The Hill poses the question … is Rudy Giuliani, America’s Mayor, is he a dark horse in 2012 for a presidential run. In a word, no, not a chance. The political wave that is going on in the country has nothing to do with moderates.
As a 2008 primary front-runner, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani tanked. But as a 2012 dark horse, he could do surprisingly well.
It’s not because Giuliani has shifted; it’s because the Republican Party has. The 2010 election was less about social conservatism than it was fiscal conservatism, and that aligns with Giuliani’s socially moderate and fiscally conservative ideology.
There is another promising wind of change blowing Giuliani’s way, one that’s less ideological. This isn’t the era of kinder, gentler politicians. This is the age of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie — three politicians whose appeal lives, partly, in their aggressive rhetoric.
The 2010 midterm elections had nothing to do with electing moderates on the Republican side. It had everything to do with ridding itself of RINO’s in states and districts that were more conservative. Following the 2010 elections, gone are many so-called “blue dog” democrats, gone are many moderate democrats from swing states and districts and in are Tea Party Republicans and more fiscally conservative Republicans. The same thing will come to fruition in 2012.
I am a Giuliani fan; however, in this point and time for the GOP, Rudy is not the answer. Giuliani would have had a better chance to seek the GOP presidental nomination in 2008; however, he never really showed up to the game. If Rudy Giuliani wanted to more make a name and a difference to pad his political resume, he would run for US Senate in New York in 2012 against a more than vulnerable Kirsten Gillibrand (D – NY).
The GOP stable of candidates will be vast and numerous. With potential individuals like Gov. Mitch Daniels of Indiana, Rep. Mike Pence of Indiana, Sen. John Thune of SD, let alone the big names like Gingrich, Palin and Romney, it is hard to believe a RINO will prevail. When it all shakes out, it is highly doubtful that Rudy will be there when the smoke clears.