Negative Democrat Poll Trending Continues … Gallup Poll, Donkey Support Dips Below Majority Level in 2009


The polling slide continues …

Polling is all about trends not the snap shot in time that they indicate. Once again a Gallup poll shows a damning trend for Barack Obama and Democrats heading into the 2010 and 2012 elections. For the first time in 3 years, Democrats fall under 50% in party affiliation.

The year 2009 marked the end of a three-year run of majority Democratic support among U.S. adults. Last year, an average of 49.0% of Americans identified as Democrats or said they leaned Democratic, the party’s first yearly average below 50% since 2005.

What is telling about these polling numbers? All of the gains that Democrats had made during the GWB administration have evaporated.

The five-point party gap in the fourth quarter of 2009 represents the smallest Democratic advantage since the second quarter of 2005. Thus, the gains the Democratic Party made in public support during the last several years of the George W. Bush administration have disappeared.

Also, the Rasmussen poll shows that Republicans now have a 44% to 35% lead in the Congressional generic ballot, the largest lead in quite some time.

There has also been a rise of people who consider themselves Independents in 2009 and from all polling it shows that the once strong backing that Democrats and Obama received in the past is now strongly against them.

Rise in Independence in 2009

One other notable development in the 2009 party identification data is an increase in the percentage of Americans identifying themselves initially as political independents (regardless of whether they subsequently said they leaned to either party). The 36.6% of Americans who identified themselves as independents in 2009 was up from 34.9% in 2008.

It is not unusual for the percentage of independents to increase in a non-election year. But the 2009 average did mark the second-highest percentage of Americans calling themselves independents in the just-completed decade, eclipsed only by the 38.6% average of 2007.

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  • Comments

    5 Responses to “Negative Democrat Poll Trending Continues … Gallup Poll, Donkey Support Dips Below Majority Level in 2009”

    1. athena on January 7th, 2010 3:52 pm

      Obama & his people lied to those independant voter’s & got elected & now alot of American’s have been killed or maimed on American soil with the promise of more attacks to come.

    2. super dave on January 7th, 2010 7:47 pm

      yep, a few donkeys and one little mule left.

    3. nurturer on January 7th, 2010 9:29 pm

      He’ll have only a 10% approval rating when he loses 2012.

    4. southernsue on January 8th, 2010 11:11 am

      be at the polls in 2010! vote out the democrats and rinos and be ever deligent of voter fraud. we must get out the vote to take our country back and fight even harder for 2012!

    5. super dave on January 8th, 2010 1:31 pm

      yes, voter fraud will be worse this year than last year. the democrats are in a money grab situation and are stockpiling money for the next presidential run at the taxpayers’ expense.
      stimulus money sent to bogus zipcodes ? we will never know where our money is being wasted by these thugs or how much is lining their pockets. they definitely are not creating jobs as promised nor are they doing anything positive for the economy.

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