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September 02, 2012

Mitt Romney Gets 5 Point Bounce after RNC Convention, Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Romney 48% – Obama 44% … Romney Also Up by 2% in Swing State Daily Tracking Poll

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Battle Ground States - Swing States,Mitt Romney - Paul Ryan 2012,Polls,Presidential Election,Rasmussen

It looks like Mitt Romney has received a 5, no 6 point bounce following the RNC Convention according to the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Today’s rolling average tracking poll has Romney up 48% to 44% over Obama. Prior to the Republican National Convention Obama lead Romney by 2%. This is a much higher bounce than one would have expected since the voting electorate has become more polarized and with so much 24-7 political news, the days of big bounces are over.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Just prior to this past week’s Republican National Convention, Romney trailed the president by two. Today’s four-point advantage confirms that the GOP hopeful has received the expected convention bounce. See daily tracking history. Romney also has gained ground in the swing state tracking results updated daily for subscribers at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.

Also, Mitt Romney has taken the lead in the Rasmussen Swing State Daily Tracking poll. Romney now leads Obama, 46% to 44%. However, in 2008, Barack Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%. That’s a 9% swing from 2008.

Another little tidbit that defies the many polling models that are over-sampling their polls it the Democrats. Rasmussen reports that
the number of Republicans in America is at a record high.

During August, 37.6% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s up from 34.9% in July  and 35.4% in June. It’s also the largest number of Republicans ever recorded by Rasmussen Report since monthly tracking began in November 2002. The previous peak for the GOP was 37.3% in September 2004.

By all accounts the GOP had a successful convention. It was obviously targeted to the Independents in Swing States. Could they have done some things differently, of course. However, the three days of respectful intersection of the last 4 years and a plan for the future by a who’s who of GOP superstars and the future of the party  will be contrasted with the partisan hacks and mean spirited blame Bush of the DNC.

We shall see what the Obama bounce is.


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