Gallup is reporting that President Barack Obama had an approval rating above 50% in only 10 states in 2011 and the District of Columbia. However, one might want to look at the ten states that “The One” has a greater than 50% approval rating. Liberal dark blue states like Hawaii, Massachusetts, Maryland, New York, Vermont and Illinois are expected to be cake walks for the President; however, not one of them has an approval rating over 60%. California is only at 5.0%. YIKES!
Check out Obama reading the latest Gallup poll on his 2011 state approval rating
On the other hand, states in which his approval rating was below 40% seem less likely to recover enough to allow Obama to claim their electoral votes this fall. Those states account for 153 electoral votes. All except New Hampshire voted for John McCain in 2008.
Thus, the key to Obama’s winning a second term lies in the states whose approval rating is in the 40% range, which account for the remaining 226 electoral votes and include traditional “swing states” such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. Obama won the vast majority of these states in 2008.
Gallup and USA Today have identified 12 swing states that will be vitally important in this year’s election, and Obama’s job approval rating within those states ranges from 39% in New Hampshire to 48% in Michigan.
The NRO lists some swing states where Obama is underwater. This is hardly a position of strength to begin a reelection bid, especially when it is a terrible sign for an incumbent to be below 50%. In 2012 Obama cannot run on “hope & change”, he has to run on his record. A poor one to say the least.
Wisconsin: 47.4 percent.
Pennsylvania: 45 percent.
Virginia: 44.5 percent.
Oregon: 44.5 percent.
North Carolina: 43.7 percent.
Florida: 43.6 percent.
Ohio: 42.1 percent.
New Mexico: 41.7 percent.
Nevada: 41.3 percent.
Colorado: 40.4 percent.
New Hampshire: 38.7 percent
What does this tell us? Barack Obama is extremely vulnerable and there for the taking. Obama will run one of the most negative campaigns ever again whoever the GOP nominee is. The One can certainly not run on his record as in state after state, except the most blue ones, the American people disapprove of Barack Obama. And why not, Obama has been the most partisan, polarizing President for the first three years in office ever.