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August 25, 2010

Florida Senate Primaries: Democrat Meek Wins … BIG WINNER Tonight is Republican Marco Rubio & GOP Voter Turnout

Posted in: 2010 Elections,FL: Rubio (R) - Meeks (D) - Crist (I),Polls,Rasmussen,Senate Elections

The real winner tonight in Florida was Republican Marco Rubiowho ran virtually unopposed in the GOP US Senate primary. Think its not about voter turnout and who is more highly motivated to vote in 2010, think again. Voter enthusiasm is going to play a big roll this November and Democrats are on the wrong side of the poll.

Tonight in the Sunshine state, Florida US Senate candidate Kendrick Meek won the Democrat primary over billionaire Jeff Greene in a rout. This sets up what should be one of the most hotly contested and most watched Senate races of the midterm elections and a three way race between Marco Rubio (R), Kendrick Meek (D) and so-called independent Charlie Crist.

Prior to tonights primary wins Marco Rubio was gaining traction in the polls and in a recent PPP poll had surged into the lead, Rubio 40%, Crist 32%, Meek 17%. Just what had been predicted is starting to play out in the polls. Crist’s poll numbers are dropping as Democrats are backing their candidate and the GOP distances themselves away from the “independent man”.

Democrats will get their stronger candidate if Kendrick Meek wins the Florida Senate primary tonight as expected- but the biggest winner coming out of the primary may be Marco Rubio. PPP finds he would begin the general election in the lead at 40%, followed by Charlie Crist at 32%, and Meek at 17%. If Jeff Greene were somehow able to pull off the upset tonight it would be much closer with Rubio at 37%, Crist at 36%, and Greene at only 13%.

Democrats, be afraid, be very afraid. Massive GOP turnout in Florida tonight spells doom for Dems in 2010 midterm elections.

However, the huge winner tonight in Florida was not Meek who trounced his Democrat opponent. It was Marco Rubio who ran basically unopposed and actually received more votes that Meek. According to election results Rubio received over 1 million votes. The Republican voter turnout in FLA was simply amazing, a precursor of things to come this Fall in the 2010 midterm elections as Republican voters are much more highly motivated to vote than Democrats. Meek picked up a little over 500,000 votes and all the votes cast in the Democrat primary for US Senate did not equal the number of votes received by Rubio, who ran all but uncontested … look at Crist and Meek this November. One would suspect that there will be an even greater turnout for the midterm elections, can Rubio keep such momentum up with mass appeal by voters in such large numbers … the Magic 8 balls says, signs point to yes.

Look for the polls to widen with Rubio taking a commanding lead and Meek pealing off Crist votes following the primaries. Rasmussenpresently has the race Rubio 38%, Crist 33% and Meek 21%. RCPhas Rubio ahead in most every poll as well. A Meek victory was the worst thing that could happen for Crist and Democrats. Meek will hold on to the black and liberal vote in the Sunshine state as opposed to them wondering off and voting for Crist if Greene had picked up the Democrat nomination. Power Democrats are now going to have to campaign for Meek. Is Obama going to leave Meek out in the cold and abandon a fellow Dem? It would appear that all the hand shakes, hugs and praising of Obama by Crist were all for naught.

Come this November, the wide gap in the enthusiasm divide between Republican and Democrat voters is going to play a critical role in who wins the House, Senate, Governor and State Legislature races.

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