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July 25, 2016

CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump Gets RNC Bouce, Trump Leads Hillary 44% to 39% in a Four-Way Matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) & Jill Stein (3%)

Posted in: CNN Opinion Research,Democratic National Convention,Democrats,DNCC,Donald Trump,Donald Trump,Hillary Clinton,Liberals,Main,Polls,Presidential Contenders,Progressives

Trump gets Republican National Convention Bounce

One would have thought in a polarized America that the days of convention bounced were over. Well, not so fast. According to the most recent CNN/ORC poll, Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton 44% to 39% in a four way natch up. That’s a 6 point bounce from Cleveland. Trump has taken a commanding lead with independents and the CNN poll found that Hillary Clinton is struggling with perceptions she is dishonest and untrustworthy as 68% said she is not honest or trustworthy. The latest DNC email scandal will only increase that perception.

CNN poll_bounce

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

The new findings mark Trump’s best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump’s new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump’s convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.


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