HMMM … COULD THE WIKILEAKS EMAILS, SCANDALS AND HILLARY CORRUPTION FINALLY BE TAKING HOLD WITH THE ELECTORATE?
According the the latest WAPO-ABC tracking poll, Hillary Clinton only leads Donald trump by 4 percentage points, 48% to 44%. Just 4 days ago, this poll had Clinton up by 12 as many scratched their heads as to how anything like that could be accurate. However, Trump is now within 4 points and trending upward. Could this be a last minute poll swing with less than two weeks to go before the election? Could the Wikileak emails showing the mountain of Democrat, Team Hilly corruption and the Clinton’s personal financial gain finally be taking hold?
Or could it be the horrific Obamacare news of insane premium increases that are moving the polls to Trump, especially with independents? National polls generally do not mean all that much, but they do provide trends to see who the electorate is gravitating to. The Obamacare news is truly damning as the highest rate increases occur in battle ground states, (Ohio: 13.12% increase, Florida: 17.40% increase, Pennsylvania: 32.5% increase, Nevada: 11.74% increase, Maine: 21.24% increase, New Hampshire: 12.44% increase, Virginia: 21.68% increase, North Carolina: 24.30% increase, Iowa: 20.46% increase, Michigan: 16.06% increase, Wisconsin: 20.39% increase). How will that move the needle in the final days?
Donald Trump has gained on Hillary Clinton during the past week, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, solidifying support among core Republican groups as well as political independents.
Roughly 6 in 10 still expect Clinton to prevail, while the poll finds shrinking concerns about the accuracy of the vote count and voter fraud in the election.
Clinton holds a slight 48-44 percent edge over Trump among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 1 percent in the survey completed Sunday through Wednesday. Clinton held a six-point edge in the previous wave and a 12-point edge in the first wave of the tracking poll by ABC News Sunday (50 percent Clinton vs. 38 percent Trump). In a two-candidate contest, Clinton holds a five-point edge over Trump, 50 to 45 percent.
Trump’s growth in support from 38 percent to 44 percent is fueled by shored-up support among Republican-leaning voting groups as well as a significant boost among political independents. Trump has made up ground among whites, particularly those without college degrees and women. Trump now leads by a 30 percentage point margin among white voters without college degrees, up from 20 points from this weekend. White women now tilt toward Trump by 48 to 43 percent after leaning 49 to 43 percent in Clinton’s favor before.
Trump saw his biggest gains among political independents, favoring Trump by a 12-point margin in the latest tracking poll, 49 to 37 percent, after giving Clinton a narrow edge in late last week. Neither candidate has maintained a consistent lead among independent likely voters in Post-ABC polling this fall.