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May 07, 2010

2010 Florida US Senate Race: Crist’s (I) House of Card Poll Lead over Rubio (R) & Meeks (D) … For the Moment

Posted in: 2010 Elections,Economy,Obamanomics,Politics,Polls,Senate Elections,Tea Party,We the People

Crist currently ahead in three way race for US Florida Senate seat … don’t bet the farm on this one for Charlie to win.

Well look who has gone into the lead in the recent polls for the Florida US Senate seat in this Novembers midterm elections in 2010. After stabbing the Republican party in the back and lying on TV that he would run as a Republican, Charlie Crist did what most all career politicians do … by upstart Marco Rubio, so Crist jumped ship and tried to save his political career by making the general election a he was being destroyed in the Republican primary three way race.


I think we remember how this one ended …

In a recent Mason-Dixon poll released Thursday, Crist, the so-called Independent Man, was leading in the three way was ahead of Rubio and Meeks; 38% – 32% – 19%.  However, Crist’s lead is nothing more than a “House of Cards”.

The Mason-Dixon poll released Thursday found Crist receiving 38 percent of the vote, compared to 32 percent for the likely Republican nominee, former House Speaker Marco Rubio, and 19 percent for the leading Democratic contender, U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek of Miami. Eleven percent are undecided.

More than half of Crist’s supporters are Democrats, who overwhelmingly approve of his defection from the GOP and recent veto of a controversial teacher tenure bill. Against the lesser-known Miami congressman, who is black, Crist is favored by 19 percent of black voters and 48 percent of Democrats, according to the survey. Meek wins support from 68 percent of black voters and 36 percent of Democrats.

Some times polls can be deceiving and you have to look into the numbers that make up the numbers. Even Rasmussen has Crist ahead presently.

A poll is a snap shot in time, we shall see what the trending looks like in the future.  So why a House of Cards? Much of Crist’s support comes from Democrats and blacks. Does anyone really believe that President Barack Obama is going to throw Meeks, a black candidate, under the proverbial political bus and throw in with Crist? Hardly.

Why do Crist’s poll numbers have no where to go but down?

  1. His strength among Democrats is likely a result of the fact that Meek is not known to 40 percent of state voters.
  2. because support from Democratic and black voters is unlikely to hold up through the Nov. 2 election.
  3. As an independent candidate, Crist will lack the fundraising and campaign volunteer networks built into the political party system.
  4. There is also no guarantee that these nonaffiliated voters will stay with Crist over the long haul, as some of this support could be the result of temporary enthusiasm generated by his party switch.”

Crist has alienated many in the Republican party. Many independents will soon learn that he is no independent in spirit, he is one out of political necessity. In an anti-incumbent political environment, the voters can smell BS a mile away. In any debate Crist is going to have to defend his vote on the Stimulus bill that was very unpopular, even with those not affiliated with any party. He certainly cannot say he was acting like a Republican or an independent looking out for Floridians.

Any support from middle of the road Republican politicians is gone. In the end, Crist’s desperate act to cling on to the political rail will be for naught. Look for these poll numbers to shift dramatically after the primaries are completed.

Floridians really have to wonder and question an individual who has already lied and stated that he would run as a Republican and then does some thing different. That is hardly the type of politician that any one needs  to represent them these days.

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