Pollsters: They Just Can’t Help Themselves

 

Hillary_uglyOn the day that Hillary formally announces her run for the Presidency in 2008, pollsters are calling the election for the Democrats. Of course, they tend to think that John McCain is the leader for the Republicans, which in my humble opinion is about the worst choice for getting through the primaries. But them being pollsters, they can not help themselves.

The 54% probability of a Democratic win in the 2008 presidential election is based on a generic matchup. As for actual candidates, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York leads the Democratic pack on Intrade.com with a 46% probability of winning her party’s nomination, followed by 23% for Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois and roughly 16% for former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina. On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain of Arizona is out in front with a 43% chance of getting the nomination. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani are tied for second with traders giving each of them a 17% shot.
Clinton is given a roughly 23% chance of winning the general election right now on Intrade, slightly higher than the 21% probability attached to McCain.  via Washington Wire – WSJ.com

So if the press could have its way, lets not bother having the elections and annoint Hillary Clinton as the next president. Of course, one wonders whether she will campaign using her last name.

Posted January 20, 2007 by
Politics | 23 comments


If you liked this post, you may also like these:

  • Poll on Polls Being Biased … Plurality of Americans Believe Polls Biased for Obama, 7 in 10 Republicans Say Pollsters Intentionally Skewing Results to Help Obama
  • Larry Sabato Apologizes … Presidential pollsters Got it So Wrong (VIDEO)
  • Final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll has it a Dead Heat With Romney Winning Independents by 15 Points, Huh?
  • The Hillary Papers … Archive of ‘Closest Friend’ Paints Portrait of Hillary Clinton as Ruthless First Lady
  • RINO Lincoln Chafee wins RI Republican Primary 54-46% … Close Race???




  • Comments

    23 Responses to “Pollsters: They Just Can’t Help Themselves”

    1. Scared Monkeys on January 20th, 2007 1:10 pm

      So Hillary announces she’s in on her web site. LOL.

      Once again Hillary Clinton avoiding the media.

      Also, a lame attempt at sucking up to the liberal left blogs who are even more left than Hillary will ever admit to.

      R

    2. dennisintn on January 20th, 2007 1:19 pm

      i’d rather have minnie mouse.
      dennisintn

    3. Scared Monkeys on January 20th, 2007 1:35 pm

      Wow, that picture of Hillary makes her like a Sith Lord from Star Wars.

      Coincidence? Maybe not ;)

      R

    4. Scared Monkeys on January 20th, 2007 1:50 pm

      What is even more amazing, the picture came from the New York Times.

      Tom

    5. Cindy on January 20th, 2007 2:05 pm

      Why wouldn’t she use her last name? She knows it, we all know it. What’s wrong with it? Are you associating it with something negative? I think she is great. I think her husband is great. Move on, people.

    6. nurturer on January 20th, 2007 2:53 pm

      #5 – Why is she great, Cindy?

    7. Scared Monkeys on January 20th, 2007 3:35 pm

      Cindy,

      Well, she didn’t use it in her Senate re-election.

       Tom

    8. Rumba Aruba on January 20th, 2007 4:20 pm

      If I was an American I would vote for her…
      Go Hillary go!!!

    9. MOLLY on January 20th, 2007 4:31 pm

      does the oral…ooops… OVAL office have to be redecorated
      foe a Les(edit) encounter ?

      ___________

      SM:   Note – this is NOT Molly (in Houston) (klaasend)

    10. Skyboxx on January 20th, 2007 5:02 pm

      Ladies and Gentlemen,

      Please draw nigh for an announcement of enormouse proportions…..

      She has NO CHANCE* to win the election. While you are at it, cross of John Kerry, Chris Dodd, Joe Biden, Dennis “I can’t run the city of Cleveland” Kucinich, Al Sharpton, Harry Reid ( He hasn’t announced yet, but some say he will), and Tom Vilsack (Iowa)

      Gore can still arrange a base, Dean is still a wildcard, emphasis on wild, and there is John Edwards and Wes Clark.

      John Edwards/Wes Clark coalition vs *Clinton/Obama coalition, now it gets interesting for the Democratic party.

      Right now the Republican party in in shambles, but that will have to wait for another posting.

      She has NO CHANCE unless she gets a moderate or possibly the black base via Obama on her side. NO CHANCE. In the words of the Who, “We won’t be fooled again!”

    11. nurturer on January 20th, 2007 5:06 pm

      #8 – Why would you vote for her, Rumba Aruba?

    12. Carpe Noctem on January 20th, 2007 5:30 pm

      I love the pics you guys choose!

      The Gore “Big Mouth Bass” pic…

      and this one of Hill…

      They are so photogenic! LOL

      ;-)

    13. nurturer on January 20th, 2007 6:17 pm

      #10 – Condi Rice would neutralize her for sure. Condi would get the black as well as the womans’ vote.

    14. chloe on January 20th, 2007 9:21 pm

      If you want to attack her, at least talk about issues. We don’t need to call her a lesbian or ugly.

    15. Scared Monkeys on January 20th, 2007 10:40 pm

      Thanks Carpe. There is an art to it. :>

      Tom

    16. Brad on January 21st, 2007 7:52 am

      Really it does not matter so much if its Hillary or not, the main thing is that Bush will be history and hopefully the US can hope for some more respect from the rest of the world under a new leader.
      Remember the rest of the world includes “old Europe” as well, and although many Americans do not see that as a problem (as we have bigger nukes), I tend to think the world would be a better place if the rest of it could look up to the US as a role model and not as a the religious fanatical, racist, dual standard torturing, napalming bullies that the US has become known as globally.

    17. Ronnie2shues on January 21st, 2007 9:55 am

      Chloe,

      I have no reason to call her a lesbian as I have no proof whether or not she is one. Rumors abound, but I prefer fact over rumor.

      As far as ugly goes, well, she is — in the sense of her behaviors, condemnation of her opponents. She is a very ugly person.

      Frankly, I understand Bill’s proclivity to be a womanizer. Waking up next to her each morning. . . well, you get my drift, she does look like an old dried up prune. Ok, she’s UGLY. Now, that’s a fact.

    18. Skyboxx on January 21st, 2007 9:56 am

      Wow, now Big Bobber Bill Richardson wants to run for President. Whose next? Ted Kennedy? Talk about hour crowded fields. Can Jesse be far behind? Maybe we should ask, by a show of hands those democrats who DON’t intend to seek the presidential nomination.

      Actually, this is what makes America great. Just about anyone can run for president and apparently the Dems believe this to be true.

      We need a bona fide thrid part to represent MIDDLE AMERICA and the values of the largest voting block that always gets passed over. We just have to settle for the best of the worst of the two party system.

    19. Leo on January 21st, 2007 2:40 pm

      Hillary-Obama – 2008.

      Then we can get serious about the job of wrecking the U.S. that Bush started.

      There was a good reason why the Founding Fathers didn’t want a monarchy. Having too many rulers from the same family is not a good thing.

      The two-party system is failing America – only a miracle can save us.

    20. Cindy on January 21st, 2007 3:39 pm

      #6 – Since I don’t know her personally and never will I have to go by what I read about her and her activities and by her appearances on TV. I believe her when she says she wants what is best for Americans. I believe that health care and America supporting its own energy needs are things she really cares about and not just because they are popular issues. I believe she gives hope and makes people feel safe. I see her as completely approachable and open. I believe her husband was the same. I saw them as a team when he was in the White House. She is and always has been smart and involved and dedicated to whatever she has done. Chelsea is proof of this. I believe that her attempts in the White House for health reform were squashed by “the people with money”. I’m sure I’ll get attacked for that comment. Anyway, I am and always have been really impressed with this woman. As a side note, I am also very impressed with Condoleeza Rice.

      Most of what we see and hear is controlled by the media. I kept repeating “I believe” because these are my opinions after sifting through things I read and hear. Pictures? Big deal. Going strictly by looks, I think Hillary is very nice looking. When she flashes a smile, I think she is beautiful, warm and inviting. Again, my opinions. Thanks for giving me a minute.

    21. jutenine on January 21st, 2007 11:28 pm

      way to go cindy i like hillary too and especially her husband,he is the best president weve ever had,and she will be right behind him in that assesment. i hope and pray she will be be our next president. plus pretty is is pretty does.i had rather have a good person that qualified for a job,and one that will do the best job,plus looks is in the eye of the beholder. go hillary!!!!!!!! which in my opinion she looks as good as anyone else does.

    22. Jay on January 22nd, 2007 6:20 pm

      Hillary, you have my vote!!!

    23. page on January 22nd, 2007 8:21 pm

      I do not care for Bush! I am a Republican, but I feel we need a democrat in the office for a change. I miss the days of Bill Clinton and I never thought I would say that! I will listen to what Hillary Clinton has to say!

    Leave a Reply




    Support Scared Monkeys! make a donation.

     
     
    • NEWS (breaking news alerts or news tips)
    • Red (comments)
    • Dugga (technical issues)
    • Dana (radio show comments)
    • Klaasend (blog and forum issues)
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    Close
    E-mail It