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October 22, 2012

Romney Takes Two Point Lead over Obama in Politico/GWU Battleground Poll 49% to 47%

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Polls,Presidential Election

MITTMENTUM …

Can you feel it America? Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney is surging in the polls and all political polling trends are in his favor.  The Politico/GWU Battleground poll now has Romney in the lead over Obama, 49% to 47%.

Mitt Romney has taken a narrow national lead, tightened the gender gap and expanded his edge over President Barack Obama on who would best grow the economy.

A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — taken from Sunday through Thursday of last week — shows Romney ahead of Obama by 2 percentage points, 49 to 47 percent. That represents a 3-point swing in the GOP nominee’s direction from a week ago but is still within the margin of error. Obama led 49 percent to 48 percent the week before.

Romney has not led in the poll since the beginning of May.

Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 percent to 48 percent.

Mitt Romney is gaining ground or surging even further ahead in many key demographics. Romney has gained ground with women, Romney leads Obama by 7 points, 52% to 45% in intensity among his supporters and Romney has doubled the size of his advantage over Obama on which candidate would better handle the economy.Women propelled Romney’s move into first place in the poll — a majority of which was conducted before the Hofstra debate. Obama’s 11-point advantage a week ago among the crucially important group dwindled to 6 points. The Democratic incumbent still leads 51 to 45 percent with women, but Romney leads by 10 points among men.

Romney also doubled the size of his advantage over Obama on which candidate would better handle the economy. This week, 51 percent of respondents picked Romney and 45 percent chose Obama, compared to 50 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama a week ago. The former Massachusetts governor also leads by 4 points, 50 to 46 percent,

How much trouble is Obama in? As reported at Hot Air, the D/R/I for this poll is 35/31/33 for a D+4, a not-insupportable number that probably still understates Republican enthusiasm and turnout. Thus, the poll results could be even more in favor of Romney.


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