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November 19, 2011

Democrats in Trouble in the Sunshine State … Florida Senate: Mack (R) 43%, Nelson (D) 39%

Posted in: 2012 Elections,Obamanation,Polls,Rasmussen,Senate Elections


Just last week it was reported that Barack Obama was in trouble in his reelection bid for 2012 in Florida. Now it appears that Democrats also face further troubled waters in the 2012 US Senate race in Florida as well.  In a recent Rasmussen poll, Republican Congressman Connie Mack leads incumbent Democrat US Senator Bill Nelson 43% to 39%.

Incumbent Dem. US Senator Bill Nelson in serious trouble in FLA

Republican Congressman Connie Mack changed his mind late last month about challenging longtime Democratic Senator Bill Nelson in 2012, and now he finds himself with a modest edge over the incumbent in the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Mack with 43% to Nelson’s 39%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and 13% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

It is deep trouble for an incumbent to poll under 50%, Nelson finds himself at an anemic 39%. Connie Mack gives the GOP a tremendous opportunity to take away the US Senate seat from Dems in Florida. With a wave of discontent against Barack Obama in 2012, how much of a coattail affect will it have against Dems winning in 2012? Many Democrats are going to feel the wrath of voters for Obama’s handing of the economy and their voting record of backing Obama’s failed and unpopular policies. Democrats presently have a slim majority in the US Senate; however, all that may change after the 2012 election.  With so many Democrat US Senate seats in play in the 2012 election and many in Red states and one’s trending Red,  Democrats face almost a certain loss of control of  the US Senate.  There are 23 Democrats and Democratic leaning (caucusing) independent seats up next year, while only 10 Republican seats are in play. Many of those Democratic seats are vulnerable in states like VA, ND, MO, FL, NE, NM and WI, while few, if any, of the GOP seats are in jeopardy.

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