enthusiastic about voting. Really, I guess that would be the case with a +11D skewed poll. Sorry, but as referenced at the Gay Patriot, with Romney ahead in so many polls with Independents, how is it a tie? We have been told all election season that Independents would decide the race, yet now when they are breaking for Romney … the line has been moved in the sand to over-sample Democrats.
What might be even more comical than the sampling is the fact that Romney still beat Obama in who would handle the economy better if elected. And we wonder why RCP has the polling a tie. Sorry, but RCP is doing no one any favors by including faux polls in their averages.
MITTMENTUM IN PENNSYLVANIA …
Massive crowds showed up and braved the cold weather to see Mitt Romney campaign tonight in Pennsylvania. Carl Cameron on FOX News reported that 28,000 turned out to see Mitt Romney in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. The Gateway Pundit opines that Romney in the cold is garnering larger crowd than Obama and Clinton combined.
Many more great pics can be seen at the Lonely Conservative.
It appears that the Obama campaign is panicked by Romney’s surge into Pennsylvania as they have sent Bill Clinton to do four campaign events today. Why can’t Obama go himself? Most likely that Barack Obama is persona non grata after his clinging to guns and Bibles comment.
This morning on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” House Majority Leader Eric Cantor stated that Mitt Romney would win Virginia by a larger margin than many of the polls are predicting. Cantor went on to say that Obama has provided no answers to end the near 8% unemployment and if Americans are happy with meager job growth, high unemployment and more of the same, Barack is their man.
“… do think the point is Mitt Romney has demonstrated the ability of building jobs, of making it so that we can have more investment, more economic activity, in America. he has a demonstrated track record and has provided an actual plan, whereas all you’re getting from the president in these closing days of his campaign is more negativity, more attacks, and i just think that, again, Americans are looking to see how they can make their lives work again. Barack Obama is not providing any answers, and if you like the way things are now with nearly 8% unemployment, that’s what you’re going to get if you re-elect the president.”
From The Hill:
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) predicted Mitt Romney will win in Virginia on Tuesday — and win by a bigger margin than deadlocked polls have shown.
Cantor also said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that former Sen. George Allen (R-Va.) will beat former Gov. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) in the state’s Senate race, which has seen Allen trailing in the polls.
“On the ground in Virginia there’s a lot of enthusiasm for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan,” Cantor said. “We’re going to win this state, and I think we’re going to win a lot bigger [than polls have shown].”
It is probably safe to say, which ever presidential candidate wins Virginia will most likely provide coattails for the Senate race between former Sen. George Allen (R-VA) and former Gov. Tim Kaine (D-VA).
UPDATE I: Hmm, this is interesting, people walked out on Obama after Clinton had talked in Virginia. Looks like many Democrats with Clinton was getting a third term, rather than an Obama second one.
Obama Adviser Axelerod Says, Romney’s Effort in Pennsylvania a Sign Mitt is in ‘deep trouble’ … Hmm, Then Why Dispatch Bill Clinton to PA?
This morning on FOX News Sunday, Obama senior political adviser David Axelrod told Chris Wallace that the Romney campaigns move to Pennsylvania was a sign of desperation and that they were in “deep trouble”.
Senior Obama campaign strategist David Axelrod said Mitt Romney’s visit to Pennsylvania shows the GOP nominee’s campaign is in “deep trouble” and losing in the traditional battlegrounds.
Axelrod told Chris Wallace on “Fox News Sunday” that the Romney campaign’s move into Pennsylvania is a sign of desperation because they are trailing in polls in Ohio, a state no Republican has won the election without.
“The battleground states on which we have been focusing on are not working out for them,” Axelrod said. “We’re ahead in all of them and now are looking for somewhere, desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win this election. And I can tell you that’s not going to happen.”
Ok, if it is such a sign of desperation on the part of Romney campaigning in Pennsylvania, what does one call it when Obama dispatches Bill Clinton to the Key Stone state? That is correct, Team Obama feels the need to send former President Clinton to PA to stem the “mittemtum”. If its such a waste of time and a sign that Romney is in “deep trouble”, how does Axelrod justify sending Obama’s greatest asset, Bill Clinton to Pennsylvania. In fact, as reported at the Gateway Pundit, Clinton is scheduled to do four rallies in PA.
I would dare say that it just might be Obama who is in trouble in Pennsylvania. Isn’t it interesting that Obama cannot go himself to Pennsylvania to stump in front of those folks who cling to their Bibles and guns. When will blue collar Democrats understand that Obama is 180 degrees different from Obama. A vote for Obama will end coal and any energy jobs in PA.
However, in the end when
talking spinning the battleground states and what party is ahead, I think it comes back to who you think is telling the truth. To hear the GOP and Democrats discuss who is ahead is like listening to a divorce case. One of the two has to be lying as the laws of physics prove that both Obama and Romney can’t win convincingly.
If that is the litmus test, who is telling the truth, sorry but Team Obama has no credibility. For folks who can’t tell us the truth about Benghazi prior to an election as have not wanted to answer difficult questions about FEMA screw ups like running out of water following Hurricane Sandy … who is really going to believe you now?
George Will Predicts Romney Landslide 321-217 on ABC’s ‘This Week” … Similar to Barone’s Landslide Prediction
Most pundits are calling the 2012 Presidential race too close to call as the RCP averages of polls have it a dead tie.
However, that did not stop conservative columnist on ABC’s “This Week’ to predict a Mitt Romney electoral landslide. Will predicted a 321-217 electoral victory for Romney. What I do find interesting is that a couple of people have gone out on a limb and said that Romney will get over 300 electoral votes; however, no one is really saying that Obama will do such. What we are seeing from Will and Barone is that if the undecided’s break for the challenger Mitt Romney, battleground states could fall like dominoes for Romney.
On this weekend’s broadcast of “This Week with George Stephanopoulos” on ABC, Will revealed his prediction and added a bonus surprise by saying traditional Democratic state Minnesota would go for Romney as well.
“I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney,” Will said. “It’s the only state that’s voted democratic in nine consecutive elections, but this year, there’s marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.”
Add Will’s landslide prediction to that of numbers cruncher extraordinaire Michael Barone. His prediction of a landslide is based
on fundamentals, a majority of Americans are against Obama’s policies. and a sluggish economy where job growth and recovery has been far too slow. Barone is predicting a Romney 315, Obama 223 landslide. Barone stated that it sounds high for Romney, but he could lose Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Which candidate will get the electoral votes of the target states? I’ll go out on a limb and predict them, in ascending order of 2008 Obama percentages — fully aware that I’m likely to get some wrong.
Indiana (11 ). Uncontested. Romney.
North Carolina (15). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.
Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
Its a sign … the liberal MSM is getting used to referring to Romney as President Mitt Romney.
This morning on CNN’s ‘State of the Union’, Candy Crowley referred to Romney when asking a questions to Senator Portman (OH-R) as President Romney. Freudian slip or is she just getting used to the next four years?
Transcript from NewsBusters:
CANDY CROWLEY, HOST: You have in Ohio a jobless rate that is better than the nationwide jobless rate, and you have an auto bailout that the President put in place that’s highly popular. What is it in this state that makes you think that President Romney, uh, sorry, Governor Romney can overcome those particular statistics and the feel of the voters?
SENATOR ROB PORTMAN (R-OHIO): I like your Freudian slip on President Romney. That sounded good.
Hey America, how’s that Obama “Hopey-Changey” thing working out for you?
One again we see the stark difference between the two presidential candidates. Obama, negative, vindictive and mean spirited. Romney, acting presidential and spouting the ideals of America.
The other day Barack Obama told his supporters in an ugly and small minded off-teleprompter comment, Obama stated ... “vote for revenge”. This reeks of a “community agitator” not a president. The remarks of a small, bitter little, closed minded man. Who believes that such a man is willing to work with any one who does not agree with him?
However, Republican Presidential nominee stated to his supporters that you should, “VOTE FOR LOVE OF COUNTRY”.
Did you see what President Obama said today? He asked his supporters to vote for “revenge.” For “revenge.” Instead, I ask the American people to vote for love of country