Rut-Roh, More 2008 Obama Voters Switching Sides Than Those Who Voted for McCain in 2012 Presidential Election


Yet just another example of my what a difference four years makes …

According to a recent Gallup poll, more individuals who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 are switching sides as opposed to those who voted for John McCain. More people are remaining loyal to the GOP and Mitt Romney than they are to Obama in the 2012 Presidential election. In an election that is supposed to be a squeaker, a shifting electorate away from Obama, no matter how small is important and telling.  The National Review brings up a key and important point in that this 9% change from Obama in 2008 makes many of today’s polling data rather suspect when we are witness to polling data demographics heavily weighted to Democrats.

Eighty-six percent of voters who say they voted for Barack Obama in 2008 are backing Obama again this year, a smaller proportion than the 92% of 2008 John McCain voters who are supporting 2012 Republican candidate Mitt Romney. Nine percent of 2008 Obama voters have switched to supporting Romney this year, while 5% of McCain voters have switched to Obama.

Thus, it follows that fewer voters are supporting Obama this year than in 2008. But the race remains close because Obama’s margin in 2008 was large enough that he could still be tied or in the lead this year if his support is a few percentage points lower.

The data do underscore the high degree of party loyalty in voting across the last two elections. All told, 79% of registered voters are supporting the same party’s candidate in 2012 as in 2008.

If you liked this post, you may also like these:

  • Gallup Poll: Virtual Tie, Obama 44% – McCain 42% … Where be the Bounce?
  • Buyers Remorse: Presidential Election Mulligan … If Vote was Held Today, Obama 45% Say Yes, 49% Say No
  • Young Voters Back Barack Obama Over Romney … but Many Aren’t Poised to Vote … Hope & Change = No Jobs
  • Could it be a Republican Ticket of John McCain and VP Mitt Romney?
  • McCain/Palin 2008 … The Polling Trends do not Lie … Polling Surge for McCain & Palin

  • Comments

    5 Responses to “Rut-Roh, More 2008 Obama Voters Switching Sides Than Those Who Voted for McCain in 2012 Presidential Election”

    1. Eric Blair on August 7th, 2012 11:41 am

      Do the math:
      69.5 million votes in 2008.
      - 9% switching to Romney = 6.255 million votes
      - 5% unsure = 3.475 million votes
      = 59.77 million still voting for Obama
      + 3 million switchers
      = 62.77 million votes for Obama

      60 million votes in 2008.
      - 5% switching to Obama = 3 million votes
      - 3% unsure = 1.8 million votes.
      = 55.2 million votes.
      + 6.255 million switchers
      = 61.455 million votes for Romney.

      And there’s 5.275 million undecided voters.

      All of the above assuming the same turn out as in 2008. Which I don’t think is going to be the same. Probably less votes for Obama and more for Romney on that alone.

    2. Tamikosmom on August 7th, 2012 12:29 pm

      Could it be that Allen West as Mitt Romney’s running mate has the potential of dramatically changing statistics to a point that a projected Republican victory in November would be revealed?

      Michael Moriarty’s Musings: The Only Antidote to American “Marxmanship” is Vice-President Allen West
      Jul 13, 2012
      Guest Commentary: Obama’s Worst Nightmare: Allen West for VEEP
      July 20, 2012

    3. Tamikosmom on August 7th, 2012 1:01 pm

      Could it be that Mitt Romney is about to take a leap of faith that is completely out of his comfort zone? Wishful thinking? Nevertheless … my son’s American in-laws are counting on it.
      Allen West: I Would Say Yes To VP Slot On GOP Ticket
      April 7th, 2012

      PHILLIPS: OK. So bottom line, you’re telling me yes, if Mitt Romney comes to you and says, I want you on the ticket with me, I want you to be my vice president, you would say yes?

      WEST: Yes, well, right now, you know, the focus is, of course, being a good congressional representative.

      But if someone were to make that call to me, which I really doubt is ever going to happen, you would have to make sure that it is something that god would ordain for you, and you’d have to talk to your wife, my wife and my two daughters about.

      Read more:

    4. Tamikosmom on August 7th, 2012 1:25 pm

      What a mentor!! What a role model!!

      Allen West: Students who voted Obama in ’08 ‘are back home with mommy and daddy’ [VIDEO]

      West spoke at the 2012 National Conservative Student Conference held at George Washington University by the Young America’s Foundation, where over 300 High School and college students attended a series of seminars and speeches.

      Read more:

    5. Tamikosmom on August 8th, 2012 4:50 pm

      If Allen West was Mitt Romney’s choice for a running mate … I contend that the statistics would drastically change in favor of a Mitt Romney victory come November. Think about it. All political leanings that encompass the Republican spectrum will be covered in a Romney/West team. Could it be that conservative Black Americans … some very prominent … who sincerely believed that history dictated that they had an obligation to vote the race card in 2008 rather than ideology may return to the fold?
      Allen West: I Would Say Yes To VP Slot On GOP Ticket
      April 7th, 2012

      PHILLIPS: Do you support his views? Would you feel comfortable on a ticket with him?

      WEST: … I think that Governor Romney and I definitely have a different vision for this country, a vision that gets us away from debt, despair and the horrible situations you see with our economic security, our energy security and our national security.
      So I think that we will be able to come together as a team and be able to develop the right type of platform to turn this state around for the United States of America.

      Read more:
      Allen West: Mitt Romney’s VP Pick Needs Military Experience

      “I think that whoever Governor Romney is as a presidential candidate, he has to do his own self-assessment, self-analysis and understand ‘where are my weaknesses,’” West said. “Therefore, the person that I have running with me as my ‘fox-hole buddy,’ if I want to put it in military terms, they have to be someone that shores up where I see my weakness are so we can be a really strong command team, leadership team.”

      Read more:

    Leave a Reply

    Support Scared Monkeys! make a donation.

    • NEWS (breaking news alerts or news tips)
    • Red (comments)
    • Dugga (technical issues)
    • Dana (radio show comments)
    • Klaasend (blog and forum issues)
    E-mail It