Nate Silver, the NY Times polling analyst and considered the new wiz kid of political polling says that the GOP has a real chance of retaking the US Senate in 2014. Silver wrote on his “Five Thirty Eight” blog that it will not be easy for the Republicans, but control for the Senate has become a toss up. The recent announcement of Democratic Gov. Brian Schweitzer of Montana not to run for Senate has all but put that seat into the hands of the GOP. Democrats face other uphill battles in predominately “red” states with open seats formerly held by Democrats like South Dakota and West Virginia.Nate Silver puts forth a race-by-race analysis of the Senate that suggests that Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber after next year’s elections.
However, there is a long way to go between the 2014 elections, anything could happen and in order to win elections, the GOP has to put forth good candidates that act like Republicans, follow Republican principles and don’t alienate their base. The electorate is not just going to give it to them.
The New York Times polling analyst Nate Silver believes that Republicans may have a shot at retaking the Senate.
“A race-by-race analysis of the Senate, in fact, suggests that Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber after next year’s elections,” Silver writes on his “Five Thirty Eight” blog. “Our best guess, after assigning probabilities of the likelihood of a G.O.P. pickup in each state, is that Republicans will end up with somewhere between 50 and 51 Senate seats after 2014, putting them right on the threshold of a majority.”