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July 19, 2012

And So It Begins … CBS Poll has Obama – Romney Dead Heat, Tied in Virginia after Obama’s Roanoke Incident

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Barack Obama,Mitt Romney,Obamanation,Polls,Presidential Election,Quinnipiac University

DRIP, DRIP, DRIP … And so it begins, could this be the beginning of the end for Barack Obama after his ill advised Roanoke incident where he stated, If you’ve got a business … you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.”

A new CBS News poll has the Presidential race it a dead heat, where Mitt Romney is ahead of Obama 47% to 46%. It actually gets worse for Obama than the poll would indicate. The CBS poll is with “registered” voters, one where Obama usually is ahead in handily. It is the “likely” voter polls where Obama tends to struggle. Also, the poll shows that Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats this time around.  Real Clear Politics shows that the race is getting much closer.

Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats when it comes to voting in this election, though just one in three registered voters overall are more enthusiastic than they were in the past. Roughly half of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic compared to past elections – up from 36 percent in March – while just 27 percent of Democrats say they same.

One in five registered voters with a candidate choice said they still might change their mind. The percentage of those willing to switch was essentially the same for both candidates.

Forty-five percent of registered voters say they are paying close attention to the campaign, and another 38 percent say they are paying some attention. Seventeen percent say they are paying little or no attention.

Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are now tied in Virgina according to a recent Quinnipiac poll. Obama narrowly won VA in the 2008 Presidential election; however, as pointed out by the Weekly Standard, the polls are starting to trend to Romney. One must remember, polls are snap shots in time, it is the trend line that is important.

The pollsters note that this signals a sizable shift in Romney’s direction: “This compares to a 50 – 42 percent lead for President Obama in a March 20 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 47 – 42 percent Obama lead June 7.”

“Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle,” Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown says.

According to The Hill, the poll also shows that former Sen. George Allen (R-VA.) with a 46-44 percent lead over former Democratic Gov. Tim Kaine in the state’s race for US Senate.

An astute analysis made at Jammie Wearing Fool, “Gee, you suppose calling Romney a felon, compounded with Obama’s shift into full-blown Socialist mode is hurting him? Whodathunkit?” Yup, the silly season is about to come to an end and the American people who are “tired of being tired,” are about to take a good look at who and what Obama is all about and say, we cannot take another 4 years of this.

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